国产GB-InSAR在特大型水库滑坡变形监测中的应用

水电站库区特大型滑坡的稳定性对于水电站坝工结构及周边人民生命财产安全具有重要影响,对该类滑坡稳定性及变形趋势进行大范围实时精确观测可为滑坡提供可靠的预警和治理信息,具有十分重要的意义。水电站库区滑坡传统监测方法主要以GNSS监测,全站仪监测等为主,本研究将国产先进的地基干涉合成孔径雷达系统LKR-05-KU-S100,应用于澜沧江大华桥水电站沧江桥—营盘滑坡和大华滑坡的监测。现场监测试验表明,该系统精度较高,可进行远距离、全天时、全天候、大范围监测,对于大型及特大型滑坡的监测具有独特的优势和广阔的应用前景。     

Spatial and Temporal Variations of Rainfall over Northern Asia in the Last 100 Years and Their Possible Changes in the Future

The reliability of CRU05 rainfall dataset produced by Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia is examined against 22 station observations in the northern China. While this dataset has high spatial resolution and long temporal coverage, comparison with station data suggests that it only has higher quality in the last 70 years in the western China. When using this dataset to analyze rainfall variability over the northern China, significant oscillations with periods of 3, 10, and 30 yr are found, with interannual and interdecadal oscillations being the major characteristics of drought and flood events in the region in the last 100 years. Using EOF and REOF analysis, 10 divisions with coherent rainfall variations have been identified, including (i) central Asia and north of Xinjiang, (ii) North China and east of Northwest China,(iii) north and middle of Mongolia, (iv) Hexi Corridor and west of Mongolia, (v)east of the Heilong River,(vi) north of Da Hinggan Mountains, (vii) north of Central Asia, (viii) south of Xinjiang and the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau, (ix) south of Northeast China, and (x) north of Altay Mountains. Results suggest that the pronounced feature of drought in the arid and semi-arid areas of northern China is not isolated. Of course, it is consistent with rainfall variations in the arid areas of Mongolia and Central Asia. In addition,by analyzing prominent oscillations observed in the last several decades, the trends of rainfall variations over the region in the future 10-15 years are discussed.     

Orbital solution for the MACHO*05:34:41.3–69:31:39 O3 If* +O6:V eclipsing binary system in the Large Magellanic Cloud

An orbital solution for the MACHO*05:34:41.3–69:31:39 eclipsing binary system is presented, based on the published light curve and spectral data obtained with the 2.15-m telescope at CASLEO. Based on these spectroscopic observations, the binary components of this system were classified as O3 If* and O6:V respectively. The radial velocity data along with the published light curve were analysed with the Wilson–Devinney code to derive the following masses and radii for the components of this system:             and     The solution shows that the system is in overcontact, as one would expect from the derived masses and the very short orbital period (∼1.4 d).     

Inexact Newton methods and the method of lines for solving Richards' equation in two space dimensions

Richards' equation (RE) is often used to model flow in unsaturated porous media. This model captures physical effects, such as sharp fronts in fluid pressures and saturations, which are present in more complex models of multiphase flow. The numerical solution of RE is difficult not only because of these physical effects but also because of the mathematical problems that arise in dealing with the nonlinearities. The method of lines has been shown to be very effective for solving RE in one space dimension. When solving RE in two space dimensions, direct methods for solving the linearized problem for the Newton step are impractical. In this work, we show how the method of lines and Newton-iterative methods, which solve linear equations with iterative methods, can be applied to RE in two space dimensions. We present theoretical results on convergence and use that theory to design an adaptive method for computation of the linear tolerance. Numerical results show the method to be effective and robust compared with an existing approach.     

An elliptic problem with integral constraints with application to large-scale geophysical flows

We present a weak formulation of a non-standard elliptic equation whose boundary values are determined in part by integral relations. Existence and uniqueness of its solution are proved, and a finite element discretization is described, analyzed, and implemented on a test problem. The equation is a generalization of one that is solved during integration of the three-dimensional Quasigeostrophic equations, which model large-scale rotating stratified flows, where the integral constraints represent conservation of physical properties.     

具有高阶奇点的2n+1次系统

研究1类具有2个零特征根和1个4n2 2n 1阶奇点的2n 1次系统,并给出了极限环存在与否的条件。     

卫星重力用于南极冰盖物质消融评估

2002年3月发射的GRACE重力卫星,以前所未有的精度和分辨率给出了重力场的时空变化。Jason1重复观测获得海平面的变化,GRACE估计海水质量重新分布引起的海面高变化,两者之差获得比容海面高变化,将该结果与WOA05结果作季节性比较,结果表明CSRRL04,GFZRL04和GRGSGL04三者结果与WOA05结果吻合,优于其他GRACE系列数据。将选取的CSRRL04,GFZRL04和GRGSGL04用于南极冰盖质量变化研究,得到南极冰盖冰雪物质变化的空间分布,结果表明西南极Amundsen区域明显地负增长,南极半岛存在着负增长。估算2003年1月-2007年12月南极冰盖冰雪消融的等效体积变化,变化区间为-76km3/a--69km3/a,对应海平面的贡献变化区间为0.17mm/a-0.21mm/a。     

南海北部晚第四纪高分辨率浮游氧同位素地层学及其古气候信息

对南海北部MD05-2904孔45 m的连续沉积物中提取的浮游有孔虫Globigerinoides ruber(白色)进行稳定同位素分析, 得到晚MIS 8以来(时间跨度257 ka, 平均时间分辨率228 a)的高分辨率沉积记录, δ18O和δ13C的频谱分析显示了强烈的岁差(23.4 ka、19.8 ka)、半岁差(11.7 ka、9.9 ka)周期.MD05-2904孔MIS 24时间段的氧同位素记录了格陵兰冰心中发现的Dansgaard/Oeschger和Heinrich事件.与葫芦洞石笋记录及南海邻区浮游有孔虫氧同位素记录的对比显示了受季风控制的区域因素, 如降雨、河流输入导致的盐度变化等对表层海水组成的影响.氧同位素在MIS 3、MIS 6的早期以及MIS 7.4偏轻; 而在MIS 5.5偏重, 这种现象解释为降雨量和蒸发量共同作用的结果.而末次冰盛期高达6570 cm/ka的沉积速率反映了低海平面时孔位离岸距离缩短带来丰富的沉积物源.      

南海东北部MD05 2905站36 ka BP以来的陆源碎屑沉积特征与东亚季风的演化

在AMS14C精确定年的基础上，去除有机质、生物碳酸盐和生物硅之后，对南海北部MD05 2905站进行了陆源碎屑的粒度分析。结果显示，15.5～63.5 μm粗粒级成分的含量变化特征可用来指示东亚冬季风的变化，2～9 μm细粒级成分含量变化可用于指示东亚夏季风的变化。末次冰期以冬季风为主，全新世以夏季风为主，36 ka BP以来东亚夏季风有逐渐增强的总体趋势，但也发生多次突变现象，在全新世早期（8 500~11 200 ka BP）达到36ka BP以来的最大值，可能是在岁差周期的控制下，与较强的太阳辐射有关。