周期浅析

本文分析了滑动平均的数据处理方法对周期分析结果产生的影响。提出了过程变量同号积分的数据处理方法,并对亚洲西风指数序列进行了试验分析。分析结果表明,周期的长短与振幅的大小有密切关系,亚洲逐日西风指数的周期振荡具有明显的季节特征。     

大连蜈蚣藻孢子发育及生活史的研究

在实验室条件下,对大连蜈蚣藻(Grateloupia dalianensis H.W.Wang et D.Zhao)的孢子早期发育、盘状体的形成和直立枝生长进行了详细研究,对其生活史进行了详细观察,并进行了温度和光照强度对孢子发育影响的研究。结果表明:(1)孢子发育类型为间接盘状体型;(2)生活史由雌、雄配子体、四分孢子体和果孢子体三相世代组成,配子体与孢子体形态相同,属于同型世代交替,与属模蜈蚣藻(G.filicina)一致;(3)温度对盘状体和直立枝生长均有影响,最适温度均为16℃;(4)光照强度对盘状体和直立枝生长均有影响,最适光照强度分别为7 500 lx和10 000 lx。     

Protracted oogenesis and annual reproductive periodicity in the deep‐sea pennatulacean Halipteris finmarchica (Anthozoa,Octocorallia)

Halipteris finmarchica is one of the most common species of deep‐sea pennatulacean corals in the Northwest Atlantic; it was recently determined to act as a biogenic substrate for other species and as a nursery for fish larvae. Its reproductive cycle was investigated in colonies sampled in 2006 and 2007 along the continental slope of Newfoundland and Labrador (Canada). Halipteris finmarchica exhibits large oocytes (maximum diameter of 1000 μm), which are consistent with lecithotrophic larval development. Female potential fecundity based on mature oocytes just before spawning was ~6 oocytes · polyp^?1 (500–6300 oocytes · colony^?1); male potential fecundity was 16 spermatocysts · polyp^?1 (5500–57,400 spermatocysts · colony^?1). Based on statistical analysis of size‐probability frequency distributions, males harboured one cohort of spermatocysts that matured inside 8–11 months, whereas females harboured two distinct cohorts of oocytes; a persistent pool of small ones (≤400 μm) and a small number (~20%) of larger ones that grew from ~400 to >800 μm over a year. Despite this difference in the tempo of oogenesis and spermatogenesis, a synchronic annual spawning was detected. A latitudinal shift in the spawning period occurred from south (April in the Laurentian Channel) to north (May in Grand Banks and July–August in Labrador/Lower Arctic), following the development of the phytoplankton bloom (i.e. sinking of phytodetritus). Prolonged oogenesis with the simultaneous presence of different oocyte classes in a given polyp is likely not uncommon in deep‐sea octocorals and could hamper the detection of annual/seasonal reproduction when sample sizes are low and/or time series discontinued or brief.     

海洋碳循环模式(Ⅱ)——对印度洋的模拟结果分析

把建好的海洋碳模式应用于印度洋区域,模拟得到了印度洋中与碳有关各化学量的表层分布、垂直分布和沿子午线面的等值线分布。与实测的ＧＥＯＳＥＣＳ（ＧｅｏｃｈｅｍｉｃａｌＯｃｅａｎ—Ｓｅｃｔｉｎｎ Ｓｔｕｄｙ）数据作对比,模式较好地再现了印度洋上营养盐浓度、总碳浓度、总碱度和溶解氧的二维分布。通过模拟还发现,在稳定状态下,大气和海洋中总碳含量的分布依赖于发生在海洋中的各种物理化学过程及边界条件,水平扩散系数Ｋｈ和光合作用常数率Ｋｇ对各化学量的分布有较大影响（以前有学者认为不太重要,如 Ｂａｅｓ［１］）;南印度洋中纬地区 １０°Ｓ至 ３０°Ｓ是１４Ｃ的重要向下渗透区域,人为排放的ＣＯ２可通过这片渗透区从海洋的表层输入海洋的深层。     

Evaporation Process in Soil Surface Containing Calcic Nodules on the Northern Loess Plateau of China by Simulated Experiments

