中亚哈萨克斯坦南部VA黄土剖面过去～25 000 a来沉积地层特征

选取位于中亚哈萨克斯坦中南部的VA剖面作为研究对象,剖面厚7 m,野外采样以及实验分析间距均为5 cm。在AMS ¹⁴C测年基础上,综合野外地层考察和实验室指标（包括磁化率、碳酸盐、有机质和粒度）分析,结果表明：I：该剖面过去～25 000 ¹⁴C a BP以来地层主要可以分为五个地层单元：（1） ～26 000 ¹⁴C a BP—～22 000 ¹⁴C a BP,河流作用过的黄土层;（2） ～22 000 ¹⁴C a BP—～19 000 ¹⁴C a BP,潜育化的黄土层;（3） ～19 000 ¹⁴C a BP—～10 000 ¹⁴C aBP,弱土壤层;（4） ～10 000 ¹⁴C a BP—～5 000 ¹⁴C a BP,典型的黄土层;（5） 过去～5 000 ¹⁴C a BP以来,土壤层。II：将VA剖面与欧洲区以及东亚区黄土沉积对比发现：研究区过去～25 000 ¹⁴C a BP 以来地层沉积与欧洲黄土沉积类似,全新世地层序列与东亚区具有反相位关系：中亚区早全新世为黄土沉积,晚全新世发育土壤层,说明研究区过去25 000 ¹⁴C a以来主要受西风带和地中海气候控制,具有西风区气候特征。III：VA剖面MIS2记录到的潜育化黄土层以及弱土壤层显示研究区在MIS2时段气候相比东亚区更为湿润。     

1951—2009年东亚副热带夏季风北边缘位置的地域特征

利用1951—2009年中国662个气象台站逐日降水资料和NCEP/NCAR逐日再分析资料,分析了东亚副热带夏季风北边缘地理位置的年际、年代际变化以及夏季风影响北边缘的时间演变特征。结果表明:基于过程透雨量定义的夏季风北边缘能很好地反映边缘带降水特点,东亚副热带夏季风北边缘带大致呈东北-西南走向,在110°E处,北边缘带南界大致位于36°N,北界大致位于41°N。边缘带宽度与其南界纬度具有很好的负相关,且有逐年变宽的趋势。边缘带存在显著的准3年和9年的周期特征。夏季风平均在6月28日开始影响北边缘带,9月21日南撤离开北边缘带。110°E是夏季风边缘带中南风分量最大的经度,与偏南年相比,偏北年夏季风影响边缘带时间开始早,结束迟。     

基于多点树轮序列的1768—2006年甘肃降水量变化

选择12个树木年轮宽度年表和28个气象站的降水量资料分别建立甘肃树轮宽度场和降水量场。树轮气候响应分析发现树轮宽度场第一主成分与甘肃28个气象站上年7月至当年6月降水量第一主成分有较好相关性,相关系数为0.580 (p<0.001)。利用线性回归模型重建甘肃上年7月至当年6月降水量第一主成分,方差解释量为33.6% (1961—2006年)。在1768—2006年期间甘肃有11个降水量较多的时期(高于多年平均值)和11个降水量较少的时期(低于多年平均值),分别反映了东亚夏季风较强和较弱的时期。同时,降水量重建序列的低值与西北地区极端干旱历史事件有着良好的一致性。空间相关分析表明该重建序列能够表征甘肃大范围的降水量变化,与实测降水量资料的第一主成分空间变化较为一致。多窗谱分析发现,甘肃降水量具有36.6年(95%)、11.2年 (95%)、4.8年(95%)、3.4年 (95%)、3.1年(95%)、2.6年(95%)和2.4年(99%)的周期变化。甘肃降水量与亚洲中纬度西风区、季风区树轮降水量序列之间存在一定的关联性,甘肃降水量变化与季风降水量的关联要大于与西风区降水量。     

