Characteristics of evapotranspiration from a permafrost black spruce forest in interior Alaska

Here, the year 2011 characteristics of evapotranspiration and the energy budget of a black spruce forest underlain by permafrost in interior Alaska were explored. Energy balance was nearly closed during summer, and the mean value of the daily energy balance ratio (the ratio of turbulent energy fluxes to available energy) from June to August was 1.00, though a large energy balance deficit was observed in the spring. Such a deficit was explained partly by the energy consumed by snowmelt. Ground heat flux played an important role in the energy balance, explaining 26.5% of net radiation during summer. The mean daily evapotranspiration of this forest during summer was 1.37 mm day^?1 – considered typical for boreal forests. The annual evapotranspiration and sublimation yielded 207.3 mm year^?1, a value much smaller than the annual precipitation. Sublimation accounted for 8.8% (18.2 mm year^?1) of the annual evapotranspiration and sublimation; thus, the sublimation is not negligible in the annual water balance in boreal forests. The daytime average decoupling coefficient was very small, and the mean value was 0.05 during summer. Thus, evapotranspiration from this forest was mostly explained by the component from the dryness of the air, resulting from the aerodynamically rough surface of this forest.     

Contraction and convergence of in-use metal stocks to meet climate goals

The foundations of modern society are based on metals, yet their production is currently placing considerable strain on the Earth’s carrying capacity. Here, we develop a century-long scenario for six major metals (iron, aluminum, copper, zinc, lead, and nickel) harmonized with climate goals, with the goal of establishing science-based targets. We show that for the metal sector to contribute proportionally to emission reductions targets of the industrial sector, global in-use metal stocks need to converge from the current level of around 4 t/capita to about 7 t/capita. This will require today’s high-income countries to contract their per capita stock from current levels of about 12 t/capita to make room for growth in countries that are presently classified as middle- and low-income countries. In such a contraction and convergence scenario, primary production of all six metals will peak by 2030, and secondary production will surpass primary production by at least 2050. Consequently, cumulative ore requirements over the 21st century will remain below currently identified resources, implying that natural ore extraction will be limited by emissions budgets before existing resources can be depleted. Importantly, realizing such system changes will require urgent and concerted international efforts involving all countries, but specific responsibilities will vary according to income level. Namely, wealthy countries will need to use existing metal stocks more intensively and for longer periods to reduce stock replacement demand, while poor countries will need to develop long-lasting and material-efficient infrastructure to curtail stock expansion demand in the first half of the 21st century.     

SH波作用下岩质边坡响应规律的解析探讨

基于弹性力学理论,推导了弹性波动方程,并给出了位移势函数的表达式.根据应力波传播理论建立了边坡中应力波传播模型,以SH波为例详细说明了边坡中不同部位的应力波叠加情况.将边坡的坡面和坡顶自由面解耦为2个相互独立的自由面,分别分析了2个自由面附近应力波场的叠加,并据此研究了边坡中波函数幅值变化情况,得到了边坡水平向动力放大...     

Decoupled elastic prestack depth migration

This paper presents a new decoupled form of the formula for common-shot or common-receiver amplitude-preserving elastic prestack depth migration (PreSDM), which can be used for estimating angle-dependent elastic reflection coefficients in laterally inhomogeneous anisotropic media. The multi-shot or multi-receiver extension of this formula is suitable for automated prestack amplitude-versus-angle (AVA) elastic inversion of ocean-bottom cable (OBC), walkaway VSP (WVSP) or standard towed-cable data at any subsurface location. The essence of the theory is a systematic application of the stationary-phase principle and high-frequency approximations to the basic elastic Green's theorem. This leads to nonheuristic explicit wave mode decoupling and scalarization of vector PreSDM. Used in combination, ray-trace and finite-difference (FD) eikonal solvers create a useful tool to calculate accurate Green's function travel time and amplitude maps. Examples of synthetic OBC data and applications to field WVSP data show that the new imaging technique can produce a clear multi-mode elastic image.     

