Land Use Allocation Based on Interval Multi-objective Linear Programming Model： A Case Study of Pi County in Sichuan Province

Adjusting and optimizing land use structure is one of the essential approaches to solve the conflict between land supply and demand. In this study,an uncertain interval multi-objective linear programming model was established and applied to analyzing the suitability of land use structure in Pi County of Sichuan Province. An adjustment scheme for optimizing land use structure was proposed on the basis of development planning drawn up by the local government. The results are summarized as follows: 1) the opti...     

不等长工作面台阶区域覆岩运动诱冲机制及防治

针对阳城煤矿不等长工作面台阶区域发生冲击地压灾害问题,基于工作面特殊布置方式及覆岩赋存特征,采用理论分析、数值模拟和现场实测等方法,分析了台阶区域覆岩结构运动特征和围岩应力演化规律,研究了台阶区域冲击地压诱发机制。研究结果表明：1304工作面台阶区域覆岩经历了“OX-S-C”型较为复杂的结构演变,覆岩空间结构由OX向S型转换时,顶板岩层大面积破断下沉,在台阶区域形成多个悬臂梁结构,越往高位,悬臂梁长度越大;受覆岩运动和采动应力场叠加影响,煤岩体形成高应力集中区,在顶板岩层动载冲击作用下,煤岩体弹性应变能突然释放,诱发冲击地压。采用COMSOL软件对不同卸压钻孔参数下煤体应变能分布特征进行模拟研究,优化了台阶区域卸压钻孔参数。根据模拟结果,随着钻孔孔径、孔深增大及间距减小钻孔卸压效果越明显,考虑工程实际,确定孔径为150 mm、孔深为30 m、间距为1 m为合理有效的卸压钻孔参数,并应用于1302工作面台阶区域的冲击地压防治,取得了较好的防冲效果。     

松花江流域地表水系分形维及其影响因素分析

应用分形理论,以DEM数据为基础数据,给出了以ArcGIS 9.2为研究平台的分形雏数计算方法,并将该方法应用于松花江流域地表水系的研究.结果表明松花江流域地表水系均处于发育的壮年期,针对分形雏数影响因素的复杂性,探讨了松花江流域地表水系分形维数的影响因素,认为地貌、土壤、植被和降水量是分形维数的主要影响因素,且部分地区降水量的影响作用被地形作用所屏蔽,并讨论了线性拟合过程中无标度区间数据选择问题,认为选在栅格尺寸大小水平即可得到较好的结果.     

Clustering of temporal event processes

A temporal point process is a sequence of points, each representing the occurrence time of an event. Each temporal point process is related to the behavior of an entity. As a result, clustering of temporal point processes can help differentiate between entities, thereby revealing patterns of behaviors. This study proposes a hierarchical cluster method for clustering temporal point processes based on the discrete Fréchet (DF) distance. The DF cluster method is divided into four steps: (1) constructing a DF similarity matrix between temporal point processes; (2) constructing a complete linkage hierarchical tree based on the DF similarity matrix; (3) clustering the point processes with a threshold determined by locating the local maxima on the curve of the pseudo-F statistic (an index which measures the separability between clusters and the compactness in clusters); and (4) identifying inner patterns for each cluster formed by a series of dense intervals, each of which contains at least one event of all processes of the cluster. The contributions of the article are: (1) the proposed DF cluster method can cluster temporal point processes into different groups and (2) more importantly, it can identify the inner pattern of each cluster. Two synthetic data sets were created to illustrate the DF distance between temporal point process clusters (the first data set) and validate the proposed DF cluster method (the second data set), respectively. An experiment and a comparison with a method based on dynamic time warping show that DF cluster successfully identifies the preconfigured patterns in the second synthetic data set. The cluster method was then applied to a population migration history data set for the Northern Plains of the United States, revealing some interesting population migration patterns.     

