基于LSTM-RNN的海水表面温度模型研究

针对数值模式和统计学习方法在海表面温度(SST)建模中的不足,将长短时记忆循环神经网络(LSTM-RNN)应用于SST的建模。使用研究海区24 a月平均的SST和太阳辐射、风场、蒸发降水等物理参数,通过LSTM-RNN构建西太平洋研究海区SST时间序列变化模型,用于预报研究海区下个月SST。建立了两个模型model1和model2,model1仅使用SST数据作为model2的对照,model2使用SST和其他物理参数。结果表明:model2在验证数据中的MAE为0. 15℃,RMSE为0. 19℃,相关性系数为0. 978,和model1相比总体准确性提升31%,表明LSTM-RNN应用于SST建模是可行的; LSTM-RNN可以建立其他物理参数与SST的关系,从而显著提升海水表面温度模型的准确性。     

Application of integrated geophysical interpretation on accumulation body

Integrated geophysical interpretation is a method of combinating different geophysics prospecting methods based on different physical properties of accumulation. As different geophysical methods own different interpretations and varying detection accuracies, the key issue becomes how to integrate the results of several geophysical methods to corrently carry out a comprehensive explanation. Based on different geophysical results, the authors proposed an integrated geophysical explanation method and successfully applied it in practical engineering problems.     

开展空间天气业务对广东社会经济的影响

通过对空间天气和空间天气学的描述,介绍空间天气学的研究内容、方法、监测手段以及空间天气灾害的危害;分析了在广东开展空间天气业务的必要性,并对如何开展广东空间天气业务提出建议。     

Discovery of Four Peculiar Variable Stars

Four stars, GSC 1258-0143, GSC 1986-1665, GSC 3045-0892 and GSC 2983-1597 were found to be new variables during a campaign of CCD photometric monitoring of short-period eclipsing binary stars. The variabilities of these new variables are reported. The main characteristics and probable classifications of the variables are discussed through a preliminary analysis on their light curves. Among these stars, GSC 1258-0143 is classified as a RR Lyr star of sub-type a. Its pulsation period is determined to be about 0.5206 days. The other three stars, are definite variables, but their periods and types of light variations remain unknown.     

中国岩石圈物理学研究中的几个重要问题与思考

中国多年来在岩石圈物理学研究中已取得了一系列的重要成果,并促进了中国地球科学的发展。然而在这21世纪之际,基于国家战略需求和自主创新的方针对岩石圈物理学提出了新的挑战。本文在这样的思维前提下对岩石圈物理学的科学内涵和发展导向进行了较全面的分析、研究和思考,并明确指出当今在这一学科领域应该做些什么,核心问题是什么,又存在哪些关键性的科学问题。研究结果提出,高精度的地球物理场观测与岩石圈内壳、幔精细结构(2维和3维)的刻划;在地球内部力系作用下,深部物质和能量的交换;深部物质运移的物理-力学-化学作用过程及深层动力学响应乃是深化对地球本体的认识和揭示成山、成盆、成岩、成矿和成灾的根本机理所在。为此,在本世纪的上、中叶,在地球科学领域中地球物理学研究必为先导。本文最后对岩石圈物理研究中尚存在的一些问题和困惑进行了分析和讨论。     

Microphysical Effects of Cloud Seeding in Supercooled Stratiform Clouds Observed from NOAA Satellite

Based on the satellite retrieval methodology, the spectral characteristics and cloud microphysical properties were analyzed that included brightness temperatures of Channels 4 and 5, and their brightness temperature difference (BTD), the particle effective radius of seeded cloud track caused by an operational cloud seeding and the microphysical effects of cloud seeding were revealed by the comparisons of their differences inside and outside the seeded track. The cloud track was actually a cloud channel reaching 1.5-km deep and 14-km wide lasting for more than 80 min. The effective radius of ambient clouds was 10-15μm, while that within the cloud track ranged from 15 to 26μm. The ambient clouds were composed of supercooled droplets, and the composition of the cloud within the seeding track was ice. With respect to the rather stable reflectance of two ambient sides around the track, the visible spectral reflectance in the cloud track varied at least 10%, and reached a maximum of 35%, the reflectance of 3.7μm in the seeded track relatively decreased at least 10%. As cloud seeding advanced, the width and depth were gradually increased. Simultaneously the cloud top temperature within the track became progressively warmer with respect to the ambient clouds, and the maximum temperature differences reached 4.2 and 3.9℃at the first seeding position for Channels 4 and 5. In addition, the BTD in the track also increased steadily to a maximum of 1.4℃, compared with 0.2-0.4℃of the ambient clouds. The evidence that the seeded cloud became thinner comes from the visible image showing a channel, the warming of the cloud tops, and the increase of BTD in the seeded track. The seeded cloud became thinner mainly because the cloud top descended and it lost water to precipitation throughout its depth. For this cloud seeding case, the glaciation became apparent at cloud tops about 22 min after seeding. The formation of a cloud track in the supercooled stratiform clouds was mainly because that the seeded cloud volume glaciated into ice hydrometeors that precipitated and so lowered cloud top height. A thin line of new water clouds formed in the middle of the seeded track between 38 and 63 min after seeding, probably as a result of rising motion induced by the released latent heat of freezing. These clouds disappeared in the earlier segments of the seeded track, which suggested that the maturation of the seeding track was associated with its narrowing and eventual dissipation due to expansion of the tops of the ambient clouds from the sides inward.     

环境监测课程教学内容与新模式的探索

环境监测是环境科学的一个重要分支学科，其目的是准确、及时、全面地反映环境质量现状及发展趋势。环境化学、环境物理学、环境地学、环境工程学、环境医学、环境管理学、环境经济学以及环境法学等所有环境科学的分支学科，都需要在了解、评价环境质量及其变化趋势的基础上，进行各项研究和制定有关管理、经济的法规…。因此，环境监测课程是环境科学专业重要的专业基础课，国内外各高校环境科学专业人才培养计划，都给予环境监测课程高度的重视。南京信息工程大学在环境科学专业培养方案中，将环境监测课程列为重要的专业基础课，理论学习与实验共86学时，充分表明我校环境科学专业人才培养过程中对该课程的重视。     

统计物理学在地震预报中的应用

将统计物理学中相变临界现象与震源孕育模式相结合,讨论了地震预报问题。这些临界现象是：长程关联、涨落加剧、奇异吸引子、岔点外敏、临界慢化、趋向分维、临界乳光、λ型、临界软模等。以上临界现象对应的前兆,是综合预报的物理基础。     

《极地研究》征稿简则

<正>《极地研究》是集中反映南北极多学科考察研究成果的综合性学术刊物。它是极地科学工作者发表最新研究成果的园地,也是进行国际国内极地考察研究学术交流的窗口。本刊主要刊登以极地为研究对象或以极地为探测平台的基础研究、应用研究和高技术研究成果,反映该领域的新发现、新创造、新理论和新方法。具体报道范围包括极地冰川学、极地海洋科学、极地大气科学、极区空间物理学、极地地质学、极地地球物理学、极地地球化学、极地生物与