由GOCE高低卫卫跟踪数据反演地球重力场的模拟研究

根据调和分析法、最小二乘法,建立利用扰动位数据解算地球重力场的实用数学模型。结果表明,采用不同数据量和不同采样率的观测数据对重力场模型解算结果有一定影响,不同分辨率的观测数据恢复重力场模型的精度差异较大,调和分析法精度优于最小二乘法。     

滁州火山岩地球化学及其对郯庐断裂带内岩石圈减薄的指示

位于郯庐断裂带张八岭隆起北段上的滁州早白垩世火山岩,属于准铝质、硅过饱和岩石,为一套中酸性的高钾钙碱性系列火山岩,部分样品（129~125Ma）具有类似于埃达克岩的地球化学特征。该套火山岩富集大离子亲石元素和轻稀土元素、亏损重稀土元素及高场强元素,并具有类似于EMⅠ型的Sr-Nd-Pb同位素组成。地球化学特征显示该火山岩的岩浆源区属于华北克拉通,早期火山岩（约132Ma）是富集地幔来源岩浆和古老的华北下地壳源区混合的结果;中期和晚期火山岩（129~117Ma）是幔源底侵组分和古老的华北下地壳来源岩浆不同比例混合的产物。由早到晚,滁州火山岩中古老壳源物质比例逐渐增加,源区逐渐变浅,指示软流圈顶面不断抬升、岩石圈内等温面逐渐升高的过程。研究表明,热异常背景下强烈的壳-幔相互作用是该处断裂带内岩浆形成的主要方式,其具体过程是在岩石圈底部持续减薄、软流圈上涌背景下,幔源岩浆底侵而诱发了古老下地壳的部分熔融,从而形成了壳-幔过渡带内混源的岩浆。郯庐断裂带内较浅的岩浆源区、较高的源区熔融程度、强烈而持久的伸展及岩浆活动、强烈的壳-幔相互作用以及现今较薄的岩石圈厚度,都指示郯庐断裂带是华北克拉通东部岩石圈减薄中的强减薄带,在华北克拉通破坏中起着重要的作用。     

小震密集带与地质活动断裂的关系研究

采用双差地震定位方法对1830年磁县7(1/2)级地震X区及其附近地区小震进行重新定位,划分出小震密集带,根据小震空间分布特征,研究X区范围内断裂构造与小震密集带之间的关系。结果表明,小震主要集中在NE向断裂与磁县—大名断裂交汇处以及断层切割区。     

The marine and coastal access act—A hornets' nest?

The Marine and Coastal Access Act 2009 is now enacted into law. This paper looks at predictions made about new law by one of the authors, Peter Jones, in his paper The Marine Bill: Cornucopia or Pandora's Box [1] and assesses how successful the Act has been in turning aspirations into law. The paper focuses on the following areas: ecosystem protection, stakeholder engagement, marine spatial planning and the provision of a network of highly protected marine reserves, and raises concerns that the ecosystem approach has progressively been dropped in the drafting process of the legislation. Concerns are raised that the new Inshore Fisheries and Conservation Authorities have similar inherent conflicts of interest to those exhibited by Sea Fisheries Committees, which they sought to replace. The effectiveness of marine planning is questioned, as there appear to be inbuilt loopholes for public authorities to avoid complying with the marine plans. The draft marine policy statement (MPS), published in July 2010, includes appropriate environmental safeguards, but the MPS has not yet been formally adopted. The absence of a concrete target for highly protected marine reserves means there is a danger that designations under the Act may have little effect on the ground. In conclusion the Act provides some new mechanisms for marine protection, but arguably does not yet provide a framework for implementing the ecosystem approach and is not an end in itself.     

Studies of TLP dynamic response under wind, waves and current

Investigated is the coupled response of a tension leg platform (TLP) for random waves. Inferred are the mass matrix, coupling stiffness matrix, damping matrix in the vibration differential equation and external load of TLP in moving coordinating system. Infinitesimal method is applied to divide columns and pontoons into small parts. Time domain motion equation is solved by Runge-Kutta integration scheme. Jonswap spectrum is simulated in the random wave, current is simulated by linear interpolation, and NPD spectrum is applied as wind spectrum. The Monte Carlo method is used to simulate random waves and fluctuated wind. Coupling dynamic response, change of tendon tension and riser tension in different sea conditions are analyzed by power spectral density (PSD). The influence of approach angle on dynamic response of TLP and tendon tension is compared.     

