基于变形信息分解的大坝变形趋势判断及预测研究

在分离大坝变形数据信息的基础上,利用重标极差法实现大坝变形趋势判断,然后利用优化极限学习机及混沌理论实现大坝变形预测。重标极差分析表明,大坝变形始终具有正向持续性,但其程度具有减弱趋势。在变形预测过程中,模型参数的递进优化不仅能提高预测精度,还能有效提高其稳定性,预测模型的相对误差均值均小于2%,验证了本文预测思路的有效性。大坝变形趋势判断及预测结果一致性较好,均认为大坝变形仍会进一步增加,但增加幅度相对较小,趋向于稳定发展。     

东濮凹陷上古生界致密砂岩优质储层发育特征及主控因素

文章探讨了东濮凹陷上古生界砂岩优质储层形成的主控因素,为预测优质储层提供依据。文章以东濮凹陷庆古3井为主要研究对象,通过岩心观察、铸体薄片、XRD、核磁共振冻融法及三束离子抛光—场发射扫描电镜联用等综合分析,研究了东濮凹陷二叠系储层发育特征及控制因素。研究表明：东濮凹陷上古生界砂岩以岩屑长石和长石岩屑砂岩为主,孔隙度值介于0.2%~12.8%,渗透率值介于0.0016~5.7 mD,属于特低孔致密型储层。溶蚀残余粒间孔、粒内溶蚀孔、晶间孔是东濮凹陷主要发育的孔隙类型,储集空间都是次生成因,各层段几乎未见原生孔隙留存,裂缝相对不发育。次生孔隙主要由长石颗粒和岩屑（包括凝灰质）溶蚀形成,在石千峰组和下石盒子组储层中较为常见。优质储层受沉积相、岩性和成岩作用的控制,石千峰组砂岩属于内陆河流相沉积,砂体发育,是东濮凹陷上古生界最有利的储集层系,长石的溶蚀是石千峰组优质储层形成的主要控制因素。下石盒子组属于三角洲沉积,由于沉积时期火山作用,导致大量的凝灰质沉积,凝灰质蚀变形成的高岭石晶间孔是该层储层形成的重要机制。山西组主要三角洲沉积,也是主要成煤期,煤系酸性流体导致溶蚀,但强烈的石英次生加大使砂岩致密化。     

基于解释量版的渤海油田巨厚砂砾岩定量表征

渤海油田古近系三角洲沉积发育巨厚（大于100 m）的砂岩和砾岩储层,储层横向变化快,内部非均质性强,地震预测难题大。文章针对此类问题,提出一种基于厚度解释量版的砂砾岩定量表征方法。根据已有钻井资料建立井点处地质模型,结合已有地质资料分析储层可能的变化形式,形成地质模型库,对地质模型库进行正演获得相应的正演地震资料库,然后提取正演地震资料的反射振幅属性,建立不同砂砾岩变化形式下的厚度解释量版,最后提取实际地震资料的反射振幅属性,将其投射到厚度解释量版上,实现对巨厚砂砾岩储层的定量表征。该方法克服了常规地震反演、地震属性等方法难以有效刻画巨厚砂砾岩储层的难题,实现了对具有干涉效应的巨厚砂砾岩储层的厚度及其内部变化的精确定量表征。     

基于逐步回归分析的大坝变形分析模型研究

主要介绍对逐步回归分析模型的原理和基本步骤,结合大坝工程实例进行分析。引入了库水位、时效和温度三个因子建立逐步回归模型。得出了运用逐步回归模型分析大坝变形的合理性,可以达到预测的目的。     

火山岩风化体储层控制因素研究—以三塘湖盆地石炭系卡拉岗组为例

针对火山岩风化壳储层控制因素和成因复杂的难题,以三塘湖盆地石炭系卡拉岗组为例,在搞清晚石炭世构造环境和岩性特征基础上,提出风化淋滤和断裂改造是火山岩风化壳形成有利储层的主要控制因素.不同火山岩岩性经风化淋滤后储层物性均增大并能形成有利储层,储集层孔隙类型以次生溶蚀孔隙和裂缝为主,具双峰分布特征.建立了5层结构模型,并提...     

新疆西准噶尔布龙果尔古油藏的发现及其石油地质意义

本文记述了首次在西准噶尔布龙果尔地区发现的古油藏基本地质情况,探讨古油藏产出的地质层位及时代归属,对古油藏油源问题进行了初步分析,在此基础上提出古油藏成藏预测模式.认为上古生界古油藏所在的和布克河组一段地质时代为晚泥盆世法门期,中生界古油藏产出层位为下侏罗统八道湾组;推断和布克河组古油藏油源可能来自中泥盆统呼吉尔斯特组...     

Efficient conceptual model for simulating the effect of aquifer heterogeneity on natural groundwater discharge to rivers

When linearity can be assumed (linear response of heads to stresses), stream–aquifer flow exchange can be simulated as the drainage of a number of independent linear reservoirs. This conceptual model, which can be mathematically deduced in a univocal way from an eigenvalue solution of the linear groundwater flow problem, facilitates the understanding of the physical phenomenon and the analysis of influencing factors. The number of reservoirs required to simulate stream depletion in some ideal homogeneous cases of stream–aquifer connection was analyzed in detail in a previous investigation using analytical eigenvalue solutions [16]. However, most aquifers are heterogeneous in nature and numerical solutions must be employed to analyze whether they could also be simulated using few reservoirs. This paper presents a stochastic analysis of the influence of heterogeneity on the simulation of natural groundwater discharges in aquifers connected to rivers, as a series of linear reservoirs. A Monte-Carlo approach was employed to perform this study. The results show that, on a monthly time scale, many cases (even heterogeneous aquifers) can be simulated using just a few reservoirs with sufficient accuracy and at minimum computational cost. Therefore, this modeling technique can be useful to efficiently simulate the integrated management of complex water resources systems at the basin scale (with many aquifers, reservoirs, demands, etc.) that need to simultaneously consider surface and groundwater flow and stream–aquifer interaction.     

Study on the S-wave Splitting Characteristics in the Longtan Reservoir Area,Guangxi,China

In this paper,the shear wave splitting features of the Longtan reservoir area are studied by adopting the traditional cross-correlation coefficient method and polarization analysis,using the data recorded by the seismic network founded by a project under the National Science and Technology Pillar Program from April 2009 to April 2010