基于脱钩指数和LMDI的青海省绿色低碳发展策略研究

推动青海省绿色低碳转型发展,既是推进黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展的迫切需要,也有助于缓解我国应对气候变化和碳减排工作压力。采用Tapio脱钩指数和对数平均迪氏指数(LMDI)分解法,在分析能源消费及碳排放变化与经济总量增长脱钩关系的基础上,对影响能源消费及碳排放的因素进行了分解研究,提出了推动青海省绿色低碳发展转型的着力点。主要结论：能源消费及碳排放与经济总量增长实现脱钩,且“十三五”时期“喇叭口”现象日益明显;人口和经济增长是能源消费和碳排放增长的主要驱动力;能源强度下降总体上减缓了能源消费和碳排放的增长,与第二产业能源消费强度变化密切相关;能源结构调整有效抑制了碳排放增长,且抑制作用不断增强;产业结构调整缓解能源消费需求的作用全面显现,但还需进一步调整第二产业结构。建议：提高有色金属冶炼、化工以及非金属矿物制品业等传统工业用煤效率和燃煤发电效率;减少对有色金属冶炼、化工等传统工业的过度依赖;推动风、光、水、火、储多能集约高效利用。     

基于改进余弦组合窗的解耦方程弹性波逆时偏移

弹性波矢量波场逆时偏移可以综合利用纵横波场信息,对地下空间进行清晰成像,且对于成像介质没有角度限制,可以对复杂构造进行更清晰的成像.而弹性波逆时偏移中最重要的就是求解波动方程的算法,其直接影响成像的精度以及效率.本文引进电力系统谐波分析中常用的余弦组合窗函数,并通过一种新的优化算法得到了改进的余弦组合窗函数从而得到优化后的有限差分算子.并将此算子应用于解耦方程的矢量波场分离算法从而提高了成像精度.数值测试表明基于新算法的逆时偏移的成像精度和清晰度得到了明显的提高.     

“Mind the (Policy-Implementation) Gap”: Transport decarbonisation policies and performances of leading global economies (1990–2018)

Despite a series of transport decarbonisation initiatives, transport carbon emissions have been growing in both absolute and relative terms since 1990, and this is contributing to climate change. This study scrutinises the decoupling experiences of transport carbon emissions in 16 selected countries, including both developed and developing countries, over a 29-year timeframe (1990–2018). Resting upon the concept of socio-ecological resilience, collaborative planning and policy-implementation gap, a new conceptual framework is proposed to understand transport decarbonisation policies. In doing so, data of transport carbon emissions and Real Gross National Income in Purchasing Power Parity (based 2017) are first analysed. Progress of decoupling is then categorized for each country in every five-year period (a total of 96 data points). We then select consecutive periods when a country moves towards absolute decoupling (i.e. improvement) or deviates from it (i.e. worsening) and identify relevant policy instruments implemented based on a nine-component strategic framework that addresses the policy-implementation gap. Results indicate that defining clear sectoral objectives in action plans and integrating a holistic policy package to reinforce sustainable transport is pivotal. While there are no magic bullets to achieve transport decarbonisation, the strategic framework can help enhance policy effectiveness by formulating context-specific strategies.     

Dutch climate policy: A victim of economic growth?

The Netherlands has ratified The Kyoto protocol and agreed to reduce its emissions of greenhouse gases. Since 1990 the goals were made less ambitious several times, but still the last goal for 2000 was not met. Economic growth surely has been one of the main culprits. The main reason economic growth results in higher CO₂ emissions, is the fact that it causes higher energy consumption. So far policy measures to reduce CO₂ emissions, including many energy efficiency and energy reduction measures, did not succeed in beating the effects of economic growth. The Netherlands did not manage to decouple economic growth and environmental pressure (measured here as CO₂ emissions). Absolute decoupling will require an economy that has a fuel mix with a large proportion of renewables, and a much higher energy efficiency level, and probably some major technological breakthroughs. It is not very likely that current policy measures will lead to the Kyoto goals. Therefore, it is concluded that emission trading and levies would offer good, and efficient options for further reductions of CO₂ equivalents. It might, however, make it difficult for The Netherlands to realise 50% of its reduction domestically, as CO₂ reduction abroad will most likely be at least five times cheaper. The Ministry of VROM will have to invent new policy measures to meet the Kyoto goals.     

两相介质近场波动模拟的一种解耦有限元方法

本文将求解近场波动问题的一种解耦技术推广到两相介质,得到了一种求解两相介质近场波动问题的直接解耦方法,包括集中质量有限元模型、时域显式积分格式和局部人工边界条件. 首先应用加权残数法,并依据波动模拟的精度要求,得到了两相介质集中质量有限元模型. 然后,结合两相介质中波动的衰减特性,实现了透射边界在两相介质近场波动中的运用. 最后,通过数值实验,并与解析解对比,验证了本文方法的有效性.