影响南海夏季风爆发因子的诊断研究

通过南海夏季风爆发偏早年和偏晚年前期冬春季东亚地区的环流、积雪及海温等要素特征的诊断分析,揭示了南海夏季风爆发时间早晚与前期冬季东亚大气环流、热带对流、热源及热带太平洋海温的异常分布有密切联系,南海夏季风爆发偏早年的前期有冬季风偏强,高原积雪偏少,海洋大陆地区的对流活跃、热源增强及LaNina型海温分布等主要特征;南海夏季风爆发偏晚年的前期特征则基本相反。根据1997～1998年冬春环流、积雪及海温等的特征作了1998年南海夏季风爆发时间的预测,其结果与1998年的实况基本一致。     

北疆冬季降水异常与前期环流特征的相关分析

用相关分析法计算了北疆冬季降水与前期各月北半球500hPa平均高度场的相关系数，选择相关好的域计算了北疆冬季降水异常年份对应的前期相关月的500hPa距平场，结果表明当年9月欧洲脊的强弱及新疆上空急锋锋区的位置与前冬降水异常有一定的相关，6月北欧-极区冷空气的强度及12月西西伯利亚脊的位置和强弱与后冬降水异常有一定的相关。     

近50年来全球海温异常对我国东部地区冬季温度异常影响的诊断研究

利用1951－1997年全球海温、风场月平均资料和我国东部地区100个测站的冬季地面气温等资料，分析了我国东部地区冬季温度异常的时空特征和变化规律，探讨了全球海温异常与我国东部地区冬季温度异常的关系。发现赤道印度洋、赤道东太平洋、黑潮区是影响我国东部地区冬季温度异常的关键海区。前期夏、秋季赤道印度泣、赤道东太平洋海温异常与我国东部地区冬季温度异常有较好的相关关系，对预测我国东部地区冬季温度异常有一定的前兆意义。且不同关键海区的海温异常在不同季节对我国东部地区冬季温度异常产生影响的区域不同。     

加拿大东海岸冬季风暴的分析

利用加拿大大气环境局第二次冬季风暴观测（简称ＣＡＳＰⅡ）的部分资料，对加拿在东海岸冬季风暴的发生，发展情况进行了分析，结果表明，大多数风暴能达到爆发性发展程度，并对其中一个形成眼区的强风暴例子做了进一步讨论。     

桂林冷冬和暖冬的环流特征分析

采用计算距平积温的方法 ,对桂林 195 7- 1999年冬季各月的旬平均气温进行统计 ,确定冷、暖冬年的标准 ,找出 7个暖冬年 ,9个冷冬年 ,并对这些年冬季的环流特征进行对比分析 ,找出造成桂林冷冬或暖冬的主要环流特征     

Trace elements and stable isotopic geochemistry of an Early Cambrian chert-phosphorite unit from the lower Yurtus Formation of the Sugetbrak section in the Tarim Basin

A chert-phosphorite unit from the Sugetbrak section in the Tarim Basin was analyzed for rare earth elements (Ce, Eu), redox sensitive proxies, and carbon isotopic compositions (δ¹³C_carb and δ ¹³C_org) in the lower Yurtus Formation of the Early Cambrian period. Redox sensitive element ratios (Th/U, V/Cr, Ni/Co, and V/Sc) were employed to determine the palaeoenvironmental conditions during this period. The ratios indicated that the depositional environment of the chert-phosphorite-black shale unit ranged from suboxic to anoxic. Negative Ce and positive Eu anomalies in the chert-phosphorite assemblages of the studied Yurtus Formation indicated the existence of a redox-stratified ocean, similar to that of South China. Overturn or upward expansion of the deep water-mass probably reached the shallow marine zone after the formation of the Yurtus phosphorites. The characteristics of the negative Ce anomaly may be due to phosphoritic inheritance from the Ce-depleted signature of the overlying water column. Subsequent hydrothermal inputs and reduced detrital supplies of the deep water caused by the upwelling affected certain redox sensitive elements in the sedimentary basin. δ ¹³C_carb and δ¹³C_org negative excursions in the Yurtus chert-phosphorite unit may be related to a transgression phase when episodic basinal upwelling moved ¹²C- and P-rich waters from the pelagic basin floor to the continental shelf. Although carbon isotopic compositions in the Yurtus chert-phosphorite assemblages may have suffered from diagenetic alteration, they can be used to probe diagenetic conditions. Multi-proxy geochemical studies indicated that the δ ¹³C_carb values of the Yurtus chert-phosphorite assemblages might be considered reflections of a predominantly suboxic environment that was subsequently affected by hydrothermal inputs due to the upwelling.     

