基于时空大数据的城市脉动分析研究

随着新型城镇化建设成为了国家战略,各地政府掀起了智慧城市建设热潮。在智慧城市建设中,公共信息平台建设是不可或缺的重要基础环节。随着平台的深入运行,逐步积累了大量的城市数据。但是,数据资源中蕴含的知识远未得到充分挖掘和应用,致使数据爆炸但知识匮乏。因此,基于数据时空和专题属性,建立科学的城市数据体系是城市管理的迫切需求;同时,基于数据体系,揭示各类数据随时空变化规律,展现城市脉动发展情况是城市决策重要的依据,也是观察和诊治"城市病"的重要技术手段。我们以中新天津生态城所建成的大数据汇聚公共平台为依托,基于数据挖掘技术手段,针对环境、能源、交通脉动进行研究并取得初步成果,科学地揭示了"城市脉动"变化规律,使平台数据发挥最大价值。脉动分析结果以可视化手段表现,反映城市各项指标脉动变化特征。     

The modifiable areal unit problem in hedonic house-price models

When geographically aggregated data are included in hedonic models, the resulting coefficients are biased by the spatial scale and spatial configuration of variable measurement. We explore the effects of this modifiable areal unit problem (MAUP) within the context of hedonic price models with an individual-level dependent variable. Specifically, we developed standard and spatial hedonic regression models in order to examine the effects of the MAUP on model fit and coefficient estimates. Our empirical analysis documents several significant scale and zoning effects in the hedonic modeling framework. First, neighborhood characteristics are clearly important in efforts to improve model fit—and they are more significant contributors in the standard model than in the spatial hedonic model. For aggregation scale, the model fit change of the standard model is relatively large, whereas the change is more modest for spatial models. The patterns of change in model fit for standard and spatial hedonic models clearly diverge from one another, implying the existence of a scale level showing a maximum functional range of the submarket on which scale dependencies are expected to have an impact. Regarding the zoning effect, the model fits for both standard and spatial hedonic models vary according to the submarket systems.     

Spatial Distribution of Shelf- and Slope-Dwelling Fishes Collected by Bottom Longline off Lanzarote and Fuerteventura, Canary Islands

Abstract. A total of 1789 fish belonging to 38 families and 73 species were collected at depths between 18 and 1102 m during 216 bottom longline operations off Lanzarote and Fuerteventura, Canary Islands, between February 1994 and December 1995. For each species the depth distribution is provided. Length-weight and depth-size relationships are reported for three shelf-dwelling species. The bigger-deeper relationship found in two of them contrasts with the bigger-shallower pattern of the deeper living trichiurid Lepidopus caudatus . In November 1997, nine additional bottom longline operations were carried out off eastern Fuerteventura at depths between 805 and 1217 m. In this area, after earlier studies in October 1995, a spawning aggregation of the morid Mora moro was encountered for the second time. The catches of 1997 revealed a strongly male-biased sex ratio. Also, the males showed a significantly lower gonadosomal index than two years earlier. These findings indicate slight interannual variations in reproductive timing and an earlier arrival of male Mora moro at the spawning grounds. Clear variations in the number of fish collected at adjacent sites possibly reflect a preference for distinct microhabitats. Preliminary evidence of local upwelling of cold water above the spawning grounds is provided by satellite imagery.     

Finite element analysis of steady-state natural convection problems in fluid-saturated porous media heated from below

In this paper, a progressive asymptotic approach procedure is presented for solving the steady-state Horton–Rogers–Lapwood problem in a fluid-saturated porous medium. The Horton–Rogers–Lapwood problem possesses a bifurcation and, therefore, makes the direct use of conventional finite element methods difficult. Even if the Rayleigh number is high enough to drive the occurrence of natural convection in a fluid-saturated porous medium, the conventional methods will often produce a trivial non-convective solution. This difficulty can be overcome using the progressive asymptotic approach procedure associated with the finite element method. The method considers a series of modified Horton–Rogers–Lapwood problems in which gravity is assumed to tilt a small angle away from vertical. The main idea behind the progressive asymptotic approach procedure is that through solving a sequence of such modified problems with decreasing tilt, an accurate non-zero velocity solution to the Horton–Rogers–Lapwood problem can be obtained. This solution provides a very good initial prediction for the solution to the original Horton–Rogers–Lapwood problem so that the non-zero velocity solution can be successfully obtained when the tilted angle is set to zero. Comparison of numerical solutions with analytical ones to a benchmark problem of any rectangular geometry has demonstrated the usefulness of the present progressive asymptotic approach procedure. Finally, the procedure has been used to investigate the effect of basin shapes on natural convection of pore-fluid in a porous medium. © 1997 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

