大数据时代的国家基础地质信息化建设

大数据是新一代信息技术的集中反映,是一个应用驱动性很强的服务领域,是具有无穷潜力的新兴产业领域.在大数据环境下的国家基础地质数据库的信息化建设应重视数据的信息服务价值,同时借鉴大数据思维,探索国家基础地质大数据挖掘与可视化技术,提升信息价值洞察力,实现数据价值的最大化。本文提出了基于元数据、数据库、数据仓库等技术的物理分布逻辑集中的国家基础地质数据库整合与集成技术方案.     

土地质量地球化学评估与农用地分等成果整合方法研究——以浙江嘉善县和慈溪市为例

土地质量地球化学等级与农用地分等是土地质量的重要组成部分,土地质量调查成果可为各级政府开展土地数量、质量管理和生态管护提供重要的科技支撑。本文在对土地质量、土地质量评价以及土地质量地球化学评估、农用地分等概念进行界定的基础上,以浙江省嘉善县和慈溪市为例,探讨了土地质量地球化学评估结果与农用地分等成果整合方法,对比研究叠加法和因素法的原理与方法、整合效果以及存在的优缺点。研究认为;因素法重新构建评价体系,较为系统全面,但现实中难以做到;而叠加法保持各自成果的独立性,虽不够系统,但操作简便易行,是现阶段两种成果整合在方法上的最佳选择。     

综合超前地质灾害预报方法在岚谷斜井隧道工程中的应用

在探讨6种隧道地质超前预报方法的基础上,综合应用TGP206、地质雷达和红外探水法,预报岚谷斜井隧道工程中的不良地质.结果表明,综合隧道地质预报方法,能提高预测的准确性和精度,能有效地减少事故,确保施工安全.     

XPZ-50型旋喷钻机的研制

介绍了XPZ－50型旋喷钻机的设计要求、主要技术参数、结构特点及生产模拟试验简况。     

Pseudo‐dynamic testing with substructuring at the ELSA Laboratory

The paper describes the distinctive features of the pseudo‐dynamic test method as implemented at the ELSA reaction‐wall facility. Both hardware and software aspects are considered. Particular attention is devoted to the digital control system and to a coupled numerical–experimental substructuring technique allowing realistic earthquake testing of very large structures. Mathematical and implementation details corresponding to this testing technique are given for both synchronous and asynchronous input motion. Selected test results illustrate the advantages of the presented features. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Iterative implicit integration procedure for hybrid simulation of large nonlinear structures

A fully implicit iterative integration procedure is presented for local and geographically distributed hybrid simulation of the seismic response of complex structural systems with distributed nonlinear behavior. The purpose of this procedure is to seamlessly incorporate experimental elements in simulations using existing fully implicit integration algorithms designed for pure numerical simulations. The difficulties of implementing implicit integrators in a hybrid simulation are addressed at the element level by introducing a safe iteration strategy and using an efficient procedure for online estimation of the experimental tangent stiffness matrix. In order to avoid physical application of iterative displacements, the required experimental restoring force at each iteration is estimated from polynomial curve fitting of recent experimental measurements. The experimental tangent stiffness matrix is estimated by using readily available experimental measurements and by a classical diagonalization approach that reduces the number of unknowns in the matrix. Numerical and hybrid simulations are used to demonstrate that the proposed procedure provides an efficient method for implementation of fully implicit numerical integration in hybrid simulations of complex nonlinear structures. The hybrid simulations presented include distributed nonlinear behavior in both the numerical and experimental substructures. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Reducing wind power curtailment in China: comparing the roles of coal power flexibility and improved dispatch

Renewable energy curtailment is a critical issue in China, impeding the country’s transition to clean energy and its ability to meet its climate goals. This paper analyzes the impacts of more flexible coal-fired power generation and improved power dispatch towards reducing wind power curtailment. A unit commitment model for power dispatch is used to conduct the analysis, with different scenarios demonstrating the relative impacts of more flexible coal-fired generation and improved power dispatch. Overall, while we find both options are effective in reducing wind power curtailment, we find that improved power dispatch is more effective: (1) the effect of ramping down coal-fired generators to reduce wind power curtailment lessens as the minimum output of coal-fired generation is decreased; and (2) as a result, at higher wind capacity levels, wind curtailment is much more significantly reduced with improved power dispatch than with decreased minimum output of coal-fired generation.

Key policy insights

• China should emphasize both coal power flexibility and dispatch in its policies to minimize renewable power curtailment and promote clean energy transition.

• China should accelerate the process of implementing spot market and marginal cost-based economic dispatch, while making incremental improvements to the existing equal share dispatch in places not ready for spot market.

• A key step in improving of dispatch is incorporating renewable power forecasts into the unit commitment process and updating the daily unit commitment based on the latest forecast result.

• China should expand the coal power flexibility retrofit programme and promote the further development of the ancillary service market to encourage more flexibility from coal-fired generation.

     

四川地区多模式2m温度预报性能分析及集成方法研究

本文通过分析2017年9~12月四川地区ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting)细网格模式、GRAPES_GFS (Global and Regional Assimilation and Prediction System)全球模式和西南区域模式(South West Center-WRFADAS Real-time Modeling System,SWCWARMS)2m温度168h预报时效内的系统性偏差特征,采用滑动双权重平均法分别对三种模式温度预报产品进行偏差订正,并集成得到各时效2m温度的订正场,结果表明:(1)三种模式的预报存在明显的日变化,整体上EC模式的预报最优。(2)三种模式对于低温和高温的预报,在全省均大致呈现负的系统性误差,特别在高原及过渡区表现的尤为明显。(3)订正后三种模式的预报准确率显著提高,均方根误差减小1.4~2.5℃,大部分地区平均误差维持在± 0.5℃之间,在系统性偏差较大的地区,订正效果更好。(4)两种集成方案预报结果接近,且均优于三种模式的订正预报。     

CMA-GFS云预报的偏差分布特征

利用2021年3月—2022年2月ERA5再分析数据云量、云水凝物对中国气象局研发的全球数值预报系统CMA-GFS同期云量产品和由云量、云水凝物产品计算的云发生、云水凝物积分的偏差特征进行诊断评估, 初步探讨了CMA-GFS云预报偏差存在的可能原因。结果显示:CMA-GFS云量、云水凝物的分布较为合理, CMA-GFS能够描绘全球云量、云水凝物的分布特征, 并能够反映季节特征;CMA-GFS预报高云和中云的云量偏差大于低云的云量偏差, 而高云和中云的云量均方根误差较低云偏小, 说明模式高云和中云的预报稳定性优于低云;与ERA5再分析数据相比, CMA-GFS液相水凝物积分以负偏差为主, 冰相水凝物积分以正偏差为主;云量、云水凝物的偏差在不同地区成因不同, 在热带地区的偏差与对流参数化和微物理方案不协调有关, 在南北半球中高纬度地区的偏差与相对湿度偏差相关。     

参数化的多次散射雷达方程和它的反演理论 Ⅱ:反演理论

本文根据参数化的多次散射雷达方程,分析了激光多次散射对激光回波信号和一次散射雷达方程反演结果的效应,提出了迭代前向积分法和迭代后向积分法以求解参数化的多次散射雷达方程,并根据多次散射信号对云和气溶胶的前向散射相函数的高度敏感性提出了一个从双接收视场的多次散射激光回波信号,同时确定云和气溶胶消光系数分布和前向散射相函数的方法.此外,本文还根据数值试验分析了这些反演方法在地基激光雷达和空间站激光雷达两种情形下的适用性.