Organic carbon isotope gradient and ocean stratification across the late Ediacaran-Early Cambrian Yangtze Platform

Organic carbon isotope(δ13Corg) data from two well-preserved sections across a shallow-to-deep water transect of the late Ediacaran-Early Cambrian Yangtze Platform in South China show significant temporal and spatial variations. In the shallow-water Jiulongwan-Jijiapo section, δ13Corg values of the late Ediacaran Dengying Formation range from -29‰ to -24‰. In the deep-water Longbizui section, δ13Corg values from time-equivalent strata of the Dengying Formation are mostly between –35‰ and -32‰. These new data, in combination with δ13Corg data reported from other sections in South China, reveal a 6‰–8‰ shallow-to-deep water δ13Corg gradient. High δ13Corg values(-30‰) occur mostly in shallow-water carbonate rocks, whereas low δ13Corg values(-32‰) dominate the deep-water black shale and chert. The large temporal and spatial δ13Corg variations imply limited buffering effect from a large dissolved organic carbon(DOC) reservoir that was inferred to have existed in Ediacaran-Early Cambrian oceans. Instead, δ13Corg variations between platform and basin sections are more likely caused by differential microbial biomass contribution to total organic matter. High δ13Corg values(-30‰) documented from shallow-water carbonates are within the range of typical Phanerozoic δ13Corg data and may record the isotope signature of organic matter from primary(photosynthetic) production. In contrast, low δ13Corg values(-32‰) from deep-water sections may have resulted from higher chemoautotrophic or methanotrophic biomass contribution to bulk organic matter in anoxic environments. The δ13Corg data provide indirect evidence for ocean stratification and episodic chemocline fluctuations in the Ediacaran-Early Cambrian Yangtze Platform.     

Risk-based drought early warning system in reservoir operation

This paper introduces a risk-based decision process integrated into a drought early warning system (DEWS) for reservoir operation. It is to support policy making under uncertainty for drought management. Aspects of posterior risk, chances of option occurrences and the corresponding options to given chances, are provided to help decision makers to make better decisions. A new risk index is also defined to characterize decision makers’ attitudes toward risk. Decision makers can understand the inclination of attitude associated with any specific probability through accuracy assessment, and learn to adjust their attitudes in decision-making process. As a pioneering experiment, the Shihmen reservoir in northern Taiwan was tested. Over the simulation period (1964–2005), the expected overall accuracy approximated to 77%. The results show that the proposed approach is very practical and should find good use for reservoir operations.     

Radiolaria‐dated Lower Permian clastic‐rock sequence in the Fukuji area of the Hida‐gaien terrane,central Japan,and its inter‐terrane correlation across Southwest Japan

The stratigraphy and radiolarian age of the Mizuyagadani Formation in the Fukuji area of the Hida‐gaien terrane, central Japan, represent those of Lower Permian clastic‐rock sequences of the Paleozoic non‐accretionary‐wedge terranes of Southwest Japan that formed in island arc–forearc/back‐arc basin settings. The Mizuyagadani Formation consists of calcareous clastic rocks, felsic tuff, tuffaceous sandstone, tuffaceous mudstone, sandstone, mudstone, conglomerate, and lenticular limestone. Two distinctive radiolarian faunas that are newly reported from the Lower Member correspond to the zonal faunas of the Pseudoalbaillella u‐forma morphotype I assemblage zone to the Pseudoalbaillella lomentaria range zone (Asselian to Sakmarian) and the Albaillella sinuata range zone (Kungurian). In spite of a previous interpretation that the Mizuyagadani Formation is of late Middle Permian age, it consists of Asselian to Kungurian tuffaceous clastic strata in its lower part and is conformably overlain by the Middle Permian Sorayama Formation. An inter‐terrane correlation of the Mizuyagadani Formation with Lower Permian tuffaceous clastic strata in the Kurosegawa terrane and the Nagato tectonic zone of Southwest Japan indicates the presence of an extensive Early Permian magmatic arc(s) that involved almost all of the Paleozoic non‐accretionary‐wedge terranes in Japan. These new biostratigraphic data provide the key to understanding the original relationships among highly disrupted Paleozoic terranes in Japan and northeast Asia.     

Discovery of agglutinated foraminifers from the Longzhaogou Group in eastern Heilongjiang Province

The low diversity agglutinated foraminifers are recovered from the Qihulin Formation of the Longzhaogou Group in eastern Heilongjiang, China. The foraminiferal fauna consists of 9 species of 5 genera. The common members are Cribrostomoides nonioninoides (Reuss), Haplophragmoides concavus (Chapman), H. gigas minor Nauss. Although the diagnostic zonal taxa are absent in the agglutinated fauna, according to the global stratigraphic distribution of the above-mentioned species, and the associated Pseudohaploceras ammonite fauna, the foraminiferal fauna may be of a Barremian-Aptian (Early Cretaceous) age.