基于向量式有限元的黏滞阻尼减震结构抗竖向连续倒塌动力反应分析

向量式有限元是以向量力学为基础的一种新的结构分析方法,在处理结构大变形等复杂行为时具有较大的优势。基于向量式有限元理论建立了黏滞阻尼单元,对附加黏滞阻尼器的平面钢框架结构进行了抗竖向连续倒塌动力分析,结合拆除构件法,采用MATLAB编制可以考虑初始变形的瞬时卸载法程序,实现结构在构件拆除前的静力分析和构件拆除后动力分析的全过程统一。研究了阻尼器布置位置和参数在结构抗竖向连续倒塌中的性能需求,以失效点竖向位移时程曲线、梁端转角、动力放大系数和结构塑性铰分布为参考指标,对比分析布置阻尼器前后钢框架结构的抗连续倒塌能力。结果表明向量式有限元是一种研究结构竖向连续倒塌动力响应的有效方法,合理布置阻尼器能够有效控制剩余结构的变形和振动,降低构件内力,减少塑性铰个数,较大地提高结构的抗竖向连续倒塌能力。     

Assessment of micro‐aggregation using laser diffractometry

In order to evaluate the influence of the measuring technique on the determination of (micro‐)aggregation in soil and sediment samples, results of grain size distributions of undispersed silty soil samples obtained by the sieve‐pipette method are compared with those obtained using a laser diffraction grain size analyser, the Coulter LS‐100. Reduced major axis relationships are calculated which may be used to convert Coulter LS‐100 results to those obtained by the sieve‐pipette method. The relationships obtained are very similar to the reduced major axis relationships established for dispersed silty soil samples. The results also show that the Coulter LS measurements have a systematic bias compared to the sieve‐pipette data. This implies that, if the percentage of (micro‐)aggregation is determined, the (interpretation of the) results will be strongly dependent on the measurement technique used. Using the calibration relationships that were established, nomographs can be developed to predict the level of sieve‐pipette (micro‐) aggregation from Coulter LS‐100 data. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

考虑滑坡渐进破坏的改进简布条分法

为考虑位移因素对于滑坡渐进性发育的影响,基于简布条分法基本原理,提出一个新的能够考虑滑带土抗剪能力与剪切位移关系的滑坡稳定性简化评价方法。该方法从以下两个方面对简布条分法进行了改进：（1）将滑动面剪应力-剪切位移本构模型与沿滑动面的剪切位移模型相结合,以考虑滑坡随着变形发展渐进破坏的过程;（2）提出局部安全系数的概念并对整体安全系数进行重新定义,物理意义更加明确。推导了该方法的计算公式,给出了其迭代计算思路,并编制Matlab计算程序。通过计算实例表明,应变软化边坡的安全系数不仅取决于土的抗剪强度指标,还与其剪应力-剪切位移关系密切相关,基于峰值强度的极限平衡条分法应用于实际工程是偏于危险的。同时该方法还可以有效地模拟边坡从开始破坏到最终滑动面贯通的发育过程,实现了坡体位移与安全系数之间一一对应的定量关系,进而实现边坡的稳定性的预测预报。     

Quantitative failure metric for gravity dams

Quantitative failure monitoring is a critical tool for safety assessment of concrete dams. This includes damage occurrence, intensity, location, number, size, and propagation pattern. Such an assessment is essential for a quantifiable prioritization of repair and will thus reduce overall cost and improve safety. This paper will address this timely topic through the nonlinear transient analysis of a dam and failure will be ascertained through a multi‐scale damage index. A damage‐plastic model for mass concrete is used, Drucker‐Prager elasto‐plastic one for the foundation, and infinite elements are used for far‐field boundaries. Water‐dam interaction is accounted for through fluid finite elements. It is determined that the proposed damage indices can indeed provide a quantitative metric for the degree of failure in gravity dams in terms of the input dynamic motion. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

近海欠密实砂质海床内波致渐进液化特征研究

利用一个经过广泛验证的数值模型FSSI-CAS 2D为计算工具,采用砂土的高级本构模型Pastor-Zienkiewicz-Mark III (PZIII) 描述海床砂土的动态力学行为,定量研究松散海床地基土在波浪作用下,其内部的液化过程和特征,以加深对波致海床液化特征、性质的认识。计算结果分析表明,开发的耦合数值模型FSSI-CAS 2D能够很好地捕捉到波浪作用下欠密实海床的动力响应特征,以及海床内的累积液化过程等一些列的非线性物理现象。研究表明,波浪导致的松砂海床液化是一个渐进过程,海床表面首先液化,并逐渐向下扩展。     

基于OpenSees的混凝土结构连续倒塌分析中的从属节点建模技术

对重大工程结构进行强地震作用下的连续倒塌全过程分析并建立相应的设计与控制方法,已成为当前地震工程领域的发展趋势。目前,由于数值求解方面的困难,绝大多数针对极端作用下的结构连续倒塌的研究止步于数值临界状态的界定,在分析过程中不能实时地对结构构件的损伤状态进行监测并根据构件的损伤状态对分析模型进行修改。为了实现连续倒塌过程中构件的逐步失效,在OpenSees程序中,基于Beam with Hinges Element构建了端部带附属节点的Beam with Hinges Element,并根据构件失效情况对附属节点的多点约束进行控制。采用三次静力凝聚方法和Newmark-beta法,给出了对此改进建模技术可信的理论背景,方法的准确性通过一个简单框架算例得到了验证。