青藏高原热力异常与华北汛期降水关系的研究

利用1980～1994年NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,以及我国336个测站1956～1994年月降水量资料,通过诊断分析和数值实验,研究了夏季高原上热力异常与华北汛期降水的关系.结果表明:华北汛期干旱年,青藏高压及西太平洋副热带高压偏南、偏东,华北汛期降水偏多年则相反;华北汛期旱年时,高原上升、高原东侧邻近地区下沉的垂直环流明显加强,而降水偏多年时,垂直环流减弱,华北地区为上升气流控制;夏季高原为热源和水汽汇区,它们的异常对华北地区降水有很大影响,当热源和水汽汇增强(减弱)时,华北地区降水偏少(偏多).数值试验表明,高原上潜热加热异常引起青藏高压、西太平洋副热带高压、亚洲季风以及欧亚中高纬地区环流的变化,进而影响到华北地区的降水.     

甘肃春末夏初飞机人工增雨天气系统分型

利用甘肃省1991～2002年飞机人工增雨作业资料,对春末夏初飞机人工增雨作业状况进行了统计分析;按照甘肃省的天气系统特征,利用探空资料,根据自动化“判别模型”的判别,得出甘肃降水的高空环流可分为三种类型：平直多波动型、西南气流型和西北气流型,其中降水类型以平直多波动型为多见。通过“判别模型”对飞机人工增雨天气系统的分型,结果表明,飞机人工增雨作业的主要天气类型首先为平直多波动型,其次为西南气流型。     

青藏高原雪盖异常对我国环流和降水的影响

利用美国NOAA NESDIS提供的1975—1986年青藏高原地区卫星雪盖资料，作出了各月冬季青藏高原雪盖频率图。发现1—3月是高原雪盖面积最大的月份，在此期间高原雪盖面积有明显的持续性，并与欧亚雪盖面积有较高的一致性。根据3月高原雪盖异常与中国环流和降水的关系，发现高原雪盖异常的后延冷却效应较弱，大约不足一个月；3月高原多雪以后，5月东亚北风加大，南岭以北降水偏少，少雪年则相反。     

哈密南部一次罕见暴雪天气诊断分析

对2005年11月19～20日哈密暴雪天气分析表明,暴雪是萨彦岭低涡直接南压进哈密南部造成的.深厚的低值系统为暴雪产生提供强的辐合上升运动,低层风场辐合及中高层强西南气流为暴雪提供充足的水汽,而冷暖、干湿空气的水平、垂直交换,使大量不稳定能量得以释放.     

西南地区东部旱涝转换及降水预测方法研究

在分析西南地区东部旱涝转换特点基础上,利用北半球５００ｈＰａ候平均高度场和ＥＣＭＷＦ数值预报场资料,经过不同尺度的相似过滤和集成,得到未来若干候的降水分布,推断出旱涝转换开始期,试验结果令人满意。     

利用LPAC图分析北半球夏半年环流季节转换及异常

用NCEP／NCAR再分析月平均风、压场资料得到1958—1997年5—10月月际场的局地型相似系数（LPAC）。多年平均LPAC表明了对流层和平流层低层印度夏季风环流的建立、东亚夏季风环流的北进和南亚高压上高原的过程，这些区域LPAC值较同纬度非季风区明显偏低。在平流层中层，夏季型环流表现出纬向对称性和由高纬向低纬的传播特征。对东亚LPAC气候变率时空剖面及3个涝年LPAC异常的分析反映出环流型季节转变异常及其与东亚月降水异常的关系。     

Near-surface structure and energy characteristics of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current

Historical surface drifter observations collected from the Southern Ocean are used to study the near-surface structure, variability, and energy characteristics of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current （ACC）. A strong, nearly zonal ACC combined with complex fronts dominates the circulation system in the Southern Ocean. Standard variance ellipses indicate that both the Agulhas Return Current and the East Australian Warm Current are stable supplements of the near-surface ACC, and that the anticyclonic gyre formed by the Brazil warm current and the Malvinas cold current is stable throughout the year. During austral winter, the current velocity increases because of the enhanced westerly wind. Aroused by the meridional motion of the ACC, the meridional velocity shows greater instability characteristics than the zonal velocity does over the core current. Additionally, the ACC exhibits an eastward declining trend in the core current velocity from southern Africa. The characteristics of the ACC are also argued from the perspective of energy. The energy distribution suggests that the mean kinetic energy （MKE）, eddy kinetic energy （EKE）, and are strong over the core currents of the ACC. However, in contrast, EKE/MKE suggests there is much less （more） eddy dissipation in regions with strong （weak） energy distribution. Both meridional and zonal energy variations are studied to illustrate additional details of the ACC energy characteristics. Generally, all the energy forms except EKE/MKE present west-east reducing trends, which coincide with the velocity statistics. Eddy dissipation has a much greater effect on MKE in the northern part of the Southern Ocean.     

The climate background and synoptic situation of fog at Great Wall Station, Antarctica

Based on the observed and NCEP reanalysis data from 1985 to 2006,the climate background and synoptic situation of fog at Great Wall Station were analyzed. It is shown that the seasonal variation of fog is controlled by the change of general circulation and local pressure field. Three favorable typical synoptic situations for fog development are found, the Front-of-A-Depression type, the Saddle-Shaped-Field type and the Passing-Weak-Cyclone type. The first one is the most important situation. Advection cooling fog is dominant at Great Wall Station, but there are other kinds of fog as well. As a result, some helpful principles for local fog forecasting are given.     

陕西98年冬季气候异常及大气环流特征

分析１９９８ 年冬季气候异常特征, 对冬季高空大气环流与历年进行比较, 得出： １９９８ 年冬季气温持续显著偏高, 为历史同期最暖的冬季; 降水异常偏少, 旱情严重; 欧亚浅槽的减弱和位置偏南以及极涡的位置和强度的变化是造成９８ 年冬季气候异常的主要原因。