Sectoral targets for developing countries: combining ‘common but differentiated re-sponsibilities’ with ‘meaningful participation’

Although a global cap-and-trade system is seen by many researchers as the most cost-efficient solution to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, the governments of developing countries refuse to enter into such a system in the short term. Many scholars and stakeholders, including the European Commission, have thus proposed various types of commitments for developing countries that appear less stringent, such as sectoral approaches. A macroeconomic assessment of such a sectoral approach is provided for developing countries. Two policy scenarios in particular are assessed, in which developed countries continue with Kyoto-type absolute commitments, while developing countries adopt an emissions trading system limited to electricity generation and linked to developed countries' cap-and-trade systems. In the first scenario, CO₂ allowances are auctioned by the government, which distributes its revenues as a lump sum to households. In a second scenario, the auction revenues are used to reduce taxes on, or to give subsidies to, electricity generation. The quantitative analysis, conducted with a hybrid general equilibrium model, shows that such options provide almost as much emissions reduction as a global cap-and-trade system. Moreover, in the second sectoral scenario, GDP losses in developing countries are much lower than with a global cap-and-trade system, as is also the effect on the electricity price.     

塔里木盆地西北缘乌恰地区乌拉根铅锌矿床S-Pb同位素特征及其地质意义

乌拉根铅锌矿床产出于塔里木盆地西北缘喀什凹陷中—新生界中,成矿地质条件优越,资源潜力可观,具有超大型矿床找矿远景,但其成因一直存在较大争议。本次对乌拉根铅锌矿进行了详细的S、Pb同位素研究,探讨了其成矿物质来源和矿床成因。测试分析结果表明,乌拉根铅锌矿床矿石δ34S值为-26.09‰~+15.0‰,具有较宽的分布范围,显示出轻硫与重硫同时富集的特征,指示乌拉根铅锌矿床S主要来自海相硫酸盐的还原。乌拉根铅锌矿的206Pb/204Pb值为17.771～18.6413,207Pb/204Pb值为15.402～15.6454,208Pb/204Pb值为37.92～38.7507,Pb同位素组成变化较小,且集中于造山带铅演化线附近,推测本矿区Pb可能来自区域内的古老地层。综合前人研究和本次S、Pb同位素分析结果,认为乌拉根铅锌矿床是在南天山和西昆仑山两大造山带相互逆冲推覆背景下,盆地流体大规模运移,在油气还原条件下形成的一类赋存于沉积岩中的铅锌矿床。     

贵定晚二叠世高有机硫煤的成因特点

贵州中西部贵定县境内出产的有机硫含量大于10%的煤,成因至今未决,本文用煤岩学和有机地化的方法和手段研究了矿区主采K₃煤层,揭示出高有机硫煤的聚集是在局限碳酸盐台地潮坪上发育的泥炭沼泽受海水强烈作用,水介质处碱性强还原条件,微生物活动强烈及成煤母质中有大量低等生源输入的情况下进行的。同时还发现有机硫主要以噻吩及其衍生物形式賦存。这为其脱除提供了信息。     

辉碲铋矿单矿物的化学分析

辉碲铋矿物经ＨＮＯ３－ＫＣｌＯ３溶解,用火焰原子吸收法或乙二胺四乙酸二钠事滴定法测定Ｂｉ,火焰原子吸收法测定Ｔｅ、Ｆｅ、Ｃｕ,３,３＇－二氨基联苯胺光度法测定Ｓｅ,硫酸重量法测定Ｓ。其结果与矿物化学成分理论值十分接近,主、次量元素平行测定６次,其ＲＳＤ小于０．８％,痕量元素ＲＳＤ（ｎ＝６）小于１０％。     

NOx or VOC Limitation in East German Ozone Plumes?

The ozone forming potential of VOCs and NO_x for plumes observed from several cities and a power plant in eastern Germany was investigated. A closed box model with a gas phase photochemical reaction mechanism was employed to simulate several scenarios based upon aircraft observations. In several of the scenarios, the initial concentrations of NO_x, VOCs, and SO₂, were reduced to study the factors limiting the O₃ production. Ozone production was limited by the initial VOC concentrations for all of the simulated plumes. Higher O₃ concentrations were produced with reduced initial NO_x. In one sample with high SO₂ mixing ratios (>100 ppb), SO₂ was also identified as a significant contributor to the production of O₃.     

