南海沿岸近海地区大气特征分析

近年来气候变化使得局地大气特征发生明显变化,为了更好的研究南海海域气候特征,文章利用多年的南海区域站点观探测资料,采用统计分析的方法分析南海沿岸近海地区的温度、湿度等常规大气参数以及云、能见度等天气特征的时空分布特征,并统计了航空危险天气条件(低云量≥5成,云底高≤300 m且能见度1 km)出现的频率分布,为科研和海洋天气预报提供有力的数据支持。     

基于18.6年卫星高度计资料对南海潮汐的分析与研究

利用TOPEX/Poseidon,Jason-1/2共18.6年卫星高度计资料(含变轨后资料),采用最小二乘调和分析法,提取南海12个分潮(Sa,Ssa,Mm,Mf,Q1,O1,P1,K1,N2,M2,S2和K2)调和常数,与沿岸及岛屿58个验潮站数据拟合较好。结果表明,采用更长时间序列的卫星高度计数据,尤其是增加变轨后的资料,分析所得结果得到明显改善。结合沿岸及岛屿264个验潮站数据,绘制4个主要分潮(M2,S2,K1和O1)的等振幅线和同潮时线,较好的展现了南海潮汐分布特征。     

Intraseasonal Oscillation of the South China Sea Summer Monsoon and Its Influence on Regionally Persistent Heavy Rain over Southern China

The intraseasonal oscillation（ISO） in the South China Sea summer monsoon（SCSSM） and its influence on regionally persistent heavy rain（RPHR） over southern China are examined by using satelhte outgoing long wave radiation,NCEP/NCAR reanalysis,and gridded rainfall station data in China from 1981 to 2010.The most important feature of the ISO in SCSSM,contributing to the modulation of RPHR,is found to be the fluctuation in the western Pacific subtropical high（WPSH）,along with a close link to the Madden-Julian oscillation（MJO）.Southern China is divided into three regions by using rotated empirical orthogonal functions（REOFs）for intraseasonal rainfall,where the incidence rate of RPHR is closely linked to the intraseasonal variation in rainfall.It is found that SCSSM ISOs are the key systems controlling the intraseasonal variability in rainfall and can be described by the leading pair of empirical orthogonal functions（EOFs） for the 850-hPa zonal wind over the SCS and southern China.Composite analyses based on the principal components（PCs） of the EOFs indicate that the ISO process in SCSSM exhibits as the east-west oscillation of the WPSH,which is coupled with the northward-propagating MJO,creating alternating dry and wet phases over southern China with a period of 40 days.The wet phases provide stable and lasting circulation conditions that promote RPHR.However,differences in the ISO structures can be found when RPHR occurs in regions where the WPSH assumes different meridional positions.Further examination of the meridional-phase structure suggests an important role of northward-propagating ISO and regional air-sea interaction in the ISO process in SCSSM.     

Chinese Contribution to CMIP5：An Overview of Five Chinese Models’Performances

An overview of Chinese contribution to Coupled Model Intercomparison Project-Phase 5 （CMIP5） is presented. The performances of five Chinese Climate/Earth System Models that participated in the CMIP5 pro ject are assessed in the context of climate mean states, seasonal cycle, intraseasonal oscillation, interan-nual variability, interdecadal variability, global monsoon, Asian-Australian monsoon, 20th-century historical climate simulation, climate change pro jection, and climate sensitivity. Both the strengths and weaknesses of the models are evaluated. The models generally show reasonable performances in simulating sea surface tem-perature （SST） mean state, seasonal cycle, spatial patterns of Madden-Julian oscillation （MJO） amplitude and tropical cyclone Genesis Potential Index （GPI）, global monsoon precipitation pattern, El Ni-no-Southern Oscillation （ENSO）, and Pacific Decadal Oscillation （PDO） related SST anomalies. However, the perfor-mances of the models in simulating the time periods, amplitude, and phase locking of ENSO, PDO time periods, GPI magnitude, MJO propagation, magnitude of SST seasonal cycle, northwestern Pacific mon-soon and North American monsoon domains, as well as the skill of large-scale Asian monsoon precipitation need to be improved. The model performances in simulating the time evolution and spatial pattern of the 20th-century global warming and the future change under representative concentration pathways pro jection are compared to the multimodel ensemble of CMIP5 models. The model discrepancies in terms of climate sensitivity are also discussed.     

