Near-Infrared Imaging Spectrophotometry Of Comet C/1995 O1 (Hale-Bopp) Near Perihelion

We present 1- to 5-μm broadband and CVF images of comet Hale-Bopp taken 1997 February 10.5 UT, 50 days before perihelion. All the images exhibit a nonspherical coma with a bright “ridge” in the direction of the dust tail approximately 10″ from the coma. Synthetic aperture spectrophotometry implies that the optically important grains are of a radius ≤0.4 μm; smallest radius for any comet seen to date. The variation of the integrated surface brightness with radial distance from the coma (ρ) in all the images closely follows the “steady state” ρ⁻¹ model for comet dust ablation (Gehrz and Ney, 1992). The near-infrared colors taken along the dust tail are not constant implying the dust grain properties vary with coma distance. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.     

登陆台风边界层风廓线特征的地基雷达观测

为了分析登陆台风边界层风廓线特征,利用2004—2013年中国东南沿海新一代多普勒天气雷达收集的17个登陆台风资料,采用飓风速度体积分析方法,反演登陆台风的边界层风场结构特征。与探空观测对比表明,利用雷达径向风场可以准确地反演登陆台风的边界层风场结构,其风速误差小于2 m/s,风向误差小于5°。所有登陆台风合成的边界层风廓线显示,在近地层(100 m)以上,边界层风廓线存在类似急流的最大切向风,其高度均在1 km以上,显著高于大西洋观测到的飓风边界层急流高度(低于1 km)。陆地边界层内低层入流强度也明显大于过去海上观测,这主要是由陆地上摩擦增大引起。越靠近台风中心,边界层风廓线离散度越大,其中,径向风廓线比全风速以及切向风廓线离散度更大。将风廓线相对台风移动方向分为4个象限,分析边界层风廓线非对称特征显示,台风移动前侧入流层明显高于移动后侧。最大切向风位于台风移动左后侧,而台风右后侧没有显著的急流特征,与过去理想模拟的海陆差异导致的台风非对称分布特征一致。     

一次台风前部龙卷的多普勒天气雷达分析

通过分析2004年8月25日发生在浙江省宁波市的一次台风前部龙卷发生发展的环境特征, 发现该龙卷发生在台风前部风切变区里, 尽管当时涡度、散度等物理量对于深对流发展不是非常有利, 但下湿中干、强的垂直风切变及地形条件等还是有利于局地弱龙卷的产生; 在宁波新一代天气雷达产品上表现为强的钩状回波, 速度场上有相邻的正负速度中心及强的组合切变值等。通过多个反射率产品、剖面产品等综合分析了该风暴的三维结构, 初步了解此类弱龙卷的发生机理, 为以后的预报提供一些经验。     

南海北部陆坡海域内波谱特征

本文对1998年南海季风实验中定点观测的声学多普勒流速剖面仪（Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler,ADCP）海流数据进行频谱分析,结果表明南海北部地区内波之间的非线性作用的强弱影响着该海域的内波谱特征。在季节性温跃层（水深22m和58m）中,由于存在着强的非线性作用,内波带的谱斜率趋于σ^-1和σ^-2之间,而且较高能量的潮谐波频率的峰值随着频率呈现少见的一。递减。在季节性温跃层（水深130m）以下,内波非线性相互作用较弱,观测的内波带谱特征与标准Garrett-Munk内波谱相似,均显示了σ^-2的谱斜率。     

低纬高原罕见“雷打雪”中尺度特征分析

应用常规高空资料、FY-2C卫星红外和水汽图像、加密自动站地面观测资料,结合新一代多普勒雷达探测资料,综合分析了2008年2月28日夜间至29日凌晨发生在云南的"雷打雪"罕见天气现象.结果表明:南支槽和冷空气、西南低空急流的共同影响,是其发生的有利天气背景,其中强对流天气就发生在急流与锋面相互作用的湿度锋湿区内斜压不稳定的环境中.中-γ尺度对流云团生成并逐渐增强为中-β尺度对流云团是形成此次复杂对流天气的直接中尺度系统.多普勒雷达回波中,PPI上有回波强度达25～33dBz的"人字形"回波、钩状回波以及阵风锋的出现,相应VPPI上出现逆风区、低层零线"S"形暖平流及"牛眼"结构是"雷打雪"天气中降雨转为冰雹、阵雪过程中,中尺度对流系统由弱变强的典型特征.地面逐时温、压、湿、风的迅速演变特征表现为雷暴发生前增温增湿和增压,温度、气压出现峰值,且气压曲线显示为圆顶状的中尺度雷暴高压特征;风的变化则表现为风向呈逆时针旋转,偏北风增大并出现风速峰值.雷暴过境时,要素显示为降温增湿,出现露点锋.     

Mesoscale Eddies Observed by TOLEX-ADCP and TOPEX/POSEIDON Altimeter in the Kuroshio Recirculation Region South of Japan

Mesoscale eddies in the Kuroshio recirculation region south of Japan have been investigated by using surface current data measured by an Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler (ADCP) installed on a regular ferry shuttling between Tokyo and Chichijima, Bonin Islands, and sea surface height anomaly derived from the TOPEX/POSEIDON altimeter. Many cyclonic and anticyclonic eddies were observed in the region. Spatial and temporal scales of the eddies were determined by lag-correlation analyses in space and time. The eddies are circular in shape with a diameter of 500 km and a temporal scale of 80 days. Typical maximum surface velocity and sea surface height anomaly associated with the eddies are 15–20 cm s^–1 and 15 cm, respectively. The frequency of occurrence, temporal and spatial scales, and intensity are all nearly the same for the cyclonic and anticyclonic eddies, which are considered to be successive wave-like disturbances rather than solitary eddies. Phase speed of westward propagation of the eddies is estimated as 6.8 cm s^–1, which is faster than a theoretical estimate based on the baroclinic first-mode Rossby wave with or without a mean current. The spatial distribution of sea surface height variations suggests that these eddies may be generated in the Kuroshio Extension region and propagate westward in the Kuroshio recirculation region, though further studies are needed to clarify the generation processes.     

