基于粮食安全的区域耕地压力研究——以辽宁省为例

运用"最小人均耕地面积"及"耕地压力指数"的概念和计算模型对辽宁省1997—2007年间耕地资源动态变化进行了定量分析,应用灰色系统GM(1.1)预测模型对未来15年耕地压力变化进行了预测,据此提出了耕地利用和保护对策。研究结果表明:辽宁省工业大发展以来,特别是老工业基地的振兴和城市化进程的加快,虽然占用了一些耕地,但耕地压力指数不仅没有加剧,反而呈现下降趋势,主要原因是耕地生产力在不断提高。科技进步以及生态建设的完善是未来减轻耕地压力、保障耕地、人口和粮食可持续发展的重要途径。     

Fortress Australia? (In)security and private governance in a gated residential estate

Part of a broader trend towards all-inclusive master planned developments, gated residential estates are an intensely private form of residential development with a degree of securitisation. Gated residential estates have been the topic of intense debate in urban planning and policy circles and the target of fierce criticism for potential exclusionary outcomes as fearful residents lock themselves away from the ills of wider urban society. Crime, a fear of crime and the need for security dominate discussions and understandings of gated residential developments in Australia without much empirical validation. This paper poses two key research questions: does fear of crime and need for increased security drive residents towards gated estates; and what are the lived experiences of security, gates and crime once residing within a gated estate? Based on in-depth research in Macquarie Links (one of Sydney's largest gated estates) this paper offers insights into the lived dimensions of gated estates. The paper explores the attractions and realities of security services and infrastructure, private control over the residential environment and the importance placed by the residents on the ability to protect the nature of their neighbourhood and to protect themselves from any ‘unwanted’ activities or groups. The discussion in this paper demonstrates that for the residents in the study, residing in a secure residential neighbourhood is less about the role and place of physical security and security services, and more to do with protection afforded by the private governance structure of the neighbourhood.     

蒙美关系及其对中国国家安全的影响——基于“地缘政治支轴国”的视角

布热津斯基的"地缘政治支轴国"概念,对分析当前美国在欧亚大陆上的地缘战略有着重要的启示作用。蒙古国作为一个位于中国与俄罗斯之间的大型内陆国家,其地理位置特殊,又因其与中国和俄罗斯的政治外交关系复杂而引人注目。近年来,蒙古国与美国关系发展不断,双方在政治军事层面的密切交往更是引人注意,蒙美两国军事交往的深入,将对中国国家安全带来不可预知的影响。对蒙美军事合作,尤其对蒙美在将来可能结成的军事同盟关系、蒙古加入北约等情况,中国应充分准备,积极应对。     

Zn上的k次不可约多项式与k阶Carmichael数

设n是合数,如果对一切f（x）∈Zn[x]都满足f（x）nk≡f（x）mod（n,r（x））,那么就称n是模r（x）的k阶Carmichael数,这里r（x）是Zn[x]上的k次首一不可约多项式,用Ck,r（x）表示所有这种数的集合,并且定义Ck=Ur（x）Ck,r（x）.k阶Carmichael数,当k=4时,已证明了n=pq,p,q是不同的奇素数,p2-1,q3-1均整除n4-1,则n∈C4.主要目的是将k=4时得出的结论推广到k≥4的一般情形,利用孙子定理,通过构造Zn上的首一k次不可约多项式f（x）的方法,得出：在k≥4时,设n=pq,如果k=2m,m≥2,pm-1,q2m-1-1均整除nk-1,则n∈Ck;如果k=2m＋1,m≥2,pm-1,pm＋1-1,q2m-1均整除nk-1,则n∈Ck.     

基于可变长数据分块的灾备数据恢复算法设计与实现

利用基于字节指纹极值特征的数据分块算法,设计并实现了一种灾备数据恢复方法.该方法对源数据和备份数据进行可变长数据分块,计算并比较对应数据块摘要值,确定源数据和备份数据的差异数据,采用差异数据拷贝的方法完成数据恢复.实现了对重复数据的有效检测,比完全数据拷贝节省32.79%-85.36%的网络带宽.     

