基于探空资料因子组合分析方法的冰雹预报

以1978—2007年四川省宜宾探空站200 km范围内共45例降雹事件与非降雹事件作为时间样本,将利用T-lnp探空资料计算表征热力、动力、水汽条件、温度、高度等物理参数作为预报因子,采用因子组合分析方法对3244个预报因子进行筛选,找出影响宜宾探空站附近降雹的预报因子,并计算得到它们的阈值及组合关系,建立了冰雹预报指标判别式。两个主要因子为400 hPa饱和湿静力温度与850 hPa湿静力温度之差 (T_σ400*-T_σ850) 和400 hPa与地面垂直气压梯度之差 (G_z400-G_zsurface),两个条件因子为700 hPa水汽压与饱和水汽压之差 (e₇₀₀-e_s700) 和700 hPa露点温度与饱和湿静力温度之差 (T_d700-T_σ700*)。将2008年全年732例时次的T-lnp探空资料代入判别式进行试报,探测率为84%,空报率为67.7%,成功指数为30.4%,试报结果表明:基于探空资料因子组合分析方法得到的冰雹预报指标判别方法可行,具有一定准确性。     

黔西南泥堡金矿床构造特征及其控矿作用

位于扬子板块西南缘的右江盆地是我国卡林型金矿的集中分布区之一,素有滇-黔-桂"金三角"之称.泥堡金矿是右江盆地西北侧一个大型矿床,矿区构造主要有NEE向泥堡背斜、二龙抢宝背斜和同方向的F1、F3、F4、F5和F9断层,以及产于F1断层下盘的层间破碎带等.详细构造调查和新近勘查资料的综合研究表明:F1、F5和F9为逆冲断...     

The potential of the greenness and radiation (GR) model to interpret 8-day gross primary production of vegetation

Remote sensing of vegetation gross primary production (GPP) is an important step to analyze terrestrial carbon (C) cycles in response to changing climate. The availability of global networks of C flux measurements provides a valuable opportunity to develop remote sensing based GPP algorithms and test their performances across diverse regions and plant functional types (PFTs). Using 70 global C flux measurements including 24 non-forest (NF), 17 deciduous forest (DF) and 29 evergreen forest (EF), we present the evaluation of an upscaled remote sensing based greenness and radiation (GR) model for GPP estimation. This model is developed using enhanced vegetation index (EVI) and land surface temperature (LST) from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and global course resolution radiation data from the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP). Model calibration was achieved using statistical parameters of both EVI and LST fitted for different PFTs. Our results indicate that compared to the standard MODIS GPP product, the calibrated GR model improved the GPP accuracy by reducing the root mean square errors (RMSE) by 16%, 30% and 11% for the NF, DF and EF sites, respectively. The standard MODIS and GR model intercomparisons at individual sites for GPP estimation also showed that GR model performs better in terms of model accuracy and stability. This evaluation demonstrates the potential use of the GR model in capturing short-term GPP variations in areas lacking ground measurements for most of vegetated ecosystems globally.     

电离层闪烁对GNSS接收机性能影响比较分析

电离层闪烁是引起GNSS接收机性能降低甚至失锁的重要环境干扰因素。利用实测数据,比较分析了不同电离层闪烁活动强度下,不同GNSS系统（BD和GPS）接收机的定位性能。结果表明：电离层闪烁较弱时（S4〈0．3）,两种接收机均可以实现基本的定位功能;电离层闪烁较强（S4〉0.7）,且持续时间较长时,不同GNSS接收机将出现定位结果的抖动、跳变或失去定位能力;GNSS接收机应对电离层闪烁影响的能力与接收机设计相关。研究结果可作为抗闪烁接收机开发或闪烁影响分级的参考。     

Food choices,health and environment: Effects of cutting Europe's meat and dairy intake

