气候变化综合评估模型

本文概述了气候变化综合评估模型（IAM）的定义、组成、特点及应用。IAM可视为一种促进人类更好地理解气候变化问题的工具,它为研究者和决策者提供了一种十分有益的关注环境问题的框架或方法论。     

Soil carbon stock of the Central-East Asia in the climate warming

Water samples from the Wujiang River, a typical karst river system, were analyzed for major ion concentrations and δ^34S values of dissolved sulfate in order to identify the sources of sulfate, quantify the sulfate export flux and understand the role of sulfur cycling in chemical weathering rate of carbonate. Spatial variations in sulfate concentration and sulfur isotopic composition of tributaries over the catchment area are obvious, allowing to decipher S sources between rocks and atmosphere. According to the variations in sulfate concentration and isotopic composition, it is inferred that sulfate ions in the upper-reach river waters may have three sources, rain water, sulfate resultant from oxidation of pyrite in coal, and sulfate from sulfide deposits. In the lower reaches, the S isotopic composition of the samples lies mainly on a mixing trend between evaporite sulfate and rainwater sulfate, the contribution of sulfate from oxidation of pyrite being lesser. A pronounced seasonal variation in both content and isotopic composition of sulfate characterizes the Wujiang River. The average sulfate concentration of the waters is 0.65 mmol/L in winter, 0.17 mmol/L higher than that in summer. River water δ^34S values range from -15.7‰ to 18.9‰ in winter, while the δ^34S values of river waters in summer vary to a lesser extent than in winter, from -11.5‰ to 8.3‰. The δ^34S values of the main stream range from -6.7‰ to -3.9‰ in summer, averaging 3‰ lower than in winter. This indicates that in summer, when the discharge increases, the contribution of a source enriched in light isotopes to the atmosphere or the oxidation of pyrite in coal is more important.     

当代气候变化若干问题商榷

指出当代气候变暖的自然因素和温室效应两者都相当重要至今尚难区分何者为主；气候增暖的后果并不都是坏事，而是利弊都不可低估；历史上自然灾害群发期主要不在暖期而是冷期、未来对策不宜将注意力仅放在一种可能性上。     

模拟温室效应对我国气候变化的影响

利用5个全球大气海洋海冰模式,模拟了大气中二氧化碳浓度的增加对我国冬季与夏季地面气温、降水率及土壤湿度的影响。结果表明,由于温室效应,我国冬、夏季气温增暖,降水率与土壤湿度也有明显变化。     

2000年寒潮低温对不同结构棚模温室效应的分析

本文通过调查和对比观测发现，强降温和持续低温寡照是2000年冬季邯郸地区温室严重冻害的主要环境因子，而管理措施不当加重了冻害损失的惨重性，在冬季温室生产生活动中必须合理利用气象信息，防范于未然。     

全球大气CO2浓度变化特点简析

研究表明，全球CO2浓度变化有二大特点，一是北半球具有明显的季节变化，而南半球由于各纬度上的浓度变化很小，没有明显的季节变化。二是两个半球又有一个相同的特点，那就是都有较大的逐年增高的趋势，各地的平均年增长率在1．4至1．7ppmv/a之间。南北两半球相比，北半球的年平均浓度要高出4ppmv，年平均增长率也要略高一些。研究表明，大气CO2浓度的变化还具有10年左右的周期，而且与厄尔尼诺年的关系比较密切。     

ANALYSIS OF LONG TERM CHARACTERISTICS OF INTERANNUAL CHANGE OF TEMPERATURE IN DONGGUAN OVER THE RECENT 50 YEARS

1 INTRODUCTION With the presence of greenhouse effect and rapid urbanization over the past decades, global climate has been warming up. An agricultural town more than 20 years ago, Dongguan, which sits on the estuary of the Pearl River in the south of China, has grown into a strong industrial base and urbanization with the development has substantially changed the look of its underlying surface and inevitably affects the local climate change. There have been studies on the long-term chan…