对流层中层中尺度对流涡旋在台风榴莲(2001)生成中的作用——模拟诊断分析

本文基于PSU/NCAR MM5中尺度模式对台风榴莲 (2001) 生成过程成功的数值模拟, 利用模式输出的较高时空分辨率资料, 对台风榴莲生成过程中对流层中层中尺度对流涡旋 (MCV) 的作用进行了诊断分析。结果表明, 中层MCV在台风榴莲生成中的作用有三个重要方面: 第一, 中尺度组织化作用: 伴随中层MCV的垂直次级环流圈, 使得区域内的积云对流热塔趋向于逐步在中心区域集中, 热塔相互之间容易发生相互作用, 通过合并过程有些热塔得到加强, 而有些趋于消亡。同时, 热塔聚集后的群体效应反馈作用又使得中层MCV加强或维持, 进一步促进热塔的合并以及向轴对称化发展; 第二, 存贮效应: 因为中层MCV的生命史比积云对流热塔长, 能够将消亡对流热塔所携带的热量、 水汽、 涡度加以存贮和保留, 使得中层MCV区域向有利于TC生成的方向发展, 最终成为TC环流的 “胚胎”; 第三, 中层MCV与对流层低层的槽 (涡旋) 以及对流热塔之间通过相互作用, 共同实现中低层系统的垂直耦合。     

夏季青藏高原对流层温度与西北太平洋副热带地区降水的关系

利用1979—2016年CMAP(CPC Merged Analysis of Precipitation)和GPCP(Global Precipitation Climatology Project)的降水数据以及ERA-Interim再分析资料,通过统计方法研究了夏季青藏高原地区对流层中上层温度年际变率与同期西北太平洋副热带地区降水的关系及其相关的物理过程。结果表明,在年际变化尺度上,夏季高原对流层温度与同期西北太平洋副热带地区降水存在显著的正相关,即当高原对流层温度偏高时,西北太平洋副热带区域的降水偏多,反之亦然。分析研究指出,当夏季高原对流层温度偏高时,高原上空南亚高压显著增强并且向东扩展至日本地区,高原北部对流层出现异常的上升运动,这一异常上升气流随着高度增加逐渐北偏,并在中高纬度地区沿着异常西风气流向东扩展至日本地区,随后向南下沉至日本南部;受该异常下沉运动影响,日本南部对流层低层出现异常反气旋,其东侧的异常北风与西北太平洋低层的异常气旋、反气旋环流存在紧密联系。西北太平洋地区这种异常环流特征为西北太平洋副热带区域的降水提供了有利的动力和水汽条件,从而使该区域降水增多。     

Possible role of warming on Indian summer monsoon precipitation over the north-central Indian subcontinent

ABSTRACT

Broad disagreement between modelled and observed trends of Indian summer monsoon (ISM) over the north-central part of the Indian subcontinent (NCI) implies a gap in understanding of the relationship between the forcing factors and monsoonal precipitation. Although the strength of the land–sea thermal gradient (LSG) is believed to dictate monsoon intensity, its state and fate under continuous warming over the Bay of Bengal (BoB) and part of the NCI (23–28°N, 80–95°E) are less explored. Precipitation (1901–2017) and temperature data (1948–2017) at different vertical heights are used to understand the impact of warming in the ISM. In NCI, surface air temperature increased by 0.1–0.2°C decade^?1, comparable to the global warming rate. The ISM precipitation prominently weakened and seasonality reduced after 1950, which is caused by a decrease in the LSG at the depth of the troposphere. Warming-induced increase in local convection over the BoB further reduced ISM precipitation over NCI.     

Laboratory Studies of the Hydrogen Kinetic Isotope Effects (KIES) of the Reaction of Non-Methane Hydrocarbons with the OH Radical in the Gas Phase

The hydrogen kinetic isotope effects (KIEs) of the reactions of 15 non-methane hydrocarbons (NMHCs) with the OH radical were measured at 298 ± 2 K. The measurements were made using NMHCs without artificial isotopic labeling or enrichment. The following average hydrogen KIE values, in per mil (), were obtained: 29.8 ± 2.1 (toluene),51.6 ± 2.1 (n-butane), 97.3± 12.5 (i-butane), 63.2 ± 5.9 (cyclopentane), 10.5 (p-xylene), 26.8 ± 3.5 (ethylbenzene), 65.9± 7.0 (n-pentane), 79.5 ± 9.6 (cyclohexane), 52.8 ± 5.0(n-hexane), 38.9 ± 7.8 (n-heptane), 33.4 ± 3.1 (n-octane), 29.6 ± 1.6(n-nonane), and 29.0 ± 5.3 (n-decane). The KIEs for reactions of two alkenes (cyclohexene and 1-heptene) could not be determined accurately due to interference from reaction with ozone, but nevertheless the results clearly show that the KIEs for reaction of alkenes with OH are significantly lower than those for saturated hydrocarbons. The KIEs for reaction of alkanes are smaller than isotope effects reported in literature for the reactions of NMHCs artificially labeled with deuterium. The main reason for this difference is the reduced probability for reaction at a labeled site for compounds with close to natural deuterium abundance, although some impact of secondary isotope effects cannot be ruled out. Still, the KIEs for NMHCs with natural or close to natural abundance of deuterium are of sufficient magnitude to allow determination of the extent of chemical processing of hydrocarbons in the atmosphere using methods analogous to stable carbon KIE studies. Furthermore, it is shown that combining stable hydrogen and stable carbon isotope ratio data has the potential to also provide valuable information regarding the stable isotope ratios of emissions, and specifically to test one of the key assumptions of the stable isotope hydrocarbon clock, the absence of significant variations of the stable isotope ratio for the emitted NMHCs.     