水文地质工作在矿业整装勘查中的重要作用与现实意义

矿坑(井)涌(突)水造成重大安全事故事件频繁发生,并因矿坑巨量涌水淹没矿井而抽排水造成开矿成本增高。因此,进行水文地质研究,降低矿坑(井)涌(突)水给矿井建设和生产带来的危害,实现矿山安全生产,对于矿业工作来说,有着重要作用和现实意义。     

基于蒙特卡洛方法的基坑抗突涌稳定性分析

根据现行技术规范判定和定量计算基坑的抗突涌安全性,不能客观反映工程建设场地地质条件不确定性等随机因素的影响。本文应用蒙特卡洛方法,考虑引发突涌的随机影响因素进行基坑抗突涌稳定性分析,并根据基坑突涌灾害的发生概率提出应对措施,以助于更合理地指导基坑工程的设计施工及其地质灾害防治。     

东亚季风区近地面大气气溶胶中OCPs和PCBs纬度分布：以7Be为参照系

连续一年在北京、青岛、广州以每周3d的时间尺度同步采集近地面大气中气溶胶中7Be的测定数据以及在春、秋季节变换时期我国5个不同纬度城市大气气溶胶中7Be和典型持久性有机污染物（有机氯农药和多氯联苯1的同步观测数据,并对文献上发表的我国其他城市近地面大气中气溶胶中’Be年平均值数据进行了分析。通过对以上数据资料的总结和分析,观察到在东亚季风区近地表大气气溶胶中7Be浓度的年平均值呈现正态分布模式,并且在中纬度北纬40°N附近达到极大值。大气气溶胶中7Be在春、秋季节变换时期我国不同纬度城市的瞬时纬度分布仍呈现正态分布模式,但以30°N为最大值。在秋季大气颗粒相中HCHs和PCBs浓度最大值出现在30°N。气相中PCB-28所占百分比随纬度增高而增大,而颗粒相中PCB-28的纬度变化不大。蒸汽压较低的PCB-180在气相中的浓度基本上不随纬度变化,而颗粒相中PCB-180则基本上集中在纬度36。N左右,表明在东亚季风区大气中挥发性较低的POPs化合物具有某种纬度聚焦作用。以宇宙射线成因核素7Be作为大气环流的参照系,可以得出东亚季风区大气环流可影响持久性有机污染物纬度分布的结论。     

南海西部海底巨型麻坑活动性示踪研究

南海西部陆坡海域海底广泛发育麻坑,其规模和数量在世界范围内均属罕见,但关于它们目前的活动特征尚不清楚。通过对西沙隆起西南部麻坑区采集的两根沉积柱样孔隙水SO^2–4、K^＋、Mg^2＋、Ca^2＋、Sr^2＋以及溶解有机碳（DIC）含量随深度的变化特征的研究,揭示麻坑内与硫酸根消耗有关的生物地球化学过程,并推断麻坑目前的活动状况。采集于麻坑外的C9柱样SO^2–4浓度变化整体呈向下凹的形态降低,减少的硫酸根是被有机质硫酸盐还原作用消耗。采集于麻坑内的C14柱样SO^2–4浓度梯度呈现明显的三段式变化,0.00-0.66 m内SO2–4浓度变化主要受有机质硫酸盐还原作用控制,0.66-3.70 m受有机质硫酸盐还原和甲烷缺氧氧化共同控制,3.70 m以下部分主要受甲烷缺氧氧化作用的影响。根据C14柱样3.7 m以下孔隙水硫酸根浓度梯度计算的硫酸根-甲烷交接带（SMI）约在14.3 m处,甲烷向上扩散的通量约为0.0144 mol/（m^2·a）。此外,2个柱样沉积物孔隙水的Ca^2＋浓度均随深度明显降低,而Mg2＋浓度略微降低,主要与自生碳酸盐矿物沉淀有关。C14的Mg/Ca和Sr/Ca随深度变化指示该柱样沉积物中自生碳酸盐岩矿物主要为高镁方解石。2个柱样的孔隙水地球化学特征显示目前研究区麻坑活动不活跃, C14麻坑中含甲烷流体发生微弱渗漏,可能处于麻坑活动的衰落期。     

我国首次完成超深水海域钻探取样

《中国矿业报》消息（2014-08-21）由中国地质调查局北京探矿工程研究所研制的TK系列取样器具日前在南海北部陆坡1720 m超深水海域圆满完成了钻探取样工作,这是我国首次在超深水海域钻探取样,成为我国超深水取样调查第一钻。     

利用迭代反演方法解决变磁性磁界面反演问题

南海地层岩石磁性在横向上呈现较大差异,而目前常用的磁界面反演方法多是针对常磁性磁界面进行的,若直接将其应用于南海这样磁性差异较大的地区,则反演结果中必定会带进很大误差。通过引入滑动时窗,对较常用的磁界面迭代反演方法进行研究和改进,获取适用于变磁性磁界面深度反演的方法,提供了一个可用于解决此种情况的方法手段。