利用尾矿废石制造微晶玻璃花岗岩的投资可行性分析

在论述尾矿废石利用现状的基础上,对利用尾矿废石制造微晶玻璃花岗岩的投资可行性进行了分析,提供了一套可用于此类决策的分析方法。     

An interval-parameter multi-stage stochastic programming model for water resources management under uncertainty

In this study, an interval-parameter multi-stage stochastic linear programming (IMSLP) method has been developed for water resources decision making under uncertainty. The IMSLP is a hybrid methodology of inexact optimization and multi-stage stochastic programming. It has three major advantages in comparison to the other optimization techniques. Firstly, it extends upon the existing multi-stage stochastic programming method by allowing uncertainties expressed as probability density functions and discrete intervals to be effectively incorporated within the optimization framework. Secondly, penalties are exercised with recourse against any infeasibility, which permits in-depth analyses of various policy scenarios that are associated with different levels of economic consequences when the promised water-allocation targets are violated. Thirdly, it cannot only handle uncertainties through constructing a set of scenarios that is representative for the universe of possible outcomes, but also reflect dynamic features of the system conditions through transactions at discrete points in time over the planning horizon. The developed IMSLP method is applied to a hypothetical case study of water resources management. The results are helpful for water resources managers in not only making decisions of water allocation but also gaining insight into the tradeoffs between environmental and economic objectives.     

吉林延边安图县海沟地区海沟岩群的建立及其意义

吉林延边安图县海沟地区的海沟岩群系1/5万区域地质调查新建的特殊岩石地层单位(Speciallithostrati-graphicunits),由3个岩组构成:团结岩组为碎屑岩夹大理岩;东方红岩组为一套中酸性火山熔岩及其火山碎屑岩夹凝灰质砂岩;四岔子岩组为一套含铁岩系,主要由黑云变粒岩、斜长角闪岩夹磁铁石英岩组成。三者的接触关系均为断层接触,而且四周为元古代、早古生代的花岗岩所侵吞,属华北板块北缘东段残留的的构造岩片堆积产物,其时代为中元古代。这个岩组的建立,对探讨华北板块北缘东段中元古代地层划分和对比、陆缘裂谷的形成演化与成矿作用的关系以及新元古代Rodinia超大陆的形成等均具有重要的意义。     

应用逼近理想解法综合评价区域水资源承载能力

在多目标决策中,基于传统的逼近于理想解的技术,根据区域水资源承载能力的强与弱和待评价的对象(评价方案)的不理想(负理想)与理想(劣与优)这些典型的模糊概念,提出了基于模糊集合的逼近理想解法(TOPSISFS),并应用于区域水资源承载能力的综合评价中。TOPSISFS与投影寻踪模型法(PP法)、理想区间法(MODMIIM)相比,简单、有效。TOPSISFS可广泛应用于多目标决策中。     

基于决策树的多光谱影像分类研究

采用了辅以纹理特征的决策树方法进行分类,探讨了决策树在遥感数据分类方面的优势,提高了遥感影像的分类精度。     

空间决策支持技术在城市地震应急指挥软件系统中的应用

将空间决策支持技术SDSS引入城市地震应急指挥技术领域,利用决策支持技术DSS的多模型组合建模方法和地理信息系统的空间分析技术,建构了城市地震应急指挥空间辅助决策支持软件系统。详细讨论了该系统的整体规划与功能实现,并对系统数据库、模型库、方法库和知识库及其管理子系统的设计与开发作了详细阐述,以期为城市灾害与突发事件的防御与应急提供技术支持。     

Air flow analysis in the upper Río Negro Valley (Argentina)

The so called Upper Río Negro Valley in Argentina is one of the most important fruit and vegetable production regions of the country. It comprises the lower valleys of the Limay and Neuquén rivers and the upper Negro river valley. Out of the 41,671 cultivated hectares, 84.6% are cultivated with fruit trees, especially apple, pear and stone fruit trees. Late frosts occurring when trees are sensitive to low temperatures have a significant impact on the regional production. This study presents an analysis of air flow characteristics in the Upper Río Negro Valley and its relationship with ambient air flow. To such effect, observations made when synoptic-scale weather patterns were favorable for radiative frosts (light wind and clear sky) or nocturnal temperature inversion in the lower layer were used. In the Negro river valley, both wind channeling and downward horizontal momentum transport from ambient wind were observed; in nighttime, very light wind events occurred, possibly associated with drainage winds from the nearby higher levels of the barda. In the Neuquén river valley, the prevailing effect appeared to be forced channeling, consistent with the results obtained in valleys where the synoptic scale wind crossed the axis of the valley. In the Limay river valley, the flow was observed to blow parallel to the longitudinal valley axis, possibly influenced by pressure gradient and forced channeling.     

油气勘探开发项目投资决策路径的设计

研究油气勘探开发项目投资决策路径的根本目的在于规避风险,以利润极大化为原则,兼顾社会目标,正确选择投资方向,合理安排投资规模,保证石油化工企业油气资源的持续安全供应和可持续发展,提高集团的竞争力.油气勘探开发项目具有明显的实物期权特性,传统的NPV方法已经不适应此类项目的评价与决策,本文结合中石化的实际,从企业目标和社会目标2个方面着手,提出了基于实物期权的油气勘探开发项目投资决策路径,从而丰富了项目投资决策的思路和方法.     

天津市堆山造景工程地基稳定监测与防治

堆山造景工程是一项利用建筑渣土,在坑塘上进行堆载的市政工程。通过对堆山造景工程的工程地质条件分析,结合工程设计、施工工期等条件,提出了清理淤泥、设置反压平台、排水、控制堆填速率等促进地基稳定的防治措施。利用孔隙水压力监测、侧向位移监测及分层沉降监测等原位监测数据,以复合型法进行反演力学计算参数,并将反演结果用于该工程地基稳定性的模拟,以指导后期工程以及类似工程的建设。     

U-Pb Zircon Dating of the Granitic Conglomerates of the Hutuo Group： Affinities to the Wutai Granitoids and Significance to the Tectonic Evolution of the Trans-North China Orogen

1 Introduction The North China Craton (NCC) is considered to be the oldest and largest cratonic block in China. Recent studies to gain understanding of basement architecture of the NCC has led to its division into the Western and Eastern Blocks, separated by a N-S trending Paleoproterozoic Trans-North China Orogen (TNCO) (Fig. 1; Zhao et al., 1998, 1999a, 2000a, 2001a; Wilde et al., 2002). Although there is now abroad consensus that the final assembly of the NCC was completed by th…