10个CMIP5模式预估中亚地区未来50 a降水时空变化特征

利用CRU月降水资料首先对参与IPCC第五次评估报告（IPCC AR5）的10个CMIP5模式对1951-2005年中亚地区年降水气候平均态、年际变率以及线性趋势等特征参数的模拟能力进行了系统评估,并选取具有较好模拟性能模式的未来预估试验结果作多模式集合平均预估未来50 a（2011-2060年）中亚地区在不同代表性浓度路径下降水量各特征参数的空间分布特征,结果表明：多数模式能够模拟出中亚地区年降水气候平均态、年际变率以及线性趋势的空间分布特征,同时发现中亚地区年降水量在过去50 a整体以轻微增加为主,趋势不显著。根据定量评估结果,从10个模式中选取4个具有较好模拟性能的模式结果做集合平均,同时利用历史回报试验数据进行检验,发现集合平均的模拟结果无论在量级还是高、低值中心的位置和范围与CRU资料非常接近。未来预估结果表明4种排放情景下4模式集合平均的中亚年降水在未来50 a增加较为明显,尤其在中国新疆南部（由低值区转变为高值区）。总体来看,未来50 a中亚降水增加趋势随着RCPs的增加而增加,且降水增加显著的区域随着RCPs的增加而明显增大。     

晚第四纪中国北方沙地风沙沉积的Zr/Rb比值特征及意义

Zr/Rb比值因不受后期成壤作用影响,在黄土高原黄土堆积中可作为较好的冬季风气候替代性指标。与黄土沉积相比,中国北方沙地的气候变化研究相对较弱,能够敏感反映沙地气候变化的替代性指标仍处于探索阶段。本文选取东亚季风控制区的毛乌素沙地、浑善达克沙地和科尔沁沙地11个典型的风成沉积序列,对Zr/Rb比值及其意义进行了研究。通过全岩样品Zr、Rb元素含量、Zr/Rb比值与平均粒径和>63 μm的粗颗粒百分含量对比分析,发现在毛乌素沙地,Zr/Rb比值与粗颗粒百分含量和平均粒径成正相关关系,与黄土高原的变化趋势相似,可作为冬季风强度的替代性指标。而在浑善达克沙地和科尔沁沙地,虽然Rb含量在砂质古土壤层中随着细颗粒物质的增加而增大,与毛乌素沙地的变化相同;但是,Zr含量也表现出增加趋势,导致Zr/Rb比值变化趋势与毛乌素沙地相反。其主要原因可能是沙地所处的构造地貌单元不同,物源区存在差异。因此,Zr/Rb比值作为冬季风的替代性指标在不同沙地应用需要慎重分析。     

1961-2005年华东地区高温气候特征

Based on the daily maximum temperature data covering the period 1961-2005, temporal and spatial characteristics and their changing in mean annual and monthly high temperature days (HTDs) and the mean daily maximum temperature (MDMT) during annual and monthly HTDs in East China were studied. The results show that the mean annual HTDs were 15.1 and the MDMT during annual HTDs was 36.3℃ in the past 45 years. Both the mean annual HTDs and the MDMT during annual HTDs were negative anomaly in the1980s and positive anomaly in the other periods of time, oscillating with a cycle of about 12-15 years. The mean annual HTDs were more in the southern part, but less in the northern part of East China. The MDMT during annual HTDs was higher in Zhejiang, Anhui and Jiangxi provinces in the central and western parts of East China. The high temperature process (HTP) was more in the southwestern part, but less in northeastern part of East China. Both the HTDs and the numbers of HTP were at most in July, and the MDMT during monthly HTDs was also the highest in July. In the first 5 years of the 21st century, the mean annual HTDs and the MDMT during annual HTDs increased at most of the stations, both the mean monthly HTDs and the MDMT during monthly HTDs were positive anomalies from April to October, the number of each type of HTP generally was at most and the MDMT in each type of HTP was also the highest.     

