珠江口近30a的SST变化特征分析

根据珠江口多个定点站近30a表层海水温度（SST）实测资料和气象站观测的气温资料，使用功率谱和小波分析方法，计算分析珠江口SST变化特点、上升趋势及其与El Nino／La Nino的响应关系．结果表明各月SST存在着1-2℃的海域差异，SST的年较差达10～11℃，SST的季节变化与全球气候变暖呈显著相关．1971-2003年SST呈显著上升趋势，其线性上升率为0．019～0．034℃／a，且珠江口外高于口内．El Nino／La Nino事件对珠江口SST变化的影响并非单一的对应关系．     

从阶地砾石的统计特征看保德至克虎段河流演化

通过对保德至克虎段不同地点砾石的岩性、粒径和产状的野外统计与测量,并对不同地点和不同阶地上砾石的岩性、粒径和产状进行对比,发现同一地区不同阶地砾石岩性具有很好的相似性,不同地区同一阶地砾石中灰岩砾石成分从上游向下游由主导成分变为次要成分,灰岩砾石粒径也从大变小,反映该区砾石为南北向古黄河冲积物。由于较老的一套砾石层为晚第三系红粘土所覆盖,说明黄河至少在晚第三纪已经在该区已形成。     

中,美,日地震学文献近期引文特征分析比较

本文利用引文分析方法，对代表中、美、日地震学研究水平的《地震学报》、《美国地震学会通报》和《地震》三个核心期刊１９８８－１９９０年期间的４１０篇论文所附的７０９５篇引文的引文量、引用学科、引文来源和语种、自引、互引及引文年代进行了统计分析；此外，还探讨了中外地震学文献交流的现状和影响因素，以期对掌握地震学文献交流的规律和特征、文献的利用和管理及促进中外地震学文献的交流提供有益的启示和参考。     

立交构造与渭河盆地地震活动

分析了鄂尔多斯地块南部和渭河盆地构造的空间分布特征，认为鄂尔多斯地块南部存在3条NW向隆起带，渭河盆地内部存在3个近EW向斜列的次级沉降中心，这些隆起带与次级沉降中心及其间的横向隆起共同组成了立交构造，分析了渭河盆地内部及其周边地区历史地震和现代地震的空间分布，发现立交构造对盆地内地震活动有着较强的控制作用。     

基于动力统计模型重构的副热带高压中长期预报

基于T106数值预报产品500 hPa位势高度场序列,用EOF方法对位势场序列进行时、空分解,在考虑相邻时段位势场空间模态基本稳定的前提下,引入动力系统重构的思想,以EOF分解的空间模态时间系数序列作为动力统计模型变量,用遗传算法全局搜索和并行计算优势,进行了模型参数的优化反演,建立了EOF分解的时间系数的非线性预报模型。通过模型积分和EOF的时、空重构,实现了副热带高压活动场的中长期预报。试验结果表明,在短期预报(1—5 d)该模型与T106模式的预报效果大致相当;但对于中长期预报(≥5 d),其预报效果优于T106预报产品;特别是10 d以上的预报结果对副热带高压的形态和范围仍然能较为准确地描述。该研究方法对副热带高压等复杂天气系统和要素场预报提供了一种新的思路。     

HY-2A卫星雷达高度计数据的全球统计评价及质量分析

自HY-2A卫星发射以来,针对HY-2A卫星雷达高度计产品的交叉定标、真实性检验及质量评估工作一直在持续开展。本文主要以HY-2A卫星高度计第44周期的IGDR产品数据为例,通过使用全球分布图、二维直方图和每日均值统计的方法完成了与Jason-2IGDR产品的比对验证,同时对主要环境校正参数及地球物理产品的数据质量稳定性进行了分析,结果显示高度计产品数据质量较稳定,此外利用HY-2A卫星升降轨交叉点海面高度差、与Jason-2卫星交叉点海面高度差以及沿轨海平面异常数据分析的方法进行了HY-2A卫星高度计观测系统的性能评估,结果显示,HY-2A卫星海面高度精度约为7.48cm,精度接近Jason-2,能满足海洋应用与科学研究的需要。     

数字地形测图之野外设站检查方法

根据《数字测绘产品检查验收规定和质量评定》(GB/T 18316—20010),探索利用数字地形测图成果的野外检查数据与提取地形图数据进行自动计算、分析比较、统计制表的精度检查方法。     

Variable stars in the Bochum Galactic Disk Survey

We present a first overview of variable stars in the Bochum Galactic Disk Survey (GDS) with emphasis on eclipsing binaries (EBs). This ongoing survey is performed by a robotic twin refractor at the Universitätssternwarte Bochum located near Cerro Armazones in Chile. It comprises a mosaic of 268 fields in a stripe of Δb = ±3° along the Galactic plane observed once per month simultaneously in the Sloan r and i filters with a detection limit of r_s ∼ 16 mag and i_s ∼ 15 mag. The data from the first three years until the end of February 2014 yields a total of 41718 variable stars with variability amplitudes between 0.1–6 mag. A cross‐match with SIMBAD identified 11 465 of these variables unambiguously, while 2184 had multiple matches; most of the remaining stars could be matched with 2MASS objects. Among the SIMBAD‐listed objects with single matches, only 1982 turned out as known variables while a further 256 are suspected of variability. That leaves a total of 39480 potentially new variables. The group of known variables comprises 419 stars (21 %) that are classified as EBs while 443 (22%) are of other types; for the remaining 1120 catalogued variables (57 %) the type is unknown. Investigating variability as a function of spectral type, we find that SIMBAD provides spectral types for 2811 (25 %) of the identified stars. Spectral classes B (26 %), A (20 %), and M (25%) contain the most numerous variables, while all other classes contribute less than 10% each. More than half of the B (55 %) and A (56%) stars are designated as EBs, suggesting that hundreds of new B‐ and A‐type EBs may be contained in the GDS archive. In contrast, among the numerous M stars no EBs are known. (© 2015 WILEY‐VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)     

A simple gravity wave drag parametrization for use in medium‐range weather forecast models

Abstract

A simple gravity wave drag parametriiation over mountainous terrain is tested for its ability to reduce the systematic errors of medium‐range weather forecasts. Following Boer et al. (1984), this parametrization is a function of the low‐level wind speed and stability, the local Froude number, and the variance of the subgrid‐scale orographie features.

A comparison study of ten 7‐day forecasts obtained with envelope orography, wave drag or standard orography, shows that wave drag is as effective as envelope orography in reducing the systematic errors. A further comparison where the combined effects of the wave drag and that of a complementary enhanced orography (that is one that includes only the subgrid‐scale elements not treated separately by wave drag) are taken into account shows this latter approach to be the most promising in reducing orographically‐related systematic errors.     

活动星系核统一模式的统计检验

本文对视超光速源样本的有关数据进行统计分析，检验活动星系核统一模式。给出各类视超光速源的Ｒ（核光度与扩展区光度之比）分布和喷流与视线的平均夹角　。分析源样本的Ｒ、洛伦兹因子ｒ、喷流的投影尺度ｄ和线性尺度ｌ间的关系，发现Ｒ和ｄ之间存在反相关、ｒ和ｌ之间存在相关的特性，这些结果有利于说明活动星系核统一模式的取向效应。