珠三角地区人工增雨消霾的可行性分析

通过分析空气污染自净过程、人工影响灰霾的可能途径、广东灰霾分布特征、广东降水特征和人工增雨潜力等相关内容,探讨珠三角地区开展人工增雨消霾作业的科学性和技术可行性。认为:珠江三角洲地区气溶胶污染严重,灰霾天气主要出现在降水量少的10月至次年4月,影响灰霾清洁过程的天气形势主要是冷空气南下和台风影响,通常伴随降水。每年10月至次年3月珠三角地区存在49 d可进行人工增雨作业的潜力日,对该49 d实施人工增雨作业,对降低珠三角地区灰霾有积极作用。     

一次强雷暴中的多灾种天气特征对比分析

用Micaps和NCEP再分析资料对2012年7月3日发生在淮河以南地区的大范围强雷暴天气进行了分析,得出高、低空急流配置,形成低空辐合,高空辐散,槽线由高到低前倾,有利增强大气不稳定层结,中尺度切变线南北摆动具有触发对流作用等,为该区强雷暴多灾种天气的发生,提供了动力和热力条件。从云图、雷达参数和地闪特征对比分析得出冰雹、雷击、强降水,分别发生在强对流云团发展的不同时间和不同部位。其云团的形态、强度和范围等也不同。冰雹所表现出的回波强度、回波顶高和垂直积分液态水含量为最强,雷击次之,强降水最弱。在地闪出现的各个阶段都有可能出现雷击事故,但多为负地闪,强度均较强。强降水过程多为负地闪,强度较弱,降水集中时段,地闪频次高。冰雹发生时地闪频数明显下降,且多为正闪。雷击过程强度和陡度变化最平缓,冰雹过程突变最明显。雷击发生在整个地闪过程中强度和陡度都相对较大的时刻;冰雹发生前约半小时有强度和陡度的骤增;强降水阶段地闪平均强度和陡度都最小。     

带Sobolev临界指数的非齐次拟线性椭圆型方程正解的存在性

在RN上讨论带临界项的拟线性椭圆型方程正解的存在性问题。在一个正锥上应用Ekeland变分原理构造一个比P.S(.)c序列要弱的序列,通过证明该序列具有相对紧性,得到一个弱正上解,进而利用上下解方法得出所研究的问题至少存在一个弱正解。     

Identification of Fucans from Four Species of Sea Cucumber by High Temperature ~1H NMR

Acidic polysaccharide, which has various biological activities, is one of the most important components of sea cucumber. In the present study, crude polysaccharide was extracted from four species of sea cucumber from three different geographical zones, Pearsonothuria graeffei（Pg） from Indo-Pacific, Holothuria vagabunda（Hv） from Norwegian Coast, Stichopus tremulu（St） from Western Indian Ocean, and Isostichopus badionotu（Ib） from Western Atlantic. The polysaccharide extract was separated and purified with a cellulose DEAE anion-exchange column to obtain corresponding sea cucumber fucans（SC-Fucs）. The chemical property of these SC-Fucs, including molecular weight, monosaccharide composition and sulfate content, was determined. Their structure was compared simply with fourier infrared spectrum analyzer and identified with high temperature 1H nuclear magnetic resonance spectrum analyzer（NMR） and room temperature 13 C NMR. The results indicated that Fuc-Pg obtained from the torrid zone mainly contained 2,4-O-disulfated and non-sulfated fucose residue, whereas Fuc-Ib from the temperate zone contained non-, 2-O- and 2,4-O-disulfated fucose residue; Fuc-St from the frigid zone and Fuc-Hv from the torrid zone contained mainly non-sulfated fucose residue. The proton of SC-Fucs was better resolved via high temperature 1H NMR than via room temperature 1H NMR. The fingerprint of sea cucumber in different sea regions was established based on the index of anomer hydrogen signal in SC-Fucs. Further work will help to understand whether there exists a close relationship between the geographical area of sea cucumber and the sulfation pattern of SC-Fucs.     