东亚地区盆地类型和盆地群特征

东亚地区区域构造经历了多期复杂的演化过程,印支期东亚大陆的地质格局基本形成,燕山期作为重要的构造变革期,在盆地形成演化过程中发挥着重要的作用。根据东亚地区燕山期以来盆地所受三向应力的作用机制（拉张、挤压）以及这种机制对前期盆地的改造程度,考虑盆地自身的地质演化历史,结合前人对沉积盆地类型划分方案的研究成果,将东亚地区沉积盆地划分为6个类型,即克拉通盆地、陆内挤压挠曲盆地、走滑拉分盆地、裂谷盆地、弧前盆地和弧后盆地;同时将不同盆地在成盆时间上"归位"于燕山期前和燕山期后,在平面分布上"归位"于构造域中,形成盆地群的概念,认为同一构造域内的盆地在盆地类型、盆地沉积层序、盆地演化历史等方面具有相对一致性,而在不同的构造域中盆地类型、盆地演化历史均存在一定差异。盆地群内部盆地的可比性和共性以及盆地群之间盆地的差异性的认识,对研究不同盆地的成因和演化具有重要的理论意义,同时为在东亚地区开展低勘探程度盆地的油气资源潜力评价奠定了盆地类比分析的基础。      

Quantifying the Spatial Characteristics of the Moisture Transport Affecting Precipitation Seasonality and Recycling Variability in Central Asia

Moisture contribution and transport pathways for Central Asia(CA)are quantitatively examined using the Lagrangian water cycle model based on reanalysis and observational data to explain the precipitation seasonality and the moisture transport variation during 1979-2015.Westerly-related(northwesterly and westerly)transport explains 42%of CA precipitation and dominates in southwest CA,where precipitation is greatest in the cold season.Southeast CA,including part of Northwest China,experiences its maximum precipitation in the warm season and is solely dominated by southerly transport,which explains about 48%of CA precipitation.The remaining 10%of CA precipitation is explained by northerly transport,which steadily impacts north CA and causes a maximum in precipitation in the warm season.Most CA areas are exposed to seasonally varying moisture transport,except for southeast and north CA,which are impacted by southerly and northerly transport year-round.In general,the midlatitude westerlies-driven transport and the Indian monsoon-driven southerly-related transport explain most of the spatial differences in precipitation seasonality over CA.Moreover,the contribution ratio of local evaporation in CA to precipitation exhibits significant interdecadal variability and a meridionally oriented tripole of moisture transport anomalies.Since the early 2000s,CA has experienced a decade of anomalously low local moisture contribution,which seems jointly determined by the weakened moisture contribution from midlatitudes(the Atlantic,Europe,and CA itself)and the enhanced contribution from high latitudes(West Siberia and the Arctic)and tropical areas(South Asia and the Indian Ocean).     

Chronology of the Holocene loess-paleosol section and its deposition and pedogenesis on the south of Chinese Loess Plateau

Optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) dating for polymineral fine-grained loess samples, collected in Laoguantai (LGT) section on the south of the Chinese Loess Plateau, was made by application of single-aliquot regenerative-dose (SAR) protocol. A ‘Double-SAR’ procedure in which aliquots are subjected to both infrared (IR) and blue stimulations was used, and two sets of equivalent dose (De) determinations were produced and assumed to relate predominantly to feldspathic and quartz fine grain populations respectively. The OSL ages estimated from IRSL signals are smaller than those estimated from [post-IR] OSL signals due to the anomalous fading of feldspar IR signals, based on fading experiment. The young ages of the samples near ground surface may be originated from the post-depositional disturbance by the intensifying humanity’s cultivation since 3.0 ka BP in the Guanzhong Basin, south of the Chinese Loess Plateau. Based on OSL dating, as well as field observations and stratigraphic correlation, we determine the chronology of the LGT loess-paleosol sequence. In combination with climate proxy records, it is indicated that aeolian loess deposition and pedogenesis underwent polyphase changes during the Holocene, likely to have been driven by shifts in the East Asian monsoon. This suggests that aeolian loess deposition is episodic and highly variable, with contributions from non-aeolian processes such as alluvial deposition found in the area.