Establishment and data processing of high-precision city subsidence monitoring network by GPS surveying instead of leveling

The feasibility of monitoring the change of city settlement using GPS surveying instead of leveling is studied. A fiducial network and a monitoring network are established in Ningbo city. Two periods of GPS observation are completed. Some measures are taken during the observation in order to ensure to obtain the high-precise height component. The Saastamoinen model is adopted in the data processing of the dry component part of the tropospheric delay. The wet component change of the tropospheric delay is estimated by stochastic processes model. When Bernese software is used to process the data, the millimeter level precision of height measuring is achieved.     

Seasonal and Interannual Variations of Upper Tropospheric Water Vapor Band Brightness Temperature over the Global Monsoon Regions

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In-situ Measurements of Tropospheric Hydroxyl Radicals by Folded Long-Path Laser Absorption During the Field Campaign POPCORN

Absolutely calibrated in-situ measurements of tropospheric hydroxyl radicals, formaldehyde, sulfur dioxide, and naphthalene (C10H8) were performed by long-path laser absorption spectroscopy during the field campaign POPCORN. The absorption light path was folded into an open optical multiple reflection cell with a mirror separation of 38.5 m. Using a light path length of 1848 m and an integration time of 200 s, the average 1-detection limits of OH, HCHO, SO2 and C10H8 during POPCORN were 8.7 · 105 cm–3, 8.3 · 109 cm–3, 2.4 · 109 cm–3, 1.5 · 108 cm–3, respectively. In total, 392 identifications of OH in air spectra were made in a rural environment between August 5 and August 23, 1994. We present and discuss OH absorption spectra and diurnal OH concentration profiles of three days which are representative for measurements under different pollution conditions during POPCORN. The observed maximum and median OH radical concentrations are 1.3 · 107 OH/cm3 and 4.0 · 106 OH/cm3, respectively. The measured diurnal variation of the OH concentration shows a good correlation with the primary formation reaction of OH radicals which is the photolysis of ambient ozone. Deviations from this correlation in the morning and evening hours, when the OH concentration is higher than expected from the ozone photolysis, demonstrate the importance of other photochemical HOx production pathways during POPCORN.     

Changing trends in tropospheric methane and carbon monoxide: A sensitivity analysis of the OH-radical

A sensitivity analysis is performed in order to study recently observed changes in atmospheric methane and carbon monoxide trends. For the analysis we have adapted a one-dimensional transport/chemistry model in order to comply with changes in vertical transport, stratosphere-troposphere flux of ozone, the water vapour cycle and the short-wave radiative transfer. In addition we have formulated an improved relationship which expresses the steady state OH concentration in terms of longer lived compounds which has a fair agreement with the one-dimensional model results. An analysis of the observed changes and trends in methane and carbon monoxide shows that both emissions and changes in global OH concentrations can be main causes for the observed changes. Average methane emissions have slowed down, particularly in the NH, in the last five years, though perhaps not very significantly. Carbon monoxide emissions are decreasing faster in the last couple of years than in the period 1983–1990. The study suggests that climate fluctuations (tropospheric water vapour, temperature and convective activity) and the stratospheric ozone depletion (tropospheric UV radiation) have a significant influence on tropospheric composition and thus on trends in methane and carbon monoxide concentrations.The IMAU is partner in the Netherlands Centre for Climate Research (CCR).     

Ozone in the Marine Boundary Layer at Cape Grim: Model Simulation

A photochemical box model has been used to simulate the mixing ratio ofozone under conditions reflecting those encountered in the marine boundarylayer at Cape Grim, Tasmania, where a decade-long record of ozone mixingratio is available. The model is based on the proposition that ozone loss byphotolysis, atmospheric reaction with hydroperoxy and hydroxyl radicals, andsurface deposition is balanced by ozone gain via entrainment from the lowerfree troposphere with a small additional source in summer from photolysis ofnitrogen dioxide. This model simulates very well the observed ozone records,reproducing both the small diurnal cycle in ozone mixing ratio observedduring the summer months, and the factor of two seasonal ozone cycle showinga distinct winter maximum and summer minimum. The model result confirms thatunder the low-NO_x conditions of the clean marine boundarylayer net photochemical loss of ozone occurs at all times of year.