Western diets are characterised by a high intake of meat, dairy products and eggs, causing an intake of saturated fat and red meat in quantities that exceed dietary recommendations. The associated livestock production requires large areas of land and lead to high nitrogen and greenhouse gas emission levels. Although several studies have examined the potential impact of dietary changes on greenhouse gas emissions and land use, those on health, the agricultural system and other environmental aspects (such as nitrogen emissions) have only been studied to a limited extent. By using biophysical models and methods, we examined the large-scale consequences in the European Union of replacing 25–50% of animal-derived foods with plant-based foods on a dietary energy basis, assuming corresponding changes in production. We tested the effects of these alternative diets and found that halving the consumption of meat, dairy products and eggs in the European Union would achieve a 40% reduction in nitrogen emissions, 25–40% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions and 23% per capita less use of cropland for food production. In addition, the dietary changes would also lower health risks. The European Union would become a net exporter of cereals, while the use of soymeal would be reduced by 75%. The nitrogen use efficiency (NUE) of the food system would increase from the current 18% to between 41% and 47%, depending on choices made regarding land use. As agriculture is the major source of nitrogen pollution, this is expected to result in a significant improvement in both air and water quality in the EU. The resulting 40% reduction in the intake of saturated fat would lead to a reduction in cardiovascular mortality. These diet-led changes in food production patterns would have a large economic impact on livestock farmers and associated supply-chain actors, such as the feed industry and meat-processing sector.     

融合随机森林模型和6种水体指数的上海市水体信息提取

为快速、准确地掌握水体分布信息,本文以上海市为研究区,基于多时相Sentinel-2卫星数据构建水体提取特征集,并采用效率高、稳健性好的随机森林模型,对研究区内的水体进行提取。水体提取特征集在现有光谱波段特征的基础上加入6种水体指数,分别为NDWI、MNDWI、AWEI_sh、WI₂₀₁₅、SWI和RWI,旨在提高水体提取精度。针对10个光谱波段特征及6种水体指数,设计了8种试验方案探究加入水体指数对于水体提取的作用。结果表明,将6种水体指数全部加入的方案精度最高,为97.910%;NDWI和RWI能提高水体提取精度、降低漏提率和误提率。     

基于多时相遥感的鄂尔多斯市不透水面变化分析

不透水面作为城市发展和生态环境的重要评估因子,在保障生态环境健康和城市可持续发展中具有重大意义。本文以鄂尔多斯为研究区,通过融合多时相Landsat和夜间灯光数据,提取1990—2019年的不透水面信息,并利用重心分析法、标准差椭圆理论和景观指数理论分析时空演变规律。研究结果表明:①1990—2019年鄂尔多斯市不透水面经历了快速扩张;东北部不透水面覆盖度高于西南部;不透水面的扩张模式总体上表现为“向外扩张-向内加密”。②东北部扩张速度减缓,西南部扩张速度增快。③不透水面扩张的方向性减弱;不透水面扩张的方向有由“东北-西南”向“东-西”转变的趋势。④斑块数量及边缘斑块破碎度增加,城市与郊区的连通性增强,城市有向周边郊区扩张的趋势。本文研究对于进一步了解城市生态环境健康与城市可持续发展的相关关系具有一定的参考价值。     

国家测绘档案目录数据库升级迁移技术研究及实践北大核心CSCD

针对国家测绘档案目录数据分类多及历史原因造成的数据库欠缺整体规范性、无规范化空间定位索引等问题,为提高测绘档案的管理和服务效率,通过深入分析国家测绘档案目录数据特点、选取试验数据,规范化处理测绘档案目录数据、制作空间定位索引数据,采取渐进式测绘档案目录升级技术方案,在测绘档案业务管理系统开发建设的同时,顺利地实现了历史测绘档案目录数据的迁移和升级,避免了以往系统先建成而目录数据尚未完成迁移改造对测绘档案业务工作的影响。     

定向岩芯构造分析及在金矿勘查中的运用

系统测量定向岩芯中构造面的α角和β角,结合钻孔的方位角和钻孔倾角,通过赤平投影可以还原真实的构造面产状.通过穿过金矿体的定向岩芯的构造编录和系统分析,计算矿体中的主要含矿节理、含矿蚀变带等构造面的产状,并进行统计分析,可以了解矿化与各类构造之间的关系,计算矿体的空间产状,并推断主矿体的延伸等,为矿区的深部勘查设计提供依据.     

基于回归分析法的地下水位预测研究

彭楼灌区位于山东省聊城市西南部,为引黄灌溉灌区。2002年彭楼灌区复灌以来,有效缓解当地水资源紧缺的矛盾。为研究彭楼灌区引黄水量对地下水位的影响,采用回归分析法,具体分析地下水位变差与引黄水量、干旱指数的回归关系,建立回归方程。通过实例分析检验,建立的回归方程可作为进行彭楼灌区地下水位预测的一种方法。