淤泥质、粉沙质及沙质海岸航道回淤统一计算方法

根据20世纪80年代初提出的淤泥质海岸航道回淤计算方法的基础上,开展了拓展研究,使之统一适用于淤泥质海岸、粉沙质海岸及沙质海岸。主要研究内容有,在波浪和潮流综合作用下挟沙力含沙量研究中引入了特定的泥沙因子F1/F,从而挟沙力含沙量公式不仅适用于淤泥质泥沙,也适用于非淤泥质泥沙;在动力因素方面,除了一般寻常潮和波浪动力外,进一步考虑了风暴潮和破波的巨大掀沙能力造成航道骤淤的可能性。并结合连云港30万吨级主航道扩建及徐圩港区10万吨级航道的回淤问题(包括骤淤可能性问题),京唐港外航道和黄骅港外航道的骤淤问题,进行预测计算及校验计算,结果都是良好的。此外,对杭州湾强潮和涌潮情况下的挟沙力含沙量也进行了校验计算,结果也非常满意。     

海洋浮游植物三维荧光光谱的逐层分类方法研究

提出活体海洋浮游植物三维荧光光谱逐层分类法,将浮游植物区分为不同的"光谱类别"。选取中国近海常见的26种分属于甲藻、硅藻、黄藻、金藻、隐藻、绿藻、蓝藻的浮游植物,在室温20℃和3个光照条件下培养,在第3,6,9,12,15天测其三维荧光光谱。采用主成份分析结合非负最小二乘回归法(NNLSR),以浮游植物叶绿素a的发射峰680nm所对应的激发光谱作为第一特征谱以区分门类,以EX730谱作为硅藻的逐层分类的第二特征谱,SY350谱作为甲藻的第二特征谱,将实验所用9种硅藻和8种甲藻各划分为3个光谱类别;分析405个浮游植物混合物,门类识别正确率大于94%,光谱类别的识别正确率为75%,该方法可用于海洋浮游植物种群结构变化的快速宏观监测。     

线性Radon变换噪音压制法及其在古龙断陷中的应用

针对松辽盆地北部古龙断陷地震资料信噪比低、线性干扰强特点,提出应用线性Radon变换进行叠前线性噪音压制的预处理方法,Radon变换可在炮集和CMP道集上进行运算,算法简单,易于编程实现,其积分路径的特点适合线性噪音压制.模拟数据和实际地震资料应用结果表明,线性Radon变换法能够实现保幅的线性噪音压制,是叠前提高地震资料信噪比的实用方法,在地震资料预处理中具有应用前景.     

国外综合贫困研究及对我国贫困地理研究的启示

20世纪60年代以来国外新城市贫困研究的内容和方法逐步多元化,综合贫困指标体系和以地域为基础的研究方法促进了贫困地理研究。本文首先辨析贫困和综合贫困的概念,综合贫困研究的指标体系和研究方法;再评述国外综合贫困研究的主要内容;最后在分析我国城市贫困研究不足的基础上,提出在指标体系、研究内容、研究方法和空间层次等几个方面拓展转型时期我国城市贫困地理的研究视角。     

A STATISTICAL PREDICTION MODEL FOR SPRING RAINFALL OVER NORTHERN CHINA BASED ON THE INTERANNUAL INCREMENT APPROACH

The spring (March-April-May) rainfall over northern China (SPRNC) is predicted by using the interannual increment approach. DY denotes the difference between the current year and previous years. The seasonal forecast model for the DY of SPRNC is constructed based on the data that are taken from the 1965-2002 period (38 years), in which six predictors are available no later than the current month of February. This is favorable so that the seasonal forecasts can be made one month ahead. Then, SPRNC and the percentage anomaly of SPRNC are obtained by the predicted DY of SPRNC. The model performs well in the prediction of the inter-annual variation of the DY of SPRNC during 1965-2002, with a correlation coefficient between the predicted and observed DY of SPRNC of 0.87. This accounts for 76% of the total variance, with a low value for the average root mean square error (RMSE) of 20%. Both the results of the hindcast for the period of 2003-2010 (eight years) and the cross-validation test for the period of 1965-2009 (45 years) illustrate the good prediction capability of the model, with a small mean relative error of 10%, an RMSE of 17% and a high rate of coherence of 87.5% for the hindcasts of the percentage anomaly of SPRNC.