A new method for multi-point pollution source identification

对于污染源源项特征(数量,位置及排放强度)的快速且精确估计是污染事件应急响应的关键.与单点源估计相比,多点源的重建更具挑战性.本文提出了一种新的针对于多点源污染事件的两步反演算法,该算法通过结合大气化学模式与有限的浓度观测数据以实现对于未知数量的多点源的准确估计.在其计算过程中,无需任何未知量的先验信息,且可以自动识别污染源的数量,并确定每一个污染源的位置及强度.本文通过使用若干组理想试验验证了算法的适用性,试验结果表明,该算法可准确估计单点源,两点源和三点源的个数及位置,强度的估计误差可基本忽略.且该算法的估计精度和计算效率不会随着点源个数的增加而减弱.     

交互正交试验设计在Mn/Ce催化剂制备中的应用

利用交互正交试验设计对柠檬酸络合法制备Mn/Ce复合氧化物催化剂(简称Mn/Ce催化剂)的制备条件进行了优化,重点考察金属配比(Mn∶Ce=7∶3、1∶1、3∶7)、焙烧温度(350℃、500℃、650℃)、焙烧时间(2 h、3.5 h5、h)等3种因素对催化湿式氧化(CWAO)降解正丁酸过程中Mn/Ce催化剂活性的影响。结果表明,金属配比和焙烧温度对催化剂活性有显著影响(置信度p分别为99%和95%),焙烧时间对催化剂活性无显著影响(p=90%),焙烧温度与金属配比之间有显著的交互作用(p=99%),得到的最佳制备条件为:Mn∶Ce=3∶7、焙烧温度500℃和焙烧时间5 h;并对最佳制备条件下得到的Mn/Ce催化剂进行XRD、BET和SEM等表征。     

Hydrocarbon Generation Characteristics of Source Rocks from Different Saline Environments in the Dongpu Depression,Bohai Bay Basin,China

The Dongpu Depression is a secondary salt-bearing tectonic unit in the Bohai Bay Basin, eastern China. The depositional environment of this depression regarding its Paleogene strata is clearly different in plane, including the saltwater environment(SE) in the north, the freshwater environment(FE) in the south and the brackish water environment(BE) in the middle. The result of oil and gas exploration in the Dongpu Depression shows that more than 90% of the proven oil reserves are distributed in the northern saltwater environment. Previous studies indicate that the organic geochemistry characteristics and the hydrocarbon generation capacity of the source rocks are very clearly diverse under different environments, which results in the significant differences in the proved reserves between the north and the south. In order to further explore the differences in the hydrocarbon generation capacity of the source rocks under distinct depositional environments and the mechanism of their occurrence, three samples from different depositional environments(W18-5 for SE, H7-18 for BE, CH9 for FE) were used for confined gold tube pyrolysis experiments. The results show that the CH4 yields of W18-5, H7-18 and CH9 increase with increasing temperature, the maximum yields being 405.62 mg/g TOC, 388.56 mg/g TOC and 367.89 mg/g TOC, respectively. The liquid hydrocarbon yields of W18-5, H7-18 and CH9 firstly increase with increasing temperature and then decrease after the critical temperatures. The maximum yields of C6-14 are 149.54 mg/g TOC, 140.18 mg/g TOC and 116.94 mg/g TOC, the maximum yields of C14+ being 852.4 mg/g TOC, 652.6 mg/g TOC and 596.41 mg/g TOC, respectively for W18-5, H7-18 and CH9. To summarize, the order of hydrocarbon potential from high to low is W18-5, H7-18 and CH9. On this basis, through analyzing the influencing factors of hydrocarbon differences, this paper reveals that the saltwater environment is characterized by 4 factors: higher salinity, halophilic algae, high paleo-productivity and a strongly reducing environment, which are beneficial to the enrichment of organic matter and lead to the formation of high levels of sapropelite and exinite. According to the variation of oil and gas components in the pyrolysis experiments, the hydrocarbon generation process is divided into three stages: kerogen cracking, oil cracking and C2-5 cracking. Combined with hydrocarbon generation characteristics and stages, the evolutionary model of hydrocarbon generation for source rocks under different environments is established.     

