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71.
R. M. W. Musson 《Natural Hazards》1997,15(2-3):105-119
Although the U.K. is in an area of only low to moderate seismicity, the seismic hazard is sufficient to pose a threat to sensitive structures such as chemical plants and nuclear facilities. In quantifying the level of hazard by conventional probabilistic methodology, however, some problems arise in attempting to interpret earthquake data in terms of geological structure and faults. In the U.K., not only is it impossible to identify any demonstrably active faults, but also it is extremely difficult to discern any relationship between the pattern of seismicity and local or regional geological structure.This study discusses the use of two zonation approaches which complement each other in such a way that the general character and trend of seismicity is preserved. In one approach, the zonation is informed by the structural geology, where possible; geological zonation is avoided if it produces sources with heterogeneous seismicity. In the other approach, the record of past earthquakes is divided up into very small zones around individual epicentres or groups of epicentres, the size of each zone usually being proportional to the uncertainty in the epicentral determination of the appropriate event. This zonation preserves an observed tendency of some British earthquakes to repeat themselves. It is suggested that, in intraplate areas such as the U.K., it is often inappropriate to attempt to model individual fault sources. No faults in the U.K. are provably active. Because an earthquake of moderate size can occur on a very short fault segment, it is impractical to restrict fault modelling to major features. Even the two largest U.K. faults, suspected to be active, pose problems in attributing historical seismicity to them as distinct features. 相似文献
72.
73.
雅砻江畔雅江县城区地质灾害特征及其防治对策 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
四川省雅江县城座落于雅砻江河畔。在城区0.84km^2范围内发育有城南滑坡,城区斜 地面变形、城东危岩和城北滑坡四大地质灾害单元,构成了较为罕见的雅江县城独特的地质灾害特征。论述了雅江县城稆种地质这为害的特征及危害性,并对各咱地质灾害单元按其轻重缓解提出相的防治措施和对策。 相似文献
74.
结合地质灾害调查与区划项目中“以人为本”的思想,根据阳原县具体的地理情况、地质环境,分析引起地质灾害的主要因素,查明区内存在的地质灾害隐患,对地质灾害进行区划,划分出地质灾害危险区、易发区、稳定区,并依据区划结果提出治理阳原县地质灾害的切实可行的建议,指出在不同地质灾害区中采取不同处理措施。 相似文献
75.
21世纪中国地质灾害防治形势与减灾战略思考 总被引:9,自引:0,他引:9
张樑 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》2004,15(2):16-21
文章论述了21世纪中国地质灾害减灾面临的形势是既存在许多有利条件又存在多方面困难而面临严重挑战。提出21世纪地质灾害减灾战略:1.建立地质灾害防治安全维护体系;2.优先安排西部地区地质灾害防治工程,实施地质灾害风险管理;3.建立矿山地质灾害防治监督管理体系;4.城市地质灾害防治与土地利用相结合;5.加强我国地质环境监测与网站建设;6.针对地质灾害区域分布规律,采取分区减灾对策;7.加大地质灾害防治投入力度。 相似文献
76.
R.M.W. Musson 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2004,2(1):101-112
Three sites in the UK are taken, representative of low, medium and high hazard levels (by UK standards). For each site, the
hazard value at 10−4 annual probability is computed using a generic seismic source model, and a variety of ground motion parameters: peak ground
acceleration (PGA), spectral acceleration at 10 Hz and 1 Hz, and intensity. Disaggregation is used to determine the nature
of the earthquakes most likely to generate these hazard values. It is found (as might be expected) that the populations are
quite different according to which ground motion parameter is used. When PGA is used, the result is a rather flat magnitude
distribution with a tendency to low magnitude events (\le 4.5 ML) which are probably not really hazardous. Hazard-consistent scenario earthquakes computed using intensity are found
to be in the range 5.8–5.9 ML, which is more in accord with the type of earthquake that one expects to be a worst-case event
in the UK.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
77.
