江淮梅雨对东亚副热带夏季风进程及海温异常的响应

利用1960—2020年江淮地区75个气象站逐日降水量、气温、相对湿度资料以及NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和Hadley中心海表温度资料，研究了东亚副热带夏季风进程变异对江淮梅雨的影响，揭示了不同类型梅雨期太平洋海温及大气环流异常特征。结果表明：8种江淮梅雨类型中，多雨型占45.9%，少雨型占54.1%，其中多雨型在前30 a占36.7%，后31 a占63.3%。江淮典型梅雨年（高温高湿多雨）的主要特征为安徽南部、江苏中部及湖北东部地区降水偏多，安徽南部、江西东北部及浙江西北部气温偏高，淮河流域湿度大；而在非典型梅雨年（低温低湿少雨）大部分地区雨量偏少，气温呈"东高西低"分布，低温中心区位于淮河中游，湿度呈"西大东小"分布。欧亚大陆中高纬度阻塞高压增强，脊前向南输送的西北气流加强且路径偏东，中国东北冷涡强度较强且位置偏西南，东亚大槽加深，槽后冷空气向南输送，有利于典型梅雨形成。当前期冬春季赤道东太平洋海温异常偏高，西太平洋海温异常偏低时，西太平洋副热带高压强度偏强、面积偏大、脊线位置偏南、西伸脊点偏西，东亚副热带夏季风推进到江淮地区的时间偏早，出梅偏晚，梅雨期降水量偏多。     

CLIMATIC ANALYSIS OF IMPACTS OF THE TROPICAL CONVECTION IN WESTERN PACIFIC ON WESTERN PACIFIC SUBTROPICAL HIGH’S SHORT-TERM SCALES DURING BOREAL SUMMER*

Based on the multi-year average NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data and NOAA's OLR data,the climatic characteristics of the tropical convection in tropical western Pacific and Indian Oceans as well as its relationship with western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) is shown as follows:on short-term scales,the tropical convection that has significant influence on western Pacific high's latitudinal movement is located in the area of the South China Sea to the Philippines,which is the 2-day precursor prior to WPSH's latitudinal fluctuation,that is,WPSH is shifting to north 2 days after the tropical convection becomes more active,and vice versa.Moreover,the tropical convection has less effect on WPSH's longitudinal movement.     

西南地区前兆观测异常特征和地震短期预测方法研究

通过对西南地区1970～2001年39组52次6级以上地震及四川部分5级以上地震震例资料的剖析,进一步研究西南地区各类前兆中、短期异常判据和指标;研究西南地区强震孕育前兆异常由中期向短期(临震)过渡、演化的标志和判据并作物理解释;并进行了西南地区前兆短期预测方法及强震短期预测时、空、强指标和判据的研究和西南地区地下流体新观测方法及灵敏测项的研究。     

Basic characteristics of active tectonics of China

Active tectonics is inferred to all the structures which have been active since the late Pleisto-cene, 100—120 ka B.P., are still active recently, and will be active in a certain time period in the future, such as active faults, active folds, active basi…     

Evolution mechanism of the western Pacific subtropical high

Ever since Charney et al.[1] studied the multiple equilibrium states in atmosphere with highly truncated spectral method in 1979, many Chinese researchers, such as Li Maicun et al. (1983)[2], Liu Chongjian et al. (1983)[3], Miu Jinhai et al. (1985)[4] and…     

Monsoonal precipitation variation in the East Asia since A.D. 1840

Three tree-ring rainfall reconstructions from China and Korea are used in this paper to investigate the East Asian summer monsoon-related precipitation variation over the past 160 years. Statistically, there is no linear correlation on a year-by-year basis between Chinese and Korean monsoon rainfall, but region-wide synchronous variation on a decadal-scale was observed. More rainfall intervals were 1860–1890, 1910–1925, and 1940–1960, and dry or even drought periods were 1890–1910, 1925–1940, and 1960–present. Reconstructions also display that the East Asian summer monsoon precipitation suddenly changed from more into less around mid-1920. These tree-ring precipitation records were also confirmed by Chinese historical dryness/wetness index and Korean historical rain gauge data.     

我国区域可持续发展状态的综合测度

区域可持续发展的内涵是在确保经济稳定增长和社会发展的同时,使自然资源得到合理利用,生态环境保持良性循环。因此,有必要从系统运行中提取具有标识性意义的定量化信息,来监控区域可持续发展的方向和能力。文章依据一定的原则,选取了4大类28个指标对我国大陆31个省、市、自治区的可持续发展状态进行了综合测度,提出了区域可持续发展综合能力组合类型,并对其发展状态进行了综合分析评价。     

透视伊拉克的地缘政治

伊拉克共和国地处亚、欧、非三大洲的结合部,是广大中东干旱缺水地区中的一块最大的绿洲,自古以来就是中东的心脏,地理位置非常重要。在近代,伊拉克发现了丰富的石油,更使之成为世界列强的争夺之地。2003年3月20日上午10时35分,在全球各国无数人的关注之下,伊拉克战争全面打响了。本文从政治地理的角度对伊拉克的位置、民族宗教与地缘政治的关系,以及未来中东地区的地缘政治结构进行了系统分析,供关心伊拉克战争的同仁参考。     

Long-term changes in the type,but not amount,of ingested plastic particles in short-tailed shearwaters in the southeastern Bering Sea

We report the current (1997-1999, 2001) incidence and amount of ingested plastic in short-tailed shearwaters (Puffinus tenuirostris) in the southeastern Bering Sea and compare our results with plastic reported in shearwaters during 1970-1978. We also examine correlations between plastic loads and shearwater body mass. We found that 84% (N = 330) of shearwaters sampled in 1997-1999 and 2001 contained plastic. The incidence and amount of ingested plastic have not significantly changed since the 1970s. In contrast, the predominant type of plastic has changed over time, from industrial plastic to user plastic. S,asonal patterns in the incidence and amount of ingested plastic also changed from peak levels during early and late summer in the 1970s to mid summer in the late 1990s and 2001. We suggest that the availability of neuston plastic to seabirds in the Bering Sea has undergone a shift in composition since the 1970s. Shearwater body mass appears little if at all impaired by plastic, at least at present levels of consumption.     

南岭地区前震旦纪基底特征及其对铀成矿的贡献

南岭地区是我国很重要的铀矿产地,该区是否存在前震旦纪基底一直的是研究的热点。本在大量野外调查和室内分析的基础上,厘定了南岭地区前震旦纪基底的存在,详细论述了前震旦纪基底地层——寻乌岩组的地球化学特征,分析了寻乌岩组成岩环境及其对铀成矿的贡献,为南岭地区富大铀矿的寻找提供依据。