辽宁鞍山－本溪地区铁矿床流体包裹体和硫、氢、氧同位素特征研究

鞍山-本溪地区是我国最大的铁矿集区,分布有诸多大型、特大型铁矿床,并且产出有弓长岭二矿区大型和齐大山、南芬中型磁铁富矿床。贫铁矿体与变质沉积岩和火山碎屑岩等围岩呈层状或似层状产于太古宙花岗岩中,富铁矿体(TFe50%)呈层状或透镜体状产于贫铁矿体和围岩及其附近的断裂带中,并可见明显的热液蚀变现象。为了探讨鞍本地区富铁矿的成因,为指导找富矿提供依据,本文主要对比研究了鞍本地区贫铁矿石和富铁矿石中流体包裹体、硫同位素和氢氧同位素特征。贫铁矿石(磁铁石英岩和假象赤铁石英岩)石英中含有大量的孤立分布负晶形气体包裹体(Ⅰc类包裹体),富铁矿石石英中主要以液体包裹体(Ⅰb类包裹体)为主,可见含子矿物的流体包裹体;贫铁矿石中黄铁矿的δ34S变化范围为-6.5‰~11.8‰,平均值为0.4‰,富铁矿石中黄铁矿的δ34S变化范围较大,为-7‰~14.4‰,平均值为2.0‰;贫铁矿石中磁铁矿δ18 O变化范围为3.4‰~10.4‰,平均值为7.1‰,石英δ18 O变化范围为11.8‰~15.1‰,平均值为13.4‰,富铁矿石中磁铁矿δ18 O变化范围为-1.4‰~6.5‰,平均值为2.3‰,富铁矿石中石英δ18 O变化范围为9.6‰~15.8‰,平均值为13.6‰,δD变化范围为-129‰~-75‰,平均值为-104‰。富铁矿石中石英流体包裹体、黄铁矿δ34S和磁铁矿δ18 O部分继承了贫铁矿石的特征,但是显示更多的后期热液特征,暗示鞍本地区富铁矿石是在贫铁矿石的基础上受后期热液改造形成的。富铁矿石中石英的氢氧同位素特征表明其热液流体主要为混合岩化热液,富铁矿的形成可能为去硅富铁模式,同时也可能有铁质活化再转移模式。     

On the Retrieval of Volcanic Sulfur Dioxide Emissions from GOME Backscatter Measurements

We focus on the retrieval of volcanic sulfur dioxide (SO₂) emissions from an analysis of atmospheric UV backscatter spectra obtained by the Global Ozone Monitoring Experiment (GOME) spectrometer on board the ESA European Remote Sensing Satellite (ERS-2). Here, the last major eruptions of Mt. Etna on Sicily (Italy) in July/August 2001 and October/November 2002 provided an excellent opportunity to study the retrieval of SO₂ columnar amounts from ground-based, LIDAR and satellite measurements. Our study shows that the bulk of emitted SO₂ was confined in the troposphere, mainly between 700 hPa and 400 hPa which is confirmed by trajectory analysis, by LIDAR observations and AVHRR observations. The area of influence of Mt. Etna eruptions ranges from the Western Saharan Desert to Greece and the near east states and even down to the basin of Tschad, Africa. Our analysis revealed that information about the plume height of volcanic eruptions and aerosol parameters is necessary for a reliable quantitative retrieval of SO₂ from space-borne sensor data at periods perturbed by volcanic eruptions.     

我国城乡居民消费差异对CO2的影响分析

采用相关年度数据,利用脉冲响应函数和方差分解技术,详细分析了我国城乡居民消费现状,并探究了我国城乡居民消费差异对CO2排放的影响。结果表明,我国城镇居民的消费结构已由生存型消费向发展享受型转变,但农村居民仍旧停留在以"吃穿用"为主的传统消费阶段,这使得城乡居民消费水平的提高对CO2排放存在巨大差异。据测算,城镇居民消费水平的提高对CO2排放的影响几乎是农村居民消费水平提高对其影响的10倍。鉴于此,我国实现节能减排的目标,不仅需要改变生产方式,更需要转变居民消费理念、调整消费结构、引导居民合理消费,使居民消费行为由高能耗消费向低能耗消费转变。     

陕西飞机人工增雨效果统计检验方法研究

应用针对陕西省飞机人工增雨作业特点设计的区域回归统计方案,对2002、2003、2006年春、秋季飞机增雨分别进行效果分析,结果表明:春季11架次08?20时平均增雨量1.6 mm,作业后3 h平均增雨量0.3 mm;秋季13架次08?20时平均增雨量3.6 mm,作业后3 h平均增雨量1.3 mm;通过成对试验符号秩和检验,显著性水平均优于5%,表明作业效果显著;分析结果说明了统计方案的可行性。基于该区域回归统计方案开发的飞机增雨效果评估系统,实现对增雨效果的及时、客观、定量评估。     

区域碳排放转移的演变特征与结构分解及减排对策分析——以河南省为例

通过耦合投入产出分析方法和结构分解模型,探讨2002~2010年区域碳排放转移的演变特征、驱动因素及其地理源特征。研究发现：2002~2010年流出和流入河南省的贸易隐含碳排放均处于不断增加的趋势,其中流出贸易隐含碳排放主要是受外部最终需求的影响,且主要集中在中国的中部和东南部地区,而流入贸易隐含碳排放则主要是受本地最终需求和本地最终产品结构的影响最为显著,且主要来源于中国的东部、东北部和中部地区。研究还发现,为减轻贸易对区域碳排放及其减排责任的影响,开展区域合作来共同减排比单个地区独自应对更为有利,但在区域合作中各地区的获益程度可能会有所差别。