Variability of tropical cyclone in high frequent occurrence regions over the western North Pacific

In this study, three high frequent occurrence regions of tropical cyclones(TCs), i.e., the northern South China Sea(the region S), the south Philippine Sea(the region P) and the region east of Taiwan Island(the region E), are defined with frequency of TC's occurrence at each grid for a 45-year period(1965–2009), where the frequency of occurrence(FO) of TCs is triple the mean value of the whole western North Pacific. Over the region S, there are decreasing trends in the FO of TCs, the number of TCs' tracks going though this region and the number of TCs' genesis in this region. Over the region P, the FO and tracks demonstrate decadal variation with periods of 10–12 year, while over the region E, a significant 4–5 years' oscillation appears in both FO and tracks. It is demonstrated that the differences of TCs' variation in these three different regions are mainly caused by the variation of the Western Pacific Subtropical High(WPSH) at different time scales. The westward shift of WPSH is responsible for the northwesterly anomaly over the region S which inhibits westward TC movement into the region S. On the decadal timescale, the WPSH stretches northwestward because of the anomalous anticyclone over the northwestern part of the region P, and steers more TCs reaching the region P in the greater FO years of the region P. The retreating of the WPSH on the interannual time scale is the main reason for the FO's oscillation over the region E.     

1961-2010年辽宁省高温日数和高温热浪特征分析

利用1961-2010年辽宁省52个气象站日最高气温资料,分析辽宁地区高温日数及热浪的分布特征和变化趋势,结果表明：辽宁省区域年平均高温日数为7.72 d/ a。辽宁高温日数呈东少西多的空间分布,沿海地区较少甚至部分地区无高温情况出现。高温日出现最多的朝阳站,为26.48 d/ a。从20世纪60年代开始,高温日数呈缓慢增加趋势,其中2000年为有气象记录以来高温日最多的年份。热浪也呈东少西多的分布特征,热浪最多的朝阳站发生频次为2.90次/ a。辽宁省以持续3-5 d的轻度热浪为主,占86.27 %,中度热浪占12.58 %,超过10 d的重度热浪占1.14 %,仅有喀左、北票和羊山地区发生过持续10 d以上的重度热浪。     

长三角盛夏—初秋强降水的延伸期过程预报探析

针对长三角汛期强降水过程,根据不同降水类型的特性,提出分时段建立低频模型并给出建模流程。综合分析长三角汛期强降水期的低频特性,将低频气旋及反气旋区分划分7个关键区。重点研究盛夏—初秋时段的强降水特征,在总结强降水期低频特征的基础上,借助EOF分解建立延伸期大—暴雨的预报模型:1区或2区有低频气旋维持并发展;6区、7区或5区存在低频反气旋。并且在7个关键区中1、2区的低频气旋及5、6、7区的低频反气旋为主要低频系统,起决定作用,而3区的低频系统为次要低频系统,起辅助作用。利用该模型提前30 d预报出2012年汛期最强降水过程,并分析本次过程的低频系统演变,给出动态演变模型。     

CINRAD/CD天气雷达因-600伏电源引起的回波异常故障排查

通过接收机放电管-600伏电源软故障引起的CINRAD/CD天气雷达回波信噪比低,回波异常故障的分析,找到故障产生的原因,提出相应应急处理方法。     

“7.29”青海重大灾害性天气过程决策气象服务案例分析

2012年7月29日至30日,青海省出现了重大灾害性天气过程,本文利用数值预报产品和常规气象观测资料、卫星云图、多普勒雷达回波产品资料,对此次过程进行了详细分析,总结归纳了预报技术指标与预报技术难点,并分析了这次决策气象服务情况,总结了其成功经验。     

基于形态学处理的X波段雷达溢油监测结果再判别技术研究

溢油探测系统（Oil Spill Detection,OSD）在识别溢油信息的过程中会出现大量的误判信息,需要人工加以判断剔除。文章通过对溢油雷达监测结果误判信息的来源分析,利用形态学图像处理的方法,通过信息提取、设置判别条件、误判信息剔除等过程,实现对溢油雷达监测结果中的误判信息的再次判别。实验结果表明,本研究的方法能够有效地剔除海量监测结果中的误判以及无用信息,筛选最可信的雷达溢油监测图像,能够减轻监测人员的工作量,提高溢油雷达对平台溢油信息监测的准确性和雷达溢油监测的业务效率。