A direct analysis of flood interval probability using approximately 100-year streamflow datasets

ABSTRACT

Series of observed flood intervals, defined as the time intervals between successive flood peaks over a threshold, were extracted directly from 11 approximately 100-year streamflow datasets from Queensland, Australia. A range of discharge thresholds were analysed that correspond to return periods of approximately 3.7 months to 6.3 years. Flood interval histograms at South East Queensland gauges were consistently unimodal whereas those of the North and Central Queensland sites were often multimodal. The exponential probability distribution (pd) is often used to describe interval exceedence probabilities, but fitting utilizing the Anderson-Darling statistic found little evidence that it is the most suitable. The fatigue life pd dominated sub-year return periods (<1 year), often transitioning to a log Pearson 3 pd at above-year return periods. Fatigue life pd is used in analysis of the lifetime to structural failure when a threshold is exceeded, and this paper demonstrates its relevance also to the elapsed time between above-threshold floods. At most sites, the interval medians were substantially less than the means for sub-year return periods. Statistically the median is a better measure of the central tendency of skewed distributions but the mean is generally used in practice to describe the classical concept of flood return period.

Editor Z.W. Kundzewicz; Associate editor I. Nalbantis     

非等间距无偏GM（1,1）模型在建筑沉降预测中的应用

将非等间距数列转化为等间距数列,并建立无偏GM（1,1）模型.通过对非等间距数列的处理,得到适合GM（1,1）建模的等时距数列,并在GM（1,1）模型的基础上,给出非等间距无偏GM（1,1）建模的具体步骤.从理论上证明无偏GM（1,1）能消除GM（1,1）模型的固有偏差,拓宽GM（1,1）的使用范围.最后将模型应用于实际建筑沉降预测中,研究结果表明非等间距无偏（1,1）模型精度高、实用性强.     

AN EXPLICIT COMPLETE SQUARE CONSERVATIVE SCHEME WITH ADJUSTABLE TIME INTERVALS*

In this paper,a kind of explicit difference scheme to solve nonlinear evolution equations,perfectly keeping the square conservation by adjusting the time step interval,is constructed,from the comprehensive maintenance of the advantages of the implicit complete square conservative scheme and the explicit instantaneous square conservative scheme.The new schemes are based on the thought of adding a small dissipation,but it is different from the small dissipation method.The dissipative term used in the new schemes is not a simple artificial dissipative term,but a so-called(time) harmonious dissipative term that can compensate for the truncation errors from the dissociation of the time differential term.Therefore,the new schemes may have a high time precision and may acquire a satisfactory effect in numerical tests.     

新疆且末地磁基准台场址勘选

对拟建设的新疆且末地磁台进行场址勘选,采取十字剖面测量和密跨度测量方法进行地磁场总强度F测量,对测量结果进行初步分析.分析结果表明,且末地磁台的地质条件、磁场梯度分布和背景噪声环境等地磁观测环境条件,符合国家地磁台建设规范的要求,适宜地磁基准台站建设.     

可调节经线收敛度和经纬线间隔的伪圆柱投影

令纬度ψ<,j>转换为ψ<,j>后,中央经线方程用一个ψ<,j>的7次幂方程表示,中央经线方程的系数关联着纬线间隔.令经度λ<,i>转换为ξ<,i>后,赤道方程用一个ξ<,i>的7次幂方程表示,赤道方程的系数关联着经线间隔.经线的收敛度由经线方程的收敛系数调节.由此构建可调节经线收敛度和经纬线间隔的伪圆柱投影.用一实例...     

草海湿地黑颈鹤迁徙特性与气候变化响应关系研究

选取威宁县1985年至2020年气象资料和黑颈鹤物候观测资料,采用数理统计、Ｍ-Ｋ突变检验等方法对各气候因子的趋势变化倾向率、主要气候因子对黑颈鹤物候期的影响进行研究。根据气象要素对黑颈鹤物候期的响应模式进行逐步回归结果表明：黑颈鹤的初见期、间隔期、终见期在1985-1990年间变化幅度较大。总体而言,近35年来初见期总体变化趋于平稳,终见期呈现上升趋势,说明黑颈鹤在威宁的停留时间有缩短趋势、终见期有提前的趋势。8月平均气温每升高1℃,黑颈鹤的初见期将推后4.485天;11月的平均风速每增加1m/s间隔期将会延长16.128天;3月雨日每增加1天,终见期将会推后1.863天,间隔期延长1.482天;1月平均风速每增加1m/s,终见期将会推后8.929天。说明气候变化对黑颈鹤物候期有积极的影响,比较敏感?可为气候变化的提供一定的指示作用。