准实时地基GPS可降水量的解算方案与可靠性研究

对准实时地基GPS可降水量的解算方案与可靠性的探讨,围绕三个方面展开:准实时GPS对流层延迟解算的最佳方案的确定;GPS可降水量与无线电探空资料的比较;GPS可降水量与水汽辐射计数据的比较。为了实时应用于气象领域,准实时对流层延迟的最佳方案为快速预报星历松弛解。在快速预报星历松弛解GPS可降水量与无线电探空数据的比较中,两者的相关性为0.88,绝对值均值为5.4 mm。GPS可降水量与水汽辐射计资料比较得到两者差值的均方根为1.68 mm。最后得到了最佳的准实时地基GPS可降水量的解算方案和在气象领域可降水量的反演的可行性的结论。     

Comparison between MODIS-derived Day and Night Cloud Cover and Surface Observations over the North China Plain

Satellite and human visual observation are two of the most important observation approaches for cloud cover. In this study, the total cloud cover(TCC) observed by MODIS onboard the Terra and Aqua satellites was compared with Synop meteorological station observations over the North China Plain and its surrounding regions for 11 years during daytime and7 years during nighttime. The Synop data were recorded eight times a day at 3-h intervals. Linear interpolation was used to interpolate the Synop data to the MODIS overpass time in order to reduce the temporal deviation between the satellite and Synop observations. Results showed that MODIS-derived TCC had good consistency with the Synop observations; the correlation coefficients ranged from 0.56 in winter to 0.73 in summer for Terra MODIS, and from 0.55 in winter to 0.71 in summer for Aqua MODIS. However, they also had certain differences. On average, the MODIS-derived TCC was 15.16%higher than the Synop data, and this value was higher at nighttime(15.58%–16.64%) than daytime(12.74%–14.14%). The deviation between the MODIS and Synop TCC had large seasonal variation, being largest in winter(29.53%–31.07%) and smallest in summer(4.46%–6.07%). Analysis indicated that cloud with low cloud-top height and small cloud optical thickness was more likely to cause observation bias. Besides, an increase in the satellite view zenith angle, aerosol optical depth, or snow cover could lead to positively biased MODIS results, and this affect differed among different cloud types.     

无气象要素的GPS对流层延迟推算可降水量的研究

本文针对武汉地区GPS气象网资料,进行了GPS对流层延迟直接推算可降水量的研究。在武汉东湖站GPS对流层延迟与无线电探空可降水量的比较中,两者具有很好的相关性,相关系数达到了0.93;推导了对流层延迟直接推算可降水量的模型,对模型结果进行了检验,在武汉东湖站的对流层延迟转换的可降水量与无线电探空可降水量的比较中,均方根为7.8mm,相关性为0.91,这说明了在没有气象数据的地区对流层延迟直接推算的可降水量可以作为气象短期预报的参考。     

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