Allocating agricultural production factors: A scenario-based modeling of wheat production in Shandong Province,China

We aim to determine the effects of agricultural factors input per hectare on wheat production, and to optimize the allocation of wheat production factors under three scenarios and in different operating modes. Data were collected from 204 farming households using a face-to-face questionnaire. The sampled farms were selected through a stratified random sampling technique. We find fertilizer cost, irrigation cost and machinery cost all positively and significantly affect the per-unit-area wheat production, indicating the labor cost is not the major driving factor on wheat yield increment. Multi-object optimization model is used to allocate the production factors per hectare. We find under the Business as usual (BAU) scenario, the irrigation cost per-hectare wheat production after optimization in 2014 grows at a rate of 24.31% and accounts for 14.9% of total input. Under the Cooperate Environmental Sustainability (CES) scenario, the fertilizer and pesticide costs after optimization drop significantly by 42.83% and 21.41%, respectively. Under the Rapid Benefit Growth (RBG) scenario, the irrigation cost after optimization increase by 2.56% and the fertilizer cost increases by 4.69% compared with the surveyed data. Comparison of optimized data among three operating modes shows that the labor costs at household farm and cooperative farm both increase significantly. Cooperative farms are more successful in production factor use efficiency and economic performance. In conclusion, wheat production at different operating modes could be improved so as to constitute more efficient and economic use of production factors.     

生物灭绝与人类存亡

近代由于气候的变暖,工业化进程的加快,人口的激增,森林的过度砍伐,草场的超载过牧,化学制品的滥用,环境的污染,生态环境遭到了严重破坏,生物物种灭绝速度较单纯自然状态下的速度要快1000倍。生物物种灭绝对人类生产、生活,甚至对人类生存都构成巨大的威胁。因此,应对气候变化,保护生物多样性,防止物种灭绝,已成为全球性的紧迫任务;中国是世界生物物种资源最丰富的国家之一。中国生物多样性形势总体严峻。中国政府高度重视生物多样性保护工作,先后颁布一系列法律法规,已收到巨大成效;保护生物多样性确保世界粮食安全,是全球人民的普遍愿望。生物灭绝关系人类存亡。人类要秉承天人合一的理念,与大自然和谐相处。     

Divergent Perspectives on Water Security: Bridging the Policy Debate

Environmental policy discussion is replete with references to water security, food security, ecosystem health, community resilience, sustainable development, and sustainable urbanism. These terms are, by their very nature, ambiguous and difficult to define; they allow room, however, for a variety of actors to conceptualize water, food, ecological, economic, and urban problems in ways that allow them to move forward on contentious issues. This article focuses on the idea of water security and asks how it is conceptualized and used for regional policy debate in western Canada. We asked fifty-eight water stakeholders from the Saskatchewan River Basin to define water security, identify major barriers to security, and prioritize water problems. Responses showed there are myriad ways to think about water security, ranging from narrow conceptualizations, such as reliability, quality, and quantity, to broader sustainability perspectives about the nature of resource development and its social and economic consequences. The human dimensions of water security (governance, land use, and competing demands) were assigned higher priority than its biophysical aspects (flooding, droughts, and climate change). Framing water security to emphasize the human capacity to manage uncertain and rapid biophysical and societal change offers the opportunity to unite actors who otherwise would be separated by core environmental values, definitions of water security, provincial context (Alberta vs. Saskatchewan), and occupation.     

Toward a Spatial Understanding of Staple Food and Nonstaple Food Production in Brazil

Brazilian agricultural census data at the municipal level are used to develop and map a simple index of staple food versus nonstaple food agriculture for Brazil over time (1996–2006). The results show spatial variation in the direction and degree of the shift toward or away from staple food cropping across Brazil. The index is presented as an important methodological step toward a systematic geographic understanding of crop share changes surrounding food versus fuel and other nonfood crop production.     

Perceptions of Food Safety by Urban Consumers in Nanjing,China

The past decade has seen what could reasonably be called an explosion in the number of food-related crises in China. Food safety issues represent a national crisis threatening the physical and psychological health of Chinese citizens, despite the repeated adoption of stringent food safety laws and regulations. This project, based on a stratified random sample of 337 households in Nanjing, assesses perceptions related to different food safety concerns and issues among urban residents and explores differences in perceptions across social strata as defined by socioeconomic and demographic variables using principal component analysis and standard statistical tests.