Soil containing calcic nodules is widely present on the northern Loess Plateau of China owing to soil genesis under local climate conditions. In most studies, little attention is payed to the effect of calcic nodules on soil evaporation and ecoenvironment, resulting in inaccurate evaporation estimation in this kind of soil and further improper field water management measures and irrigation effects. In this paper, soil column experiments were conducted in order to investigate evaporation process in soil containing calcic nodules and the effect of calcic nodules on soil evaporation was determined. The results indicated that evaporation reduction was positively related to calcic nodule content (CNC = mass of calcic nodules/total mass), and could be estimated by the experiential equation: E_soil = E₀ (1 – 0.4 CNC) (E_soil = actual evaporation, E₀ = theory evaporation in soil without calcic nodules). When CNC was below 0.2, the impact could be neglected. While, as CNC exceeded 0.2, the impact needed to be considered during soil evaporation estimation. As CNC reached 0.5, soil evaporation could be reduced by 7.5 mm, accounting for around 10% of the total soil water. Water balance calculation in soil columns showed that water absorbed by calcic nodules was partially available to evaporation. Water available to evaporation was positively related to CNC, and this water could not exceed 63% of the water absorbed by calcic nodules. Generally, evaporation behavior was dominated by calcic nodule quantity and its water absorption. These results provide new ideas for irrigation measures in arid areas of the globe.     

全球碳循环研究中的δ13C方法及其进展

随着分析技术的进步,δ13C观测在全球碳循环研究中越来越受到重视。在讨论关于碳循环中δ13C的Suess效应、分布特征和同位素分馏等基本概念的基础上,结合现有的观测事实,介绍应用δ13C辨别碳的源汇问题的方法,通过比较不同KeelingPlot方法分析该方法在研究大气CO2背景特征中的意义。着重讨论δ13C在研究大气C...     

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987110000113

<正>Against the current background of global climate change,the study of variations in the soil carbon pool and its controlling factors may aid in the evaluation of soil's role in the mitigation or enhancement of greenhouse gas.This paper studies spatial and temporal variation in the soil carbon pool and their controlling factors in the southern Song-nen Plain in Heilongjiang Province,using soil data collected over two distinct periods by the Multi-purpose Regional Geochemical Survey in 2005—2007, and another soil survey conducted in 1982—1990.The study area is a carbon source of 1479 t/km~2 and in the past 20 years,from the 1980s until 2005.the practical carbon emission from the soil was 0.12 Gt.Temperature,which has been found to be linearly correlated to soil organic carbon,is the dominant climatologic factor controlling soil organic carbon contents.Our study shows that in the relevant area and time period the potential loss of soil organic carbon caused by rising temperatures was 0.10 Gt,the potential soil carbon emission resulting from land-use change was 0.09 Gt,and the combined potential loss of soil carbon(0.19 Gt) caused by warming and land-use change is comparable to that of fossil fuel combustion(0.21 Gt).Due to the time delay in soil carbon pool variation,there is still 0.07 Gt in the potential emission caused by warming and land-use change that will be gradually released in the future.     

后危机时代矿产品价格趋势分析

通过对近50年来石油、铜、铝、镍价格变化趋势分析,总结了矿产品价格长周期变化规律:不变价格呈周期性下降趋势,现价价格呈台阶状上升趋势.铜、铝、镍不变价格的绝对下降反映了人类技术进步带来生产效率的不断提高,而石油不变价格的上升反映了资源稀缺程度对石油价格的重要影响;由资源稀缺性决定的资源性商品的生产效率难以与其他商品生产效率同步提高,必然以现价价格阶段性上涨实现价格平衡.结合矿产品成本、供需趋势和市场体系分析,判断后金融危机时代矿产品价格平台为:石油60~80美元/桶、铜3500美元/吨、铝2100美元/吨、镍14000美元/吨.     

全球沉积盆地动态分类方法:从原型盆地及其叠加发展过程讨论

沉积盆地是油气生成和聚集的基本地质单元,其形成和发展为板块构造演化所控制,主要表现在两个方面,一是板块从分离到汇聚的不同阶段、板块的不同位置,产生不同的原型盆地,形成了特定的构造-沉积体系,决定了其生、储、盖等基本含油气条件;二是后期叠加的原型盆地不但本身具有新的油气地质特征,还能够改变早期原型盆地的成藏条件及油气分布规律。以板块构造演化历史为时间线索,通过对现今盆地早期原型及其后期叠加改造过程的系统解剖,用动态方法将全球处于一个威尔逊旋回的现今盆地划分为12种类型。在此基础上,总结了各类盆地的基本属性及含油气条件,为科学预测各类盆地的含油气远景奠定了基础。     

基于抗差估计的实时单站GPS同震速度获取方法

基于实时单站GPS载波相位历元差分测速模型,引入抗差最小二乘估计,并根据IGGⅢ方案选择合适的等价权因子来削弱小周跳和粗差对结果的影响,并采用一组静态数据和2011年日本"3.11"地震期间MIZU站的高频数据对算法进行测试。结果表明,在含有小周跳和粗差的情况下,抗差最小二乘估计能够明显改善解算速度,可以实时获取测站毫米级的同震速度。