单组广播星历精度分析及其卫星轨道拟合研究

计算了单组广播星历外推2h时间内的精度,分析了精度的变化趋势,并基于广播星历对切比雪夫多项式拟合卫星轨道的方法进行了研究。     

GPS精密单点定位中精密星历和钟差的内插算法选取

利用了IGS中心给出的精密星历,计算了几种插值以及拟合算法,分析和比较了插值与拟合的质量与运算效率,基于精密单点定位软件验证与对比了其精度。     

线形工程中GPS高程拟合方法的探讨

介绍了多项式曲线拟合法和三次样条拟合法用于GPS水准联测点按线状或带状布设的情况,并通过实例简要分析了其优缺点。     

Polynomial chaos expansion and response surface method for nonlinear modelling of reference evapotranspiration

The feasibility of polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) and response surface method (RSM) models is investigated for modelling reference evapotranspiration (ET₀). The modelling results of the proposed models are validated against the M5 model tree and multi-layer perceptron neural network (MLPNN) methods. Two meteorological stations, Isparta and Antalya, in the Mediterranean region of Turkey, are inspected. Various input combinations of daily air temperature, solar radiation, wind speed and relative humidity are constructed as input attributes for the ET₀. Generally, the modelling accuracy is increased by increasing the number of inputs. Including wind speed in the model inputs considerably increases their accuracy in modelling ET₀. Mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), agreement index (d) and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) are used as comparison criteria. The PCE is the most accurate model in estimating daily ET₀, giving the lowest MAE (0.036 and 0.037 mm) and RMSE (0.047 and 0.050 mm) and the highest d (0.9998 and 0.9999) and NSE (0.9992 and 0.9996) with the four-input PCE models for Isparta and Antalya, respectively.     

基于三维Taylor模型的福建及邻近地区地磁模型研究

基于福建及邻近地区高密度的256个地磁场矢量(D、I、H分量)实测数据,结合全球陆地1km基准海拔高度工程的网格数据以及最新的第十二代国际地磁参考场模型(IGRF12),采用三维Taylor多项式模型构建了福建地区的地磁场模型.通过比较均方偏差(RMS)、磁场实际分布以及残差等,结果显示:(1)当三维Taylor模型的截断阶数(N)为2时,可基本反映N为6时的二维Taylor模型的拟合效果;(2)三维Taylor模型计算方便,精度较高,但较易出现龙格现象,因此在确定截断阶数时既要考虑模拟精度,还需要考虑边界效应问题.     

基于附有限制条件的多项式模型建立中国区域电离层模型

利用IGS站的实测数据,采用最小二乘多项式模型建立中国区域电离层延迟模型。由于该模型各时段间连续性不强,故对其附加时空域上的限制条件。结果表明,附有限制条件的多项式模型保证了模型的连续性,在一定程度上能更好地反映电离层随时间的变化特性。采用该模型,研究分析中国区域电离层的周日、季节变化特性。     

Time-domain identification of dynamic properties of layered soil by using extended Kalman filter and recorded seismic data

A novel time-domain identification technique is developed for the seismic response analysis of soil-structure interaction. A two-degree-of-freedom (2DOF) model with eight lumped parameters is adopted to model the frequency-dependent behavior of soils. For layered soil, the equivalent eight parameters of the 2DOF model arc identified by the extended Kalman filter (EKF) method using recorded seismic data. The polynomial approximations for derivation of state estimators are applied in the EKF procedure. A realistic identification example is given for the layered-soil of a building site in Anchorage, Alaska in the United States. Results of the example demonstrate the feasibility and practicality of the proposed identification technique. The 2DOF soil model and the identification technique can be used for nonlinear response analysis of soil-structure interaction in the time-domain for layered of complex soil conditions. The identified parameters can be stored in a database for use in other similar soil conditions. If a universal database that covers information related to most soil conditions is developed in the future, engineers could conveniently perform time history analyses of soil-structural interaction.     

边坡可靠度分析的非侵入式随机有限元法

提出基于非侵入式随机有限元法的边坡可靠度分析方法,并编写计算程序NISFEM。采用有限元滑面应力法计算边坡安全系数,将Hermite随机多项式展开与SIGMA/W和SLOPE/W模块有机结合实现边坡可靠度非侵入式随机分析。根据随机多项式展开系数,给出边坡安全系数前4阶统计矩（均值、标准差、偏度和峰度）和Sobol指标解析表达式,并采用Sobol指标进行边坡可靠度参数敏感性分析。最后,以均质土坡可靠度问题为例,证明该方法在边坡可靠度分析中的有效性。结果表明,边坡可靠度分析的非侵入式随机有限元法能够有效地考虑边坡变形对边坡可靠度的影响,计算效率远远高于蒙特卡罗模拟方法（MCS）,是解决复杂边坡可靠度问题一种有效地分析手段;黏聚力和内摩擦角变异性对边坡安全系数前四阶统计矩具有明显的影响,重度变异性对安全系数前4阶统计矩几乎没有影响;抗剪强度参数间负相关性对边坡安全系数均值几乎没有影响,但对安全系数标准差、偏度和峰度均有明显的影响。此外,随着抗剪强度参数间负相关性的增加,边坡安全系数由近似正态分布逐渐变为明显的非正态分布。     

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