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71.
Chai Chizhang Zhang Wenxiao Liao Yuhu Xu Wenjun Shen Xuhui Tian Qinjian Wei Kaibo Chen Zhengwei 《中国地震研究》2002,16(1):60-70
Based on the fitting on paleoearthquake data of intra-plate regions in the northern part of Chi-na and giving a statistical model of time interdependence,the potential damage earthquakes in a definite future period and characteristics of present shocks along the Lingwu fault have been analyzed by using dangerous probability function and some new data concerned.We have in-ferred that the fault has entered a period that earthquakes will probably occur.There exists a potential danger that a strong earthquake with Ms7.0-7.5 will occur in 10-100a. 相似文献
72.
Seismic structural control using semi-active tuned mass dampers 总被引:8,自引:1,他引:8
This paper focuses on how to determine the instantaneous damping of the semi-active tuned mass damper (SATMD) with continuously
variable damping. An off-and-towards-equilibrium (OTE) algorithm is employed to examine the control performance of the structure/SATMD
system by considering the damping as an assumptive control action. The damping modification of the SATMD is carried out according
to the proposed OTE algorithm, which is formulated based on analysis of the structural movement under external excitations,
and the measured responses of the structure at every time instant. As examples two numerical simulations of a five-storey
and a ten-storey shear structures with a SATMD on the roof are conducted. The effectiveness on vibration reduction of MDOF
systems subjected to seismic excitations is discussed. Analysis results show that the behavior of the structure with a SATMD
is significantly improved and the feasibility of applying the OTE algorithm to the structural control design of SATMD is also
verified. 相似文献
73.
河流水质风险评价的灰色-随机风险率方法 总被引:3,自引:2,他引:3
提出了量化影响河流水质的随机不确定性与灰色不确定性的水质超标灰色-随机风险率概念,建立了水质超标灰色-随机风险率评价模型。在水质单项参数评价模型中,将河流污染物浓度变量的分布处理成灰色概率分布,将污染物浓度超过水质类别标准值的风险率处理成灰色概率,即水质超标灰色-随机风险率。在水质综合评价模型中,河流水环境系统被考虑为担任某一使用可能的可靠性系统,而任意一种水质参数超标意味着河流水体使用功能不能得到应有的保证,也即表明水体综合评价超标,最后借鉴系统可靠性分析的理论和方法计算水质综合超标率。该方法应用于黄河花园口断面重金属污染风险评价。 相似文献
74.
75.
76.
以巴东长江公路大桥桥位边坡为例,在前人稳定性评价的基础上,建立了基于剩余推力法和Sarma法的边坡稳定可靠性分析模型,分析表明边坡系统可靠性指标(β,Pf)能更准确地表达边坡稳定性、安全性和工程风险水平。 相似文献
77.
地面上的矿物或污染物元素主要是随水系而运移的。因此,利用自然水系网信息来定量分析元素沿水系的迁移、分散,对于地质找矿和环境保护都具有重要意义。在研究应用主概率权模拟模型产生自然水系网的基础上,提出了元素在水系网中运移的计算方法,结合所模拟出的水系网,具体分析了元素在其中的迁移、扩散情况,给出了正问题和反问题的计算结果。结果表明,正、反问题的求解具有一致性,方法是有效、可行的。 相似文献
78.
79.
It gradually becomes a common work using large seismic wave data to obtain source parameters, such as seismic moment, break radius, stress drop, with completingof digital seismic network in China (Hough, et al, 1999; Bindi, et al, 2001). These parameters are useful on earthquake prediction and seismic hazard analysis.Although the computation methods of source parameters are simple in principle and the many research works have been done, it is not easy to obtain the parameters accurately. There are two factors affecting the stability of computation results. The first one is the effect of spread path and site respond on signal. According to the research results, there are different geometrical spreading coefficients on different epicenter distance. The better method is to introduce trilinear geometrical spreading model (Atkinson, Mereu, 1992; Atkinson, Boore, 1995; WONG, et al, 2002). In addition, traditional site respond is estimated by comparing with rock station, such as linear inversion method (Andrews, 1982), but the comparative estimation will introduce some errors when selecting different stations. Some recent research results show that site respond is not flat for rock station (Moya, et al, 2000; ZHANG,. et al, 2001; JIN, et al, 2000; Dutta, et al, 2001). The second factor is to obtain low-frequency level and corner frequency fromdisplacement spectrum. Because the source spectrum model is nonlinear function,these values are obtained by eye. The subjectivity is strong. The small change of corner frequency will affect significantly the result of stress drop. 相似文献
80.
Coupled inverse modelling of groundwater flow and mass transport and the worth of concentration data 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Harrie-Jan Hendricks Franssen Jaime Gómez-Hernández Andrés Sahuquillo 《Journal of Hydrology》2003,281(4):281-295
This paper presents the extension of the self-calibrating method to the coupled inverse modelling of groundwater flow and mass transport. The method generates equally likely solutions to the inverse problem that display the variability as observed in the field and are not affected by a linearisation of the state equations. Conditioning to the state variables is measured by an objective function including, among others, the mismatch between the simulated and measured concentrations. Conditioning is achieved by minimising the objective function by gradient-based methods. The gradient contains the partial derivatives of the objective function with respect to: log conductivities, log storativities, prescribed heads at boundaries, retardation coefficients and mass sources. The derivatives of the objective function with respect to log conductivity are the most cumbersome and need the most CPU-time to be evaluated. For this reason, to compute this derivative only advective transport is considered. The gradient is calculated by the adjoint-state method. The method is demonstrated in a controlled, synthetic study, in which the worth of concentration data is analysed. It is shown that concentration data are essential to improve transport predictions and also help to improve aquifer characterisation and flow predictions, especially in the upstream part of the aquifer, even in the case that a considerable amount of other experimental data like conductivities and heads are available. Besides, conditioning to concentration data reduces the ensemble variances of estimated transmissivity, hydraulic head and concentration. 相似文献