Flood susceptibility mapping using frequency ratio and weights-of-evidence models in the Golastan Province,Iran

Flood is one of the most devastating natural disasters with socio-economic and environmental consequences. Thus, comprehensive flood management is essential to reduce the flood effects on human lives and livelihoods. The main goal of this study was to investigate the application of the frequency ratio (FR) and weights-of-evidence (WofE) models for flood susceptibility mapping in the Golestan Province, Iran. At first, a flood inventory map was prepared using Iranian Water Resources Department and extensive field surveys. In total, 144 flood locations were identified in the study area. Of these, 101 (70%) floods were randomly selected as training data and the remaining 43 (30%) cases were used for the validation purposes. In the next step, flood conditioning factors such as lithology, land-use, distance from rivers, soil texture, slope angle, slope aspect, plan curvature, topographic wetness index (TWI) and altitude were prepared from the spatial database. Subsequently, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were drawn for produced flood susceptibility maps and the area under the curves (AUCs) was computed. The final results indicated that the FR (AUC = 76.47%) and WofE (AUC = 74.74%) models have almost similar and reasonable results. Therefore, these flood susceptibility maps can be useful for researchers and planner in flood mitigation strategies.     

基于Matlab小波去噪的研究方法

阐述了硬阀值法、软阀值法和半软阀值法去噪的原理及其算法的实现,针对传统小波去噪后,图像的部分细节丢失、边缘模糊等问题,提出一种改进半软阀值的计算方法。实验结果表明,改进的方法具有更好的去噪效果。     

MODES系统对贵州月气温、降水预测初步评估

通过对2013年1月—2015年6月(MODES)发布的最优月预测产品在贵州省月平均气温距平和降水距平百分率的预测检验评估,发现MODES对全省平均气温有较好的预报,分析时段内预测与实况的相关系数为0.24,距平同号率为65.5%,且对气温偏高预测的可参考性高于其对气温偏低的预测。相比于气温,MODES对降水预测能力较弱,参考性也相对较低,其中对贵州全省平均降水偏多趋势的预测技巧要优于对全省平均偏少趋势的预报技巧。逐站分析显示,MODES对贵州气温预测效果较好的地区在西部、北部和东部,对降水偏多的预测效果较好的地区位于除西北部和北部边缘地区外的其余大部地区。通过对MODES与预报员综合预报的结果评估发现,MODES月预测总体效果较预报员好,且稳定性高于预报员,可为预报员提供参考信息。     

天山地区水汽再循环量化研究

利用传统气候学的Brubaker二元模型和降水同位素平衡模型定量研究了新疆天山地区水汽再循环特征。结果表明:(1)气候学角度,天山地区水汽再循环率为9.32%。当地蒸发的水汽形成的降水量为41.8 mm,外来水汽输送到山区形成的降水量为407.2 mm;(2)同位素水汽氘盈余为精细化的分析水汽再循环提供了新的思路,进一步证实天山地区水汽主要来自于西风带的水汽输送,而乌鲁木齐站平均再循环水汽仅占到8%。随着海拔的增加,水汽再循环率逐渐下降,在海拔2000 m以上的水汽再循环可以忽略不计。在西风带关键水汽输送路径建立降水同位素观测断面,使两种方法相结合,共同研究水汽的来源和路径问题,是下一步需要关注的问题。     

Rainfall-induced landslide susceptibility assessment at the Chongren area (China) using frequency ratio,certainty factor,and index of entropy

The main objective of the study was to evaluate and compare the overall performance of three methods, frequency ratio (FR), certainty factor (CF) and index of entropy (IOE), for rainfall-induced landslide susceptibility mapping at the Chongren area (China) using geographic information system and remote sensing. First, a landslide inventory map for the study area was constructed from field surveys and interpretations of aerial photographs. Second, 15 landslide-related factors such as elevation, slope, aspect, plan curvature, profile curvature, stream power index, sediment transport index, topographic wetness index, distance to faults, distance to rivers, distance to roads, landuse, NDVI, lithology and rainfall were prepared for the landslide susceptibility modelling. Using these data, three landslide susceptibility models were constructed using FR, CF and IOE. Finally, these models were validated and compared using known landslide locations and the receiver operating characteristics curve. The result shows that all the models perform well on both the training and validation data. The area under the curve showed that the goodness-of-fit with the training data is 79.12, 80.34 and 80.42% for FR, CF and IOE whereas the prediction power is 80.14, 81.58 and 81.73%, for FR, CF and IOE, respectively. The result of this study may be useful for local government management and land use planning.     

