Cumulative frequency b value without upper bound magnitude and its regression determination

ＣｕｍｕｌａｔｉｖｅｆｒｅｑｕｅｎｃｙｂｖａｌｕｅｗｉｔｈｏｕｔｕｐｐｅｒｂｏｕｎｄｍａｇｎｉｔｕｄｅａｎｄｉｔｓｒｅｇｒｅｓｓｉｏｎｄｅｔｅｒｍｉｎａｔｉｏｎＪｉａｎ－ＷｅｎＳＨＥＮ（沈建文）（ＳｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌＢｕｒｅａｕｏｆＡｎｈｕｉＰ...     

快速序贯算法

本文讨论了序贯算法的基本原理，与ｋａｌｍａｎ滤波的关系，和序贯算法的渐近性态，得到无先验信息的序贯算法不受初值的影响。实例分析表明，此序贯算法可适于方程系数阵的求逆、求解和病态方程的快速解算。     

干旱地区土地合理利用问题研究：——以新疆阜康县为例

本文以阜康县为例，对干旱地区土地利用的特点，问题进行了探讨，并提出了合理利用途径。     

Telecommunications and the Large City-Small City Divide: Evidence from Indiana Cities*

Urban systems are increasingly dominated by large cities that house a disproportionate share of telecommunications infrastructure. This paper investigates whether telecommunications is defining a technological divide between large and smaller cities. The paper provides a conceptual basis for large-city dominance and presents the results of surveys that investigate the use of telecommunications in medium and small Indiana cities. The survey data indicate that telecommunications is used by the set of Indiana cities, but is less prevalent among the set of smallest cities. Chi-square tests, however, suggest that city size does not adequately explain these variations in use.     

Effect of relative humidity on the angular distribution of scattered light intensity for rural and urban aerosols

The change in atmospheric relative humidity affects the physical and optical properties of aerosol particles. It would be interesting to study the effect of an increase in relative humidity on the angular scattering of light by aerosols (by incorporating the changes due to it as the complex refractive index and the parameters of the size distribution function). In the present paper we have computed the angular scattering function for rural and urban aerosols, for light of wavelength 0.55 μn. The results obtained for these two models, representative of different environments, are interesting and show some discriminating features.     

滇西实验场两次中强地震前后尾波衰减的区域特征分析

本文在地方震尾波散理论模式的基础上，研究了１９９２年１２月发生在滇西地震预报实验场永胜期纳地区的两次Ｍｓ５．４，５．１地震前后的序列地震尾波振幅衰减率β和尾波Ｑ＾－１值随时间和空间变化的衰减特征。结果表明，尾波衰减率在空间分布上表现出明显的小区域范围的非均匀性，在主震震中附近的近场区内，主震期间的β值是０．００７６ｓ＾－１，相应的Ｑｃ＾－１值是０．００５６；余震期间的β值是０．０２０９ｓ＾－１，相     

临汾地震安全性评价的极值理论方法

本文根据极值理论建立了烈度超越给定值Ｉｊ的平均重现期公式，根据最大熵原理建立了未来Ｔ年烈度超越给定值Ｉｊ的概率和烈度超越给定值Ｉｊ的平均重现期之间的关系式。利用１０２２─１９９３年的地震资料，计算了临汾（３６．１０°Ｎ，１１１．５０°Ｅ）周围４级以上地震在临汾造成的烈度，绘制了未来１００年临汾的烈度超越概率曲线（地震危险性曲线）。结果表明，计算场地烈度的极值理论方法可作为地震危险性分析的综合概率法的补充和验证。     

滇东重点监视区Q值随时间变化的研究

本文根据Ａｋｉ的尾波散射理论，在前几年圈定的滇东重点监视区范围内量取了１１个台近站２５００个地震尾波资料，计算了各台在研究的大区域及６个小区域内的随时间变化的Ｑ值，并分析了其随时间变化的特征，得出滇东重点监视区在未来３至５年内不会有７级以上大震发生的危险性。     

B模式产品业务应用价值的总结分析

在总结江苏省台近１０年ＭＯＳ预报业务效果的基础上，提示了Ｂ模式产品在省级台天气预报中的应用价值，包括产品对江苏的释用水平．释用经验和如何取得最大业务效益的途径。