区域气候模式水平分辨率对黄淮海流域当代气候模拟的影响

区域气候模式是进行流域尺度气候变化研究的重要工具,其中水平分辨率对流域模拟结果的影响亟待评估。本文使用区域气候模式RegCM4,在ERA-Interim再分析资料驱动下,进行2种水平分辨率（50 km和25 km）1990-2010年东亚区域的长时间连续积分模拟。通过与观测资料的对比,评估RegCM4对黄淮海流域的模拟性能,同时分析水平分辨率对模拟结果的影响。结果表明:① 2组模拟均可以较好地再现黄淮海流域冬季、夏季平均气温和降水的空间分布,以及气温和降水的年循环变化;对极端气候事件指数的分布模拟效果也较好,且对与气温有关的极端气候事件指数模拟效果优于与降水有关的极端气候事件指数。②与观测相比,也存在一定的偏差,如模拟的冬季气温存在冷偏差,夏季气温存在暖偏差,冬季、夏季降水在大部分地区偏多等。③ 2组模拟对比来看,对冬季、夏季平均气温的量级和空间分布,25 km模拟与观测更加接近;对冬季、夏季平均降水,50 km模拟与观测的空间相关系数分别为0.86和0.44,较25 km模拟有较大提高;对极端事件,2组模拟差别不大。模拟结果可为后续此版本模式在黄淮海流域气候变化研究中的应用提供参考。     

Architectures and evolution of arid alluvial fans: Insights from a flume experiment

Using time-lapse cameras and a 3D laser scanner,74 groups of geomorphic data of alluvial fans were obtained through flume experiments. Then a detailed sedimentary analysis based on these data was performed by using a quantitative software to reveal the sedimentary evolution process of the arid alluvial fan and its depositional architecture. Results suggest that there are obvious differences in hydrodynamics,water flow patterns and growth pattern during the evolution of arid alluvial fans. Based on these differences,the experiment is divided into three stages,including an early,middle,and late stage. In the early stage,the fan surface hydrodynamics was relatively strong,and the sheet flow dominated the deposition. According to the distribution of sheet flow deposits,it can be divided into wide-spread sheet flow deposition and local sheet flow deposition. In the middle period of the experiment,the hydrodynamic strength and expansion rate at the middle-distal part of the fan body reduced. The non-confined channel which is close to the source dominated the deposition,and terminal lobe was mainly deposited on the edge of the river channel. In the late stage of the experiment,the hydrodynamic further reduced causing by the large fan surface and confined channels were the main deposits. Through the flume experiment,an arid alluvial fan depositional architecture model with a three-layer structure has been established. The bottom layer is of a sheet flow lobe complex,the middle layer is characterized by unconfined channels and terminal lobes,and the top layer is constituted by stacked confined channels and small terminal lobes.     

Quality Control and Evaluation of the Observed Daily Data in the North American Soil Moisture Database

The North American Soil Moisture Database (NASMD) was initiated in 2011 to assemble and homogenize in situ soil moisture measurements from 32 observational networks in the United States and Canada encompassing more than 1800 stations. Although statistical quality control (QC) procedures have been applied in the NASMD, the soil moisture content tends to be systematically underestimated by in situ sensors in frozen soils, and using a single maximum threshold (i.e., 0.6 m3 m-3) may not be sufficient for robust QC because of the diverse soil textures in North America. In this study, based on the in situ soil porosity and North American Land Data Assimilation System phase 2 (NLDAS-2) Noah soil temperature, the simple automated QC method is revised to supplement the existing QC approach. This revised QC method is first validated based on the assessment at 78 of the Soil Climate Analysis Network (SCAN) stations where the manually checked data are available, and is then applied to all stations in the NASMD to produce a more strict quality-controlled dataset. The results show that the revised automated QC procedure can flag the spurious and erroneous soil moisture measurements for the SCAN stations, especially for those located in high altitudes and latitudes. Relative to station measurements in the original NASMD, the quality-controlled data show a slightly better agreement with the manually checked soil moisture content. It should be noted that this quality-controlled dataset may be over-flagged for some valid soil moisture measurements due to potential errors of the soil temperature and soil porosity data, and validation in this study is limited by the availability of benchmark soil moisture data. The updated QC and additional validation will be desirable to boost confidence in the product when high-quality data become available in the future.     