Evaluation of ASCE 7 equations for designing acceleration‐sensitive nonstructural components using data from instrumented buildings

This study uses instrumented buildings and models of code‐based designed buildings to validate the results of previous studies that highlighted the need to revise the ASCE 7 F_p equation for designing nonstructural components (NSCs) through utilizing oversimplified linear and nonlinear models. The evaluation of floor response spectra of a large number of instrumented buildings illustrates that, unlike the ASCE 7 approach, the in‐structure and the component amplification factors are a function of the ratio of NSC period to the supporting building modal periods, the ground motion intensity, and the NSC location. It is also shown that the recorded ground motions at the base of instrumented buildings in most cases are significantly lower than design earthquake (DE) ground motions. Because ASCE 7 is meant to provide demands at a DE level, for a more reliable evaluation of the F_p equation, 2 representative archetype buildings are designed based on the ASCE 7‐16 seismic provisions and exposed to various ground motion intensity levels (including those consistent with the ones experienced by instrumented buildings and the DE). Simulation results of the archetype buildings, consistent with previous numerical studies, illustrate the tendency of the ASCE 7 in‐structure amplification factor, [1 + 2(z/h)] , to significantly overestimate demands at all floor levels and the ASCE 7 limit of to in many cases underestimate the calculated NSC amplification factors. Furthermore, the product of these 2 amplification factors (that represents the normalized peak NSC acceleration) in some cases exceeds the ASCE 7 equation by a factor up to 1.50.     

广东省后汛期强对流天气潜势预报方法研究

利用2007—2008年两年7—10月广东后汛期强对流天气出现时的雷达资料、对应的GRAPES模式资料以及地市台站上报的强对流天气发生的实况,把瞬时大风〉17.2 m·s^-1、冰雹、龙卷作为强对流发生的依据,对上述数据进行整理。根据广州热带海洋研究所中尺度模式的输出GRAPES资料,结合雷达CAPPI数据,计算单体的各层风速、温度、湿度、有效位能等环境特征量,将单体特征和模式计算的单体环境场要素以及强对流发生实况,通过多元逐步回归方法建立后汛期强对流天气潜势预报方程,据此对发生于广东省后汛期强对流天气（如雷雨大风、冰雹和龙卷风）进行0～1小时临近预报。用预报成功率（POD）、虚假警报率（FAR）和关键成功指数（CSI）衡量方法的预报性能。共有5540个有效样本参与回归计算,31个因子中有12个引入了回归方程,建立的预报方程在阈值取为0.26时,得到的预报成功率POD为0.73,虚假警报率FAR为0.61,关键成功指数CSI为0.338,各项指标均要好于前汛期预报性能;从实际的预报能力来看,在后汛期强对流潜势预报中,后汛期强对流潜势预报方法得到的空报率和漏报率都要低于前汛期,预报效果较好,可用于广东后汛期的强对流天气潜势预报中。     

WRF-Hybrid背景误差协方差调整在台风同化及预报中的应用研究

利用雷达径向风单点试验和2006年8月超强台风"桑美"个例,首先研究了静态背景误差协方差的尺度化因子和方差在台风系统雷达资料同化中对台风路径和强度预报的影响。结果表明:在高时空分辨率的雷达资料同化中,较小的尺度化因子能显著改进对台风路径的预报;尺度化因子的影响比方差的影响更为显著。基于上述实验结果,进一步研究了WRFDA-Hybrid系统中"流依赖"控制变量的水平局地化和垂直局地化对台风预报的影响。试验结果表明:当"流依赖"的水平局地化距离与静态背景误差协方差的尺度化因子具有等效影响范围的时候,WRFDA-Hybrid能够得到比较合理的分析结果。同时针对雷达观测资料的空间分布特征,本文提出了一种新的基于雷达探测高度的垂直局地化方案,对台风的强度和路径预报均有显著的改进。     

WIND SHEAR IDENTIFICATION WITH THE RETRIEVED WIND OF DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR

Wind shear reflects that the wind field is not uniform, which is one of the primary factors which make the retrieval of the wind field difficult. Based on volume velocity process(VVP) wind field retrieval technique, the intensity of wind shear is identified in this paper. After analyzing the traditional techniques that rely on the difference of radial velocity to identify wind shear, a fixed difference among radial velocities that may cause false identification in a uniform wind field was found. Because of the non-uniformity in wind shear areas, the difference of retrieved results between surrounding analysis volumes can be used as a measurement to show how strong the wind shear is. According to the analysis of a severe convective weather process that occurred in Guangzhou, it can be found that the areas of wind shear appeared with the strength significantly larger than in other regions and the magnitude generally larger than4.5 m/(s·km). Besides, by comparing the variation of wind shear strength during the convection, it can be found that new cells will be more likely to generate when the strength is above 3.0 m/(s·km). Therefore, the analysis of strong wind shear's movement and development is helpful to forecasting severe convections.