新疆旅游资源的类型、等级及空间分布特征

在全面掌握新疆旅游资源的实查资料基础上,对全疆旅游资源做系统分类与定量评价,总结其类型、等级和空间分布特征,并从新疆地理环境变迁和多民族、多文化的社会环境两方面分析新疆高品质旅游资源的成因。结果表明:新疆旅游资源类型多样,与全国相比,主类、亚类齐全,基本类型占66.5%;八大类中建筑与设施和地文景观的种类较丰富;建筑与设施类景点最多,水域风光和生物景观次之;新疆旅游资源等级较高,优良级占43.6%,整体为中间大两头小的谷仓型结构;高等级集中于凸峰、观光游憩湖区、林地、草地、野生动物栖息地、废城与聚落地、石窟、边境口岸、特色街巷、传统手工产品与制品、民间演艺等类;空间分布呈现为三带两环状和六点状集聚特征,这与新疆地貌格局和高品质景点的聚群作用有关;新疆自然旅游资源是整个地理环境演变过程的产物;而多民族、多文化的社会环境是人文类的主要成因。     

基于GIS的宁夏路网空间特征研究

宁夏回族自治区作为我国唯一的省级回族集聚地区,是一个很独特的地理-人口-交通单元,也是连接华北和西北的重要节点.以宁夏的交通路网数据为基础,通过设置阻抗改进网络分析法,并结合成本距离算法和GIS空间分析计算2011、2017年和2023年的县(区)可达性,研究全区路网的空间结构特征,并提出路网发展的决策建议.研究表明:...     

黑河地区高分辨陆地分类的综合分析

本文综合了国内外诸种有关资料,借鉴了国际上较通用的下垫面特征分类标准,也结合黑河地区下垫面的实际情况,对HEIFE试验区及其邻近地区的下垫面特征(包括地表特征、土壤特征及地形高度)进行归纳分类,形成了两种高分辨率(分别约为6km×6km及3km×3km)的下垫面特征的格点化资料,可供该地区地气相互作用研究用。     

喀什地区1961—2010年最大冻土深度变化

利用1961～2010年喀什地区所属喀什市、莎车县、巴楚县、塔什库尔干县等4个代表性站50a的年最大冻土深度、冬季平均气温、极端最低气温、极端最低地温等资料,采用气候趋势系数和气候倾向率方法,对1961年以来喀什地区最大冻土深度变化进行了分析。结果表明,喀什地区平原多年平均最大冻土深度为48.1 cm,年际最大值与最小值深度差为82cm,随年际变化总体呈明显的减小趋势,其变化倾向率为-3.8cm/10a,年代际变化呈阶梯状逐渐减小,冻土深度减小主要受冬季平均气温升高的影响,气温每升高1℃,冻土深度减小7.75 cm;山区多年平均最大冻土深度为148.8cm,年际最大值与最小值深度差为88cm,随年际变化总体呈明显的减小趋势,其变化倾向率为-2.5cm/10a。     

Vulnerability and adaptation to climate variability and water stress in Uttarakhand State, India

This paper presents a participatory approach to investigate vulnerability and adaptive capacity to climate variability and water stress in the Lakhwar watershed in Uttarakhand State, India. Highly water stressed microwatersheds were identified by modelling surface runoff, soil moisture development, lateral runoff, and groundwater recharge. The modelling results were shared with communities in two villages, and timeline exercises were carried out to allow them to trace past developments that have impacted their lives and livelihoods, and stimulate discussion about future changes and possible adaptation interventions.     

Considering the options: climate targets for all countries

Abstract

This paper assesses five options for targets that could be taken by all countries to meet the ultimate objective of the climate change convention: fixed, binding targets; dynamic targets; non-binding targets; sectoral targets; policies and measures. Each is evaluated according to criteria of environmental effectiveness, cost-effectiveness, contribution to economic growth and sustainable development, and equity. While fixed, binding targets continue to be viable for industrialised countries, they do not seem suitable for many developing countries in the near future. Dynamic targets could alleviate developing countries' concerns about constraining their development as well as broader concerns about possible introduction of “hot air” in a world trading regime; they could also be considered for some or all industrialised countries. Non-binding targets could be politically appealing to developing countries, alleviate fears about development and/or hot air, but might only allow conditional participation in emissions trading by developing countries. Sectoral targets could offer a pragmatic first step—although their cost-effectiveness might be questioned. Finally, targets based on commitments to implement specific policies and measures might drive mitigation action and be part of negotiated packages including financial and technological co-operation. All these options may coexist in the future.     

Climate negotiations beyond Kyoto: developing countries concerns and interests

Abstract

Five years down the road from Kyoto, the Protocol that bears that city's name still awaits enough qualifying ratifications to come into force. While attention has been understandably focussed on the ratification process, it is time to begin thinking about the next steps for the global climate regime, particularly in terms of a deeper inclusion of developing countries' concerns and interests. This paper begins doing so from the perspective of the developing countries. The principal argument is that we need to return to the basic principles outlined in the Framework Convention on Climate Change in searching for a north—south bargain on climate change. Such a bargain may be achievable if we can realign the policy architecture of the climate regime to its original stated goals of sustainable development.     

1948-2001年全球陆地6-8月降水长期变化的时空特征

采用PREC/L的全球陆地月降水资料,研究了1948-2001年全球陆地6-8月降水长期变化的时空特征.结果表明,在该时段内,6-8月降水量较大的区域是全球几个主要的季风区,而且季风区的降水均方差较大;全球陆地6-8月降水量以负趋势为主要特征,降水量明显减少的区域是热带非洲,中国的淮河以北,俄罗斯的东部,中、西西伯利亚,朝鲜,南亚等8个区域;降水量增加的区域是加拿大北部、格陵兰中部等4个区域;全球36个纬度带中共有12个纬度带6-8月降水量趋势变化达到了0.05显著性水平的Monte Carlo检验,但是只有1个纬度带(65～60°S)是正趋势.全球陆地6-8月降水量正趋势的范围是很小的.初步探讨了ENSO与全球陆地6-8月降水量趋势变化的关系.     

水分不足地区降水资源供需平衡模式

在自然界与人类系统水分平衡概念的基础上,提出了作降水评价的供需平衡模式。该模式对全面发挥由降水所形成的各种主要水资源成分的潜力是有用的。用此模式作了个例试验,并提出在水分不足地区缓解水分欠缺的途径。     

湖北省未来30年气温和降水量变化趋势预测

使用国家气候中心的区域气候模式对1961～1990、2001～2030年湖北省逐月气温、降水量的预估值(格点0.5°×0.5°,A2情景),以1961～1990年湖北省平均温度和平均降水量为基准,计算并分析未来30年(2001～2030年)及每10年年平均气温、降水量变化趋势。结果表明:(1)未来30年湖北省年平均气温普遍呈上升趋势,上升幅度在0.19～0.39℃之间,平均0.27℃,鄂南增温比鄂北快,其中2021～2030年增幅最大,2001～2010年增幅最小;(2)年平均降水量湖北省大部呈减少趋势,表现出南增北减、东增西减的特点,2001～2010年变化不大,2011～2020年绝大多数站点均有不同幅度增加,2021～2030年全省各地呈一致的下降趋势,湖北省南涝北旱趋势将有所加剧。