GPS工程控制网最优化设计的研究

本文讨论了GPS工程控制网的最优化设计问题;通过对GPS工程控制网的精度和可靠性分析,建立了应用点位精度矩阵相关性优化GPS网的数学模型;针对解算中存在的问题,提出了最短路径法寻找整数变量线性规划问题的最优解。     

浅源强震的判据和发震概率

根据确定潜在震源区的多判据原理,强震的发生不仅要满足准静态强度条件,而且必须具备突发释放足够能量的条件,而所有这些条件可以通过突发应力降判据、总能量判据和强度判据加以表达。本文建立了它们相应的概率表达式和估计发震总概率的方法,并针对我国28例地震进行了验算     

Reliability level III method in design of square pillar resting on weak floor stratum

Summary Current methods of design of pillars resting on weak floor strata involve only a deterministic, conventional safety factor calculation, based on material parameters treated as the mean values taken from observations. In a case where high parameters variability occurs, these methods may lead to fatal design errors resulting in excessive pillar settlement and roof falls. Therefore, to include the influence of parameters quality, the new approach based on reliability level III method was developed. Consideration was given to the identification of the system parameters importance, and to density function for the safety factor treated as a random variable. Design procedure involving floor probability of failure was illustrated by numerical examples.     

ESR assessment of kerogen maturation and its relation with petroleum genesis

Petroleum hydrocarbons are formed by breakdown of kerogen preserved in source rocks throughout the process of catagenesis. This process is accompanied by free radical generation in kerogen. The availability of measuring free radicals in kerogen using ESR to deduce a maturation estimation of potential source rocks has been hindered due to the presence of the solvent-extractable organic molecules (SEOM) trapped within the kerogen matrix. Spin concentration (Ns) of the kerogen treated with pyridine (K_Py) represents the paramagnetic centers of the kerogen matrix itself and provides a potential parameter to evaluate kerogen maturation.     

Seismic recognition of local inhomogeneities

A simple method to contour local inhomogeneities using seismic data is proposed. It formalizes an approximate inversion method which is based on the interpretation of local inhomogeneities as making the differences between an actual seismic data set and a previous reference model. It uses the optimal statistical criteria of parameter estimation and recognition and the ray representation of the waves spreading. Any combination of direct, reflected and/or other types of waves may be used as the database. Inhomogeneities, having a size two times above the wavelength of the seismic waves, can be resolved. Laboratory experiments, using ultrasonic waves and analysis of data from field experiments, confirmed the theoretical results. The method can be used to search for ore bodies, kimberlite cubes, oiltraps, etc.     

黑硼锡镁矿孪晶的电子衍射分析

黑硼锡镁矿是1985年在我国发现的一种新矿物,微孪晶特别发育,其电子衍射斑点往往具规律的分裂现像。用选区电子衍射获得[010]、[141]和[121]定向带轴电子衍射斑点分裂图,经矩阵分析,确定两套斑点分裂是由其呈挛晶结构关系所致,孪晶面为(101),属于面律孪晶,这种孪晶的微形貌由明场像(BF)得到证实。根据不同取向的电子衍射图,确定该矿物属单斜晶系,a_0=10.7,b_0=3.01,c_0=5.39,β=94.5°。上述挛晶结构特征及其晶体学数据与X射线单晶研究结果有很好的可比性。     

Entropy estimation of hydrological extremes

The method of Relative Entropy with Fractile constraints (REF method) is explained and applied to model extreme compound hydrological phenomena, such as extreme sea levels under storm conditions. Also presented is a simple method of Tail Entropy Approximation (TEA), which amounts to a correction of traditional statistical estimates for extreme observations.Distribution assumptions are necessary but downplayed in the REF method, relegating the prior distribution to the role of an extrapolation function. The estimates are objective in an information-theoretical sense. They also satisfy a strict requirement of self-consistency that is generally not satisfied by standard statistical methods: invariance under monotonic transformations of the random variable.Historical records of storm surge levels in the Netherlands and annual maximum tidal heights for Sheerness, UK, are used as examples. Comparison is made with distributions obtained using other methods.It is concluded that the tail entropy approximation provides simple, objective estimates of extremes in the tail beyond the range of observations.     

THE RESPONSE OF SUMMER DRYNESS/WETNESS PROBABILITY IN NORTH CHINA TO GLOBAL WARMING

Using the data of summer(June—August)precipitation during the period of 1951—1990 in 14 stations over NorthChina,the wetness probability(WP)series based on gamma distribution has been built.Main temporal and spatial char-acteristics for the series of WP in the stations are extracted by using empirical orthogonal functions(EOFs).The spatialpatterns show that the dryness/wetness variations in the stations in the area are consistent with each other and its maincharacteristics can be represented by the WP series in Beijing.Having analysed the WP series of 120 years(1870—1989)in Beijing,the results show that the dry tendency has a re-sponse to the global warming.The variation of the dryness/wetness in the stations is associated with the temperaturevariation in the Northern Hemisphere.Their relation is negative.The degree of the reliance is associated with the centuryvariation of the temperature.     

则木河与小江断裂交汇区地震危险性的概率预测

本文针对则木河与小江断裂交汇区的强震趋势问题，给出了地震危险性的分析方法，结果及问题讨论。