Copula函数在多变量水文分析计算中的应用及研究进展

综述了多变量水文分析计算方法及存在的问题.系统地介绍了Copula函数的基本理论与方法,分析探讨Copula函数在多变量水文计算领域的适用性及优越性.总结了Copula函数应用的关键技术,包括参数估计、拟合检验及类型选择等,并展望了Copula函数的研究应用前景.     

Photoinduced toxicity single and binary mixtures of four polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons to the marine diatom Skeletonema costatum

Diatom Skeletonema costatum Cleve is one of the main predominant phytoplankton species in the Changjiang Estuary in China. In order to provide some basic information for future assessment of the potential risk on phytoplankton communities in this estuary caused by polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons(PAHs), this alga was selected as a representative to investigate the photoinduced toxicity of PAHs, in single and mixture. Four PAHs including three-ring phenanthrene and anthracene, four-ring fluoranthene and pyrene were tested in the laboratory. The single toxicity of each PAH on this microalga was compared with and without the simulated solar UV radiation. The results showed that this microalga was sensitive to PAH's photoinduced toxicity. Ratios of the 72 h median effect concentration obtained for fluorescent and UV light tests were about 8.4 for phenanthrene, 13.0 for anthracene, 6.5 for fluoranthene, and 5.7 for pyrene, indicating that UV light enhanced the PAH toxicity to this alga significantly. Under the fluorescent radiation (lacking UV), the dose-response curves based on chemical concentrations revealed that the order of toxic strength was fluoranthene greater than pyrene greater than anthracene greater than phenanthrene; while under the UV radiation (476 μW/cm2 for UVA, 6.5 μW/cm2 for UVB) it became fluoranthene approximately equaling anthracene greater than pyrene greater than phenanthrene, indicating that the UV light also changed its relative toxicity to this alga. The photoinduced toxicity of PAHs to the marine diatom S. costatum might be a synergistic effect of photosensitization reactions (e.g., generation of single-state oxygen) and photomodification (photooxidation and/or photolysis).The combined effects of six binary mixtures on the marine diatom S. costatum were investigated using the additive-index method. Four binary-mixtures (phenanthrene plus anthracene; phenanthrene plus pyrene; anthracene plus fluoranthene; anthracene plus pyrene) were found to be synergistic joint action mode, while two binary-mixtures (phenanthrene plus fluoranthene; fluoranthene plus pyrene) displayed antagonist, revealing a complex pattern of possible interactions. The combined action mode of PAHs might be related to various factors such as the mixture compounds, mixture ratios and test conditions, etc.     

对虾雄性交接器联合缘上小钩的研究

本文通过扫描电镜的观察,研究了对虾科中5个属10种虾的雄性交接器联合缘上的小钩,对小钩的形态特征及小钩的机能进行了分析和描述。研究表明,小钩的研究将为对虾形态分类工作提供新的参考依据。     

青岛市50年来的旱涝特征分析

本文利用Z指数旱涝指标，对青岛市50年来的旱涝情况进行了分析，结果表明：Z指数旱涝指标能较好的反映青岛市的50年来的旱涝演变情况；青岛市的旱涝存在着明显的阶段性和群发性的特征。同时通过功率谱分析。我们发现青岛市的旱涝存在着淮3年，准6年和准36年的显著周期。     

盐碱水NaCl浓度和碱度对银鲫(Carassius auratus gibelio)幼鱼毒性的初步研究

通过对银鲫(Carassiusauratusgibelio)幼鱼(L=3.56±0.28cm)的NaCl浓度(pH=8.80±0.10)及碱度(pH=8.84±0.26)的急性毒性试验，用概率单位法求得其24，48，96h的半致死浓度(LC50值)NaCl浓度分别为11.53、10.77、8.58g/L；碱度分别为98.74、79.49、64.19mmol/L。在此基础上采用水生毒理联合效应相加指数法进行了氯化钠与碳酸氢钠浓度的联合毒性实验(浓度=11)，结果在96h内二者的关系全部为协同作用,且其协同性逐渐减弱并趋向于相加作用。     

Hammerstein型非线性积分方程解的存在性

该文采用化为积分方程组的方法 ,利用锥上不动点指数计算 ,在不要求非线性项 f (x,u)非负的情况下 ,证明 Hammerstein型非线性积分方程 φ(x) =∫Gκ(x,y) f (y,φ(y) ) dy非平凡解和多解存在性的一些新的结果。此结果可用来证明非线性常微分方程两点边值问题解的存在性。     

耿贝尔逻辑模型在极值风速和有效波高联合概率分布中的应用

首先介绍了耿贝尔逻辑模型，采用该模型对南海海域的涠州岛海洋站的风速和有效波高实测数据进行了分析，结果表明耿贝尔逻辑模型较好地描述了年极值风速和有效波高两随机变量的联合分布；采用得到的极值风浪联合概率分布推算了不同重现期的极值风速和波高，表明考虑风速和波高相关性对设计荷载的确定有显著影响。由于耿贝尔逻辑模型具有函数结构简单，参数估计方便，因此有望成为极值风速和波高联合分布的较理想概率模型。     

翘嘴红鲌(Erythroculter ilishaeformis Bleeker)种群遗传多样性的RAPD分析

采用RAPD技术对翘嘴红鲌养殖群体进行了DNA多态性检测.共采用40个随机引物进行扩增,其中14个引物可获得清晰且重复性好的扩增图谱,共扩增出121个RAPD位点,具有多态现象的位点为40个,多态位点比例为33.06%.翘嘴红鲌群体的遗传相似系数为 0.8878-0.9600,平均为0.9201,遗传变异度为0.0799.Shannon多样性指数为10.8824,Shannon多样性值为0.0899.研究表明,翘嘴红鲌目前的种质资源状况令人堪忧,改变目前人工繁育模式,建立原种、良种场,丰富物种遗传多样性是资源保护的基础.     

早--中侏罗世的太平洋微板块和冈瓦纳联合古陆

1　 8 0 1和 5 34站位的侏罗纪地层1 .1　 80 1站位的放射虫ODP80 1站位始钻于 ODP1 2 9航次期间 ,并且是太平洋中对侏罗纪洋壳进行采样的惟一位置 ( 1 8°3 8.5′ N、1 56°2 1 .6′ E,Pigafetta海盆 )。ODP1 85航次在 80 1 C孔钻入洋壳的深度为3 41 m。首先使用 HCL溶液分离出样品中的放射虫 ,然后用稀释的 HF( 1 %～ 3 % )除去碳酸盐组分。本文运用了放射虫个体组合带 ( UAZ)和 Baumgartner等 ( 1 995)的分类法。80 1 B孔的 1 2 9-80 1 B-3 7R-1 ( 0～ 6cm )和3 9R-1 ( 8～ 1 1 cm)样品中发现了保存中等至保存好的放射虫。1 2…