南海海平面高度年循环的特征

根据 ＴＯＰＥＸ／ ＰＯＳＥＩＤＯＮ－ＥＲＳ高度计提供的海平面高度异常资料和并行海洋气候模式（ＰＯＣＭ）模拟海平面高度资料，分析了南海海平面高度年循环特征。结果表明：ｌ月，３月和５月海平面高度的异常值分别与７月，９月，１１月的异常值相反。ｌ月（７月），深水海区与吕宋海峡的海平面高度为负（正）异常，在大部分陆架区和南海的西和南部，海平面高度为正（负）异常。在３月（９月），除海平面高度异常的量级已减少，且较小的ＳＳＨ正异常（负异常）出现在南海的中部以外，海平面高度异常的分布型与 １月（７月）类似； ＳＳＨ的年循环的最大振幅出现在吕宋岛的西北海域；风的季节变化是南海ＳＳＨ季节变化的主要原因。     

强弱南海夏季风活动及大气季节内振荡

应用ＮＣＥＰ再分析资料和中国降水资料，分析研究了对应南海强、弱夏季风的环流形势及其与之相应的中国东部的降水异常。其结果表明，由强、弱夏季风所引起的中国气候异常是完全不同（甚至反相）的。分析大气季节内振荡（ＩＳＯ）的活动还表明，对应大气强（弱）南海夏季风，南海地区 ８５０ ｈＰａ也有强（弱）大气 ＩＳＯ；而强、弱南海夏季风环流（２００ ｈＰａ和 ８５０ ｈＰａ）主要由异常的大气ＩＳＯ所激发。本研究还揭示了南海地区大气ＩＳＯ的变化往往与江淮地区大气ＩＳＯ的变化反相，例如南海地区的强（弱）大气ＩＳＯ常与江淮流域的弱（强）大气ＩＳＯ相对应。对于大气ＩＳＯ的强度，一般多表现出局地激发特征，经向传播相对较弱。     

德州市农业气象预报系统的设计

“德州市农业气象预报系统”是用VB 5．0和FoxPro 5.0和FoxPro 2.6两种语言开发的软件，并采用面向对象设计技术。通过简述该软件设计过程，阐明设计该软件的思路和方法。     

无线电掩星反演大气参数误差分析及应用进展

本文详细分析了影响空间GPS无线电掩星反演大气参数方法的主要误差源，其中包括信噪比误差，精密定轨误差，电离层模制误差，多路径效应和时钟改正等误差，并且介绍了国内外在无线电掩星领域的一些应用研究进展。     

近地表低速带参数反演

阐明利用瑞雷面波反地表速度和厚度的可行性，并利用地震记录中的瑞雷面波数据，反演近地表低速带的厚度和速度，文中给出了实例试算，结果表明，面波资料的近地表参数反演将有利于勘探目标区的物理参数建模。     

Analysis And Simulation Of Surface-Layer Winds Using Multiplicative Cascade Models With Self-Similar Probability Densities

Statistical analysis techniques based on multiplicative cascades are investigated for use with surface-layer wind data sets collected in the atmospheric boundary layer over flat farm land. The data were found to exhibit multiscaling statistics, allowing the surface-layer winds to be simulated with the use of multiplicative random cascades. The study found evidence that, for the surface-layer at least, these cascade models (andhence the methods of multifractal analysis) should be applied in separate ways to the microscale inertial range, and the mesoscale. This is at odds with the view found in the existing literature, which proposes a `universal multifractal' model to replace the widely held view that there exists separate microscale, mesoscale and synoptic scales for which the processes governing each are different. At least two separate ranges of scaling are suggested for surface-layer wind data, corresponding to the microscale inertial range and the mesoscale. For the case of the mesoscale range, a self-similar distribution of weighting factors was found for the wind speed data themselves, rather than for an intermediate (dissipation) field, as is required for themicroscale data.     

农业生态系统模式的优化设计探讨

对农业生态系统模式的优化设计原则、内容、方法与步骤进行了探讨。认为模式优化设计包括5大原则，即区域适宜性原则、实用性原则、经济与市场原则、持续性原则和科学性原则；农业生态系统模式设计的主要内容包括总体目标设计、产业结构设计、时空结构设计、食物链网设计、环境与生态形象设计、物质与资金投放和输入输出设计、技术体系设计、面向对象设计及系统集成与优化；农业生态系统设计的基本程序包括系统环境辨识、系统诊断、系统模型分析和方案设计、系统评价和方案选优、系统运行及反馈修正等内容。     

湖南省郴州市经济发展初探

湖南省郴州市在经济发展中具备资源丰富，邻近发达的珠江三角洲地区，区位优势等众多有利条件，但同时也存在区内交通不便，经济基础薄弱等一些不利因素。为抓住所面临的大好机遇，作者提出了加快该区基础设施建设、软环境建设、重视科技、加强环境保护和发展旅游等5项对策，并提出了该区经济发展可持续模式；即产业结构优化模式和点轴开发空间布局，最后提出了进一步完善布局的建议。     

Synoptic circulation and stream discharge in the Great Lakes basin, USA

Impacts on water resources caused by human activity, natural climate variation and long-term climate change are unclear in the US Great Lakes region. Improved understanding of the impact of atmospheric circulation on stream discharge variability into the Lakes is thus important. In this analysis, monthly surface and mid-tropospheric circulation patterns suggest that surface pressure variations over Missouri and Illinois are most strongly correlated to discharge. The mid-tropospheric patterns most directly related to discharge place the Great Lakes in a trough-to-ridge flow pattern. The analysis confirms that at this scale, lee shore advection resulting in ‘lake-effect’ precipitation is not very important to regional discharge, and neither are variations in the Pacific–North American teleconnection.     

Water resources optimization and eco-environmental protection in Qaidam Basin

In order to realize sustainable development of the arid area of Northwest China, rational water resources exploitation and optimization are primary prerequisites. Based on the essential principle of sustainable development, this paper puts forward a general idea on water resources optimization and eco-environmental protection in Qaidam Basin, and identifies the competitive multiple targets of water resources optimization. By some qualitative methods such as Input-output Model & AHP Model and some quantitative methods such as System Dynamics Model & Produce Function Model, some standard plans of water resources optimization come into being. According to the Multiple Targets Decision by the Closest Value Model, the best plan of water resources optimization, eco-environmental protection and sustainable development in Qaidam Basin is finally decided.