基于第二次冰川编目数据的中国冰川高度结构特征分析

主要基于第二次中国冰川编目数据,计算和分析中国西部各个山脉冰川面积随高度分布特征、冰川平衡线高度场的分布规律和积累区比率的分布特征。结果表明：① 各个山脉冰川面积随高度分布呈近似正态分布,冰川最大面积所占总面积的百分比与冰川分布高度差的比值可以作为描述冰川面积随高度分布的形状参数;② 平衡线高度的分布特征受气候和地形影响,由南向北逐渐降低,由东向西逐渐升高;西北和南部高大山脉边缘比较密集,青藏高原内部比较稀疏。③ 冰川积累区比率的分布特征与水汽、地形和物理冰川属性有关。各大山脉外侧和海洋型冰川区积累区比率较小（<0.5）,山脉内侧及高原内陆地区和极大陆型冰川区的积累区比率较大（>0.7）。     

利用阴影指数和方位搜索法检测Landsat 8 OLI影像中云影

Landsat 8 OLI影像已成为重要的数据源,但受云及云影的影响较大,降低了数据的可用性,因此,快速识别云及云影,为后续的数据恢复有着积极的应用价值。通过构建云指数(CI)、归一化暗像元指数(NDPI)和比值阴影指数(RSI),采用阈值法和方位角搜索法,以两景Landsat 8 OLI影像(一景试验影像,另一景验证影像)为例进行云及云影检测。每类随机选取200个样点进行精度分析,结果表明:CI可快速区分OLI影像中的云区与非云区,厚云样本点正确识别率达到99%;NDPI与归一化植被指数(NDVI)构建的比值阴影指数RSI放大了水体、云影与其他阴影间的差异,更便于区分;方位搜索合理设置搜索方位角和搜索距离,简化了云影与云的相对关系模型,可准确区分水体与云影,两者的正确识别率都超过93%,弥补了阈值法的局限性。本方法可行快捷,为OLI影像的后续应用提供了基础,可有效提高其利用精度。     

胶印含铬废水化学处理工艺条件应用研究

实验研究了胶印含铬废水化学处理的方法及工艺条件。经化学法处理 ,Cr( )和总 Cr的浓度均能达到国家工业污水排放标准 ;研究结果表明 ,废水中 Cr( )还原成 Cr( )的反应 ,还原剂 Na HSO3 投加量应是 Cr( )重量的 7倍以上 ;Cr(OH) 3 的沉淀反应的适宜 p H范围在 7.5～ 8.5 ,以 p H 8.0时为最佳 ;Cr(OH) 3 的沉淀反应的搅拌时间应在 2 0 min以上为宜 ;沉淀反应的烘干沉渣量为废水总 Cr量的 11倍。该实验研究结果可为含铬废水化学处理法的工艺设计提供理论依据     

池养黄河鲤鱼含肉率及其肌肉营养成份的分析

本文就池养黄河鲤鱼的含肉率及其肉肉营养成份进行了测定分析。结果表明：池养黄河鲤鱼的含肉率为７１、９８５％；其肌肉营养成份蛋白质含量为１７．５８％、脂肪含量为３．９７％、灰分含量为１．１２％、水分含量为７７．３３％；肌肉中含有丰富的体全部必需８种氨基酸和４种鲜味氨基酸；肌肉中还含有丰富的人体必需微量元素铜，锌、铁等及大量元素、磷。     

福建闽江口潮间带大型底栖动物次级生产力时空特征

为研究福建省闽江口潮间带大型底栖动物次级生产力的时空变化,于2014年11月—2015年8月对闽江口大型底栖动物进行了4个季度的调查研究。在获得3条断面大型底栖动物物种数、密度和生物量的基础上,利用Brey经验公式计算年平均次级生产力(P)。研究结果显示:闽江口4个季度共获得大型底栖动物63种,其中优势类群为多毛类。闽江口潮间带大型底栖动物年均次级生产力为6.13 g (AFDW)·m-2·a-1(AFDW,去灰分干重,ash-free dry weight)。在季节分布上,次级生产力最高值出现在夏季,为11.04 g (AFDW)·m-2·a-1,最低值出现在冬季,为2.25 g (AFDW)·m-2·a-1;在空间分布上,次级生产力最高值出现在P03断面,为10.23 g (AFDW)·m-2·a-1,最低值出现在P01断面,为2.54 g (AFDW)·m-2·a-1。大型底栖动物年均P/B值(B=Biomass,生物量)为2.31 a-1,最高值出现在春季,为3.17 a-1,最低值出现在夏季,为1.74 a-1;且P02断面的P/B值高于其他2条断面。Pearson相关分析结果表明,次级生产力与温度呈显著正相关,P/B值与盐度呈显著正相关但与p H呈显著负相关。因此,环境因子在一定程度上影响着该区域大型底栖动物的次级生产力。闽江口大型底栖动物群落组成中以个体小、生活史短、繁殖快的小型甲壳类蜾蠃蜚(Corophium sp.)为主,使该潮间带区域的P/B值高于其他临近潮间带区域的调查结果。