植草沟滞蓄城市道路雨水的试验及模拟

为定量分析植草沟的水文性能,优化其设计参数取值,通过植草沟滞蓄城市道路雨水的试验设施开展模拟径流试验,验证了SWMM （storm water management model）模型模拟植草沟滞蓄效果的可行性,通过模型情景分析提出了设施的优化设计参数,评估了设施对提高道路排水标准和长期径流削减的影响。研究结果表明:SWMM模型对模拟植草沟水文性能具有较好的精度,对较小的降雨重现期和边坡比,较大的滞蓄深度、植被覆盖率和面积负荷比,植草沟的滞蓄能力更强,建议其设计降雨重现期不超过10年,滞蓄深度为10 cm以上,边坡比至少为3,植被覆盖率为0.5以上,面积负荷比为5%以上。模拟北京某城市道路采用植草沟设施后,可将3年、5年、10年的排水标准分别提高到15年、20年、30年,在长达64年的运行中,植草沟几乎可消纳自身及汇水区域内所有径流,可为道路植草沟的设计和应用提供参考。     

Current Status of Global Ocean Reanalysis Datasets

With the development of the ocean satellite remote sensing technology, the reanalysis of past oceanic observations using modern data assimilation technique and the restructuring of the long-term and consistent gridded data products have made great progress. Such datasets provide us with the most primary research tools to identify the state and evolution of ocean, and understand the role of ocean in climate change and variability at different spatial-temporal scales. In this paper, the current research status in the global reanalysis datasets including some of international global ocean reanalysis projects and the corresponding reanalyzed products were systematically reviewed. In addition, the present status of the domestic research of ocean reanalysis datasets was briefly introduced. The validation of the reanalysis datasets and some quality problems represented by the reanalyzed products, and the Ocean Reanalyses Intercomparison Project were systematically reviewed. Moreover, the prospects of the studies of oceanic reanalysis in the future were also discussed in this paper.     

农户土地转出行为调查与分析

以成渝城乡统筹区农地转出户为研究对象,根据农地转出率的大小将农户分为完全转出户、高度转出户和基本转出户,运用多元线性回归模型和OLS回归模型对农户农地转出行为的影响因素及收入效应进行分析。研究结果表明:成渝城乡统筹区农地转出户的农地转出率不尽相同,完全转出户、高度转出户和一般转出户并存,农地转出方式和转出对象虽然存在多样性,但农地仍以小规模分散转出为主;稳定的非农收入、政府的积极推动以及合理的农地转出价格促进了农户农地转出率的提高,而土地细碎化和较多的家庭常年务农人口数量在一定程度上阻碍了农户农地转出行为;农户农地转出是一种理性决策行为,农地转出率越高,农户的收入效应就越明显,收入由多至少依次为完全转出户、高度转出户和一般转出户。     

热液金刚石压腔在流体包裹体研究中的应用——以川西甲基卡伟晶岩型矿床为例

流体包裹体是赋存在矿物中的流体样品,均一实验是以其研究成岩成矿流体演化的重要步骤和内容。但某些深成岩或矿床中的流体包裹体,如我国川西甲基卡伟晶岩型锂矿中的富CO2包裹体,因具有较大的内压,当利用传统的热台在1个大气压下加热时,容易发生爆裂而无法观测到均一行为和均一温度。因此,本文利用热液金刚石压腔(HDAC),以H2O为压力介质对流体包裹体施加外压,完成了甲基卡矿床No.134号脉石英中富CO2包裹体的均一实验。实验结果表明,随着外压的增大,均一温度呈降低的趋势,说明流体包裹体在被捕获后并非严格的等容,从而警示我们以后再对深成矿床中具有高内压的流体包裹体进行显微测温时应选用HDAC以获得更为可靠准确的数据。补充富CO2包裹体的均一实验数据后,石英中的H2O-CO2-NaCl包裹体表现出良好分异现象,随着均一状态自液态CO2→CO2与H2O临界相→液态H2O相变化,均一温度和盐度也随之降低,且比锂辉石中的包裹体具有更低的盐度和更大的温度变化范围。这些热力学特征说明,在锂辉石型伟晶岩形成过程中,锂辉石和石英先后结晶,分别主要捕获富子晶包裹体和H2O-CO2-NaCl包裹体,同时Li+不断向锂辉石结晶前锋聚集,使参与流体的Li+含量降低,致使石英中流体包裹体的盐度呈现出降低的趋势。