基于环境激励的ERA方法在网架结构振动测试中的应用研究

基于环境激励的结构振动测试的方法中ERA方法是重要的时域分析方法.本文主要是以随机减量法(RD)和NExT两种数据处理方法结合ERA算法,对绥化学院正在建的网架结构的基本模态参数进行测试.通过分析比较得出RD/ERA和NExT/ERA较直接ERA有更高的精度,且实测分析结果与有限元分析结果较吻合.为网架结构在环境激励下用ERA方法测试模态参数提供了实验依据.     

多维地震动各方向相关性对拱坝动应力的影响

本文将随机振动的虚拟激励法与拱坝-地基动力相互作用FE-BE-IBE时域模型结合，发展了一个可以考虑多维随机地震动作用下的拱坝动力响应计算模型，并用Monte Garlo方法对模型进行了验证，计算结果表明，地震动分量的相关性对结构的动力响应存在一定影响，合理考虑地震动各方向分量的相关性可以更好地计算实际地震作用下的拱坝动力响应。     

基于随机森林的中小跨径公路梁桥双柱墩地震易损性模型

为准确建立线路中小跨径梁桥桥墩的地震易损性模型,采用统计工具得到某山区高速公路桥梁双柱墩的结构、几何和材料特性的概率分布,由拉丁超立方体抽样生成桥墩属性数据集,建立了参数化的有限元模型.通过Pushover分析和基于非弹性需求谱的能力谱方法获取双柱墩的地震需求和抗震性能数据点,提出由随机森林(RF)模型建立桥墩地震易损...     

俯冲带板内地震竖向位移谱阻尼修正系数模型研究

基于日本K-NET和KiK-net台网中4695条俯冲板内地震记录的竖向分量,建立了位移谱阻尼修正系数(DMF)模型.采用基于场地周期的场地分类方法,并通过固定效应法推导出模型系数.该DMF模型考虑了谱周期、阻尼比和场地条件的影响,可以用来调整与震源和距离无关的设计反应谱.利用阻尼比对数的二次方程式对原数据进行拟合回归...     

基于随机振动理论确定桥梁地震碰撞的临界间隙

确定梁桥邻跨间避免地震碰撞的最小间隙,对于梁桥地震碰撞危险性预测及防地震碰撞措施的设计有着显著意义。本文基于随机振动理论建立梁桥地震碰撞邻跨临界间隙的计算方法,分析模型采用跨径不等的两跨简支梁桥,且考虑隔震支座非线性恢复力的影响。文中首先建立了系统的非线性运动方程;随后运用随机等效线性化理论将其线性化;最后在复模态空间推导了临界碰撞间隙的均值与方差的计算方法。人工地震动的非线性时程分析结果验证了本文算法的正确性。参数分析表明,临界间隙随邻跨长度比增大而增大,随支座屈服力与上部结构重量比值减小而增大,随隔震支座屈服位移增大而增大,随桥墩振动周期增大而增大。隔震支座屈服前后刚度比值对临界间隙大小影响很小。     

Entropy estimation of hydrological extremes

The method of Relative Entropy with Fractile constraints (REF method) is explained and applied to model extreme compound hydrological phenomena, such as extreme sea levels under storm conditions. Also presented is a simple method of Tail Entropy Approximation (TEA), which amounts to a correction of traditional statistical estimates for extreme observations.Distribution assumptions are necessary but downplayed in the REF method, relegating the prior distribution to the role of an extrapolation function. The estimates are objective in an information-theoretical sense. They also satisfy a strict requirement of self-consistency that is generally not satisfied by standard statistical methods: invariance under monotonic transformations of the random variable.Historical records of storm surge levels in the Netherlands and annual maximum tidal heights for Sheerness, UK, are used as examples. Comparison is made with distributions obtained using other methods.It is concluded that the tail entropy approximation provides simple, objective estimates of extremes in the tail beyond the range of observations.     

A bivariate pareto model for drought

Univariate Pareto distributions have been so widely used in hydrology. It seems however that bivariate or multivariate Pareto distributions have not yet found applications in hydrology, especially with respect to drought. In this note, a drought application is described by assuming a bivariate Pareto model for the joint distribution drought durations and drought severity in the State of Nebraska. Based on this model, exact distributions are derived for the inter arrival time, magnitude and the proportion of droughts. Estimates of 2, 5, 10, 20, 50 and 100 year return periods are derived for the three variables, drought duration, drought severity and the pairwise combinations: (drought duration, drought severity), (inter arrival time of drought, proportion of drought) and (drought duration, drought magnitude). These return period estimates could have an important role in hydrology, for example, with respect to measures of vegetation water stress for plants in water-controlled ecosystems.     

对近年来地震危险区预测效果的评估

采用R值评分方法，对中国地震局地球物理研究所2001—2004年度划定的全国地震危险区进行了评估，2001—2004年度的R值分别为0．265、0．182、0．293、0．404。近两年的R值相对高些，为了排除随机成分，做了相应的随机预报试验检验，并对地震落入危险区的随机概率作了估计。结果表明，4个年度的R值明显高于随机预报，除2002年度外，地震随机落入危险区的概率很低，不到2％。这说明中国地震局地球物理研究所实际地震危险区划分取得了一定的效果，且逐年提高。     

减小离散误差的时频峰值滤波算法

提出减少时频峰值滤波分段点处阶跃误差的改进方法。经过研究时频峰值滤波在频率调制和时频平面峰值滤波时产生的离散误差以及尺度变换方式,发现分段点处阶跃误差与离散傅里叶变换的长度成反比,且与零点在尺度变换后产生的不确定值有关。提出基于定零点尺度变换的时频峰值滤波,在信号尺度变换时将零点变换到瞬时频率区间上的固定值,使各段时频峰值滤波零点偏移量一致,从而消除分段点处的阶跃误差。仿真实验和实际地震信号时频峰值滤波处理结果表明,改进的时频峰值滤波算法能够有效消减随机噪声,减少分段滤波在分段处的阶跃。     

Drag force on a circular cylinder in unseparated laminar high Reynolds number nonlinear random oscillatory flow

The stochastic properties of the drag force maxima on a circular cylinder subjected to nonlinear random waves are investigated. Unseparated laminar high Reynolds number flow is considered. A simplified approach based on second order Stokes waves is presented, including the sum-frequency effect only. It is demonstrated how a drag force formula valid for regular linear waves can be used to find the cumulative distribution function of individual drag force maxima for nonlinear irregular waves. Here the [Wang, 1968] drag force coefficient is used.