Perceptions of hazard and risk on Santorini 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Dale Dominey-Howes Despina Minos-Minopoulos 《Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research》2004,137(4):4
Santorini, Greece is a major explosive volcano. The Santorini volcanic complex is composed of two active volcanoes—Nea Kameni and Mt. Columbo. Holocene eruptions have generated a variety of processes and deposits and eruption mechanisms pose significant hazards of various types. It has been recognized that, for major European volcanoes, few studies have focused on the social aspects of volcanic activity and little work has been conducted on public perceptions of hazard, risk and vulnerability. Such assessments are an important element of establishing public education programmes and developing volcano disaster management plans. We investigate perceptions of volcanic hazards on Santorini. We find that most residents know that Nea Kameni is active, but only 60% know that Mt. Columbo is active. Forty percent of residents fear that negative impacts on tourism will have the greatest effect on their community. In the event of an eruption, 43% of residents would try to evacuate the island by plane/ferry. Residents aged >50 have retained a memory of the effects of the last eruption at the island, whereas younger residents have no such knowledge. We find that dignitaries and municipal officers (those responsible for planning and managing disaster response) are informed about the history, hazards and effects of the volcanoes. However, there is no “emergency plan” for the island and there is confusion between various departments (Civil Defense, Fire, Police, etc.) about the emergency decision-making process. The resident population of Santorini is at high risk from the hazards associated with a future eruption. 相似文献
78.
落石堆积的结构特征与斜坡破坏型式之转换 总被引:13,自引:0,他引:13
在基岩山区和丘陵区,落石堆积的分布非常广泛、并可经长期积累而形成巨大规模。然而,因缺乏研究,它们(尤其是规模较大者)经常被误定成滑坡或崩塌堆积。为此,作者结合长江三峡工程和西部大开发的需要,采用天然模型勘测和岩相分析等多种方法对其进行了长期研究。结果认为:1.落石堆积(累积体)通常是在扩离-落石发育而崩塌、滑坡不发育的陡崖(坡)下形成,同时还需有较平坡面,便于落石停积而不易被重力和流水搬走的堆积场所;2.落石堆积的结构特征为:(1)前缘土体较密实且粒(块)径较小,后缘多大块石并常具架空结构;(2)不等粒系数普遍较大;(3)常有淤泥质和砂、卵石夹层或透镜体;(4)前缘可具向外陡倾的加积层理。基于此,水的潜蚀作用和地表水对前缘的集中冲刷常成为落石堆积变形破坏的主因;3.落石堆积的破坏型式为滑坡、泥石流或碎屑流;4.落石堆积的勘查应特别注意查明环境水文地质条件、储水结构及相关参数;其稳定性评价应首先分析不同工程活动影响下产生潜蚀的可能性;5.为防治斜坡失稳,首先应保护落石堆积的自稳结构和选用有防潜蚀功能的开放型措施;6.深入研究落石堆积,对沉积学和工程地质学也具有理论意义和实用价值。 相似文献
79.
陕北砂黄土区公路地质灾害及防治对策 总被引:8,自引:0,他引:8
中国西北黄土的颗粒组成具有明显的地带性分布规律,自NW向SE可依次划分为砂黄土带、典型黄土带和粘黄土带。黄土高原北部地质灾害综合调查表明,砂黄土区公路地质灾害的主要类型包括黄土边坡滑塌灾害、路堤裂陷灾害、路桥变形和冲蚀灾害等。根据试验测试分析结果,公路地质灾害的形成主要受黄土本身的物质组成、结构及力学性质控制,人类工程活动的盲目性是诱发地质灾害的重要因素。文章在砂黄土公路地质灾害特征分析的基础上,提出加强边坡防护和冲蚀灾害防治是公路地质灾害防治的两个基本途径,并给出了针对性的防治对策。这不仅对该地区的公路建设具有重要的指导作用,而且对其它生命线工程如铁路、输油气管道、渠道等也具有重要的借鉴意义。 相似文献
80.
莺歌海盆地是南海西北部海域地质灾害类型较齐全的地区之一。根据野外调查资料,本文简要地分析了该区的活动断裂和地质灾害类型。区内活动断裂主要走向呈NW向,该方向的活动断裂主要有红河断裂带、中央拗陷东部断裂带和中央拗陷西部断裂带。红河断裂带在地震资料上显示为一倾向SW的正断层,表现为明显的重力梯级带和磁异常分界带,NE向断裂带分布于盆地中部,在重磁异常上表现为明显的异常带,在北部表现为被NW向的断裂切割。莺歌海盆地地质灾害类型主要有地震活动、泥底辟构造、滑坡与崩塌等。同时,还对该区地质灾害基本特征和分布规律进行了初步分析。 相似文献