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91.
沈阳地处全球温度变化的敏感带,在近百年的温度观测记录中,沈阳的温度变化呈逐渐上升之势,近百年增高约1.7℃,这种上升趋势在冬季远比夏季明显。沈阳的年平均温度变化有一个12a的周期,各周期温度基本呈阶梯状上升,20世纪末的周期冬季平均温度比世纪初的周期升温2.8℃左右。从近50a的极端温度的变化趋势来看,极端最低温度明显升高,而极端最高温度并没有上升,变化趋势甚至略下降,以致冬、夏两季温差缩小。从沈阳的最低平均温度和最高平均温度变化来看,两者均随时间逐渐升高,说明沈阳市的增温不仅是最低温度升高造成的,最高温度的增温作用亦十分重要。从冬季环流形势分析来看,东亚大槽及其后弱脊和地面蒙古高压在上世纪80年代、90年代明显减弱,使得冷空气向南侵袭的径向气流减弱,是导致位于冷空气通道中的沈阳冬季增温明显的原因之一。 相似文献
92.
青藏高原影响亚洲夏季气候研究的最新进展 总被引:40,自引:6,他引:40
文中回顾了近 10a来吴国雄等在青藏高原影响亚洲夏季气候研究方面的最新进展。通过分析东西风交界面的演变证明 ,由于青藏高原的春季加热 ,亚洲季风区对流层低层冬季盛行偏东风转变为夏季偏西南风最早发生在孟加拉湾东部 ,与其相伴随的激烈对流降水出现在其东面。因此孟加拉湾东部至中印半岛西部是亚洲季风最早爆发的地区。同时也指出盛夏伊朗高原和青藏高原加热所激发的同相环流嵌套在欧亚大陆尺度的热力环流中 ,从而加强了东亚的夏季风 ,加剧了中西亚的干旱 ;并通过其所激发的波动对夏季东亚的气候格局产生重要影响。文中还比较了夏季南亚高压的伊朗模态和青藏模态性质的异同及其对亚洲夏季降水异常分布的不同影响。 相似文献
93.
94.
The impact of hydrological changes on travertine deposits related to thermal springs in the Pamukkale area (SW Turkey) 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Dilsiz Cüneyt Marques José Manuel Carreira Paula Maria Mimo 《Environmental Geology》2004,45(6):808-817
Pamukkale thermal waters (35 °C), exhibiting calcium-bicarbonate-sulfate composition and high carbon dioxide concentration, are of a predominantly meteoric origin. The meteoric fluid, circulating through faults and fractures, is heated by magmatic intrusions at great depth, and ascends from deep reservoirs to the surface. Mixing with relatively cold groundwater in the near surface zone promotes different saturation conditions with respect to calcium carbonate that later precipitates at depth and/or the surface. Dissolution-deposition processes of calcium carbonate both at surface and depth environments may help to reconstruct past climate direction in the field. During wet climate conditions a high-rate of calcium carbonate accumulation would be expected to occur at the surface because thermal fluid would be under-saturated with respect to calcium carbonate at depth because of a relatively higher mixing ratio with cold groundwater. During dry climate conditions the thermal fluid would be super-saturated at depth because of the highly acidic environment. Hydrometeorological studies reveal that the annual precipitation at the Pamukkale hydrothermal field tends to decrease with time. This climatic change in the area was also detected from geological records. While humid climate conditions prevailed during the late Quaternary, the area has recently been affected by arid/semi-arid climate conditions, followed by some episodic transitions. This study has shown how the system has possibly reacted to different climate conditions since antiquity. 相似文献
95.
96.
基于神经网络的建筑物沉降原因分析 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
在我们应用回归方法对建筑物沉降原因分析及沉降趋势的预测中,由于实际情况的复杂性及主观认识的局限性,这样所得的结果含有较多的人为因素,可能会与实际情况有所差异。针对这种情况,讨论了应用神经网络方法来发现和验证引起建筑物沉降的因素及对沉降趋势的预测。实例表明,该方法能取得较好的效果。 相似文献
97.
Kråkenes faces the open sea on the west coast of Norway. During the Younger Dryas a cirque glacier deposited a large outer and a smaller inner moraine in a cirque at the site and melt-water entered a small lake depositing glaciolacustrine sediments. The glaciolacustrine succession can be divided into three sub-units corresponding to the advance, the still-stand and the retreat phases of the glacier. The sediment succession contains both varves and other types of rhythmites, the latter being mainly deposited as turbidity underflows caused by localized slumping events. Lee-side accumulation of snow by wind and avalanching into the cirque was crucial to form and maintain the cirque glacier once summer temperatures were low enough. At maximum, the glacier likely was in equilibrium with climate. The initial retreat from the maximum position might have been triggered by fall-out of volcanic ash from Iceland, but the continued retreat was due to increased ablation season temperatures. The most rapid change in climate at the Younger Dryas/Preboreal transition occurred after the cirque glacier had melted away completely. 相似文献
98.
Discrimination between climate and human-induced dryland degradation 总被引:21,自引:0,他引:21
In this study we present a technique to discriminate between climate or human-induced dryland degradation, based on evaluations of AVHRR NDVI data and rainfall data. Since dryland areas typically have high inter-annual rainfall variations and rainfall has a dominant role in determining vegetation growth, minor biomass trends imposed by human influences are difficult to verify. By performing many linear regression calculations between different periods of accumulated precipitation and the annual NDVImax, we identify the rainfall period that is best related to the NDVImax and by this the proportion of biomass triggered by rainfall. Positive or negative deviations in biomass from this relationship, expressed in the residuals, are interpreted as human-induced. We discuss several approaches that use either a temporally fixed NDVI peaking time or an absolute one, a best mean rainfall period for the entire drylands or the best rainfall period for each individual pixel. Advantages and disadvantages of either approach or one of its combinations for discriminating between climate and human-induced degradation are discussed. Depending on the particular land-use either method has advantages. To locate areas with a high likelihood of human-induced degradation we therefore recommend combining results from each approach. 相似文献
99.
开封大雾气候特征及预报 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
利用1961~2000年气象资料,分析了开封市大雾天气分布规律、天气特征,并总结出大雾产生的几种天气形势,找出预报指标。 相似文献
100.
刍议国际地震保险投保率 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
地震灾难带来的损失日益增加的问题,让保险业至今难以应对。地震发生频率低、损失巨大而保险公司的承保能力又十分有限,加之,社会公众的投保意识薄弱,造成地震保险投保率过低。从地震灾情入手,介绍了国际地震保险开展情况,剖析了地震保险投保率过低的原因,并针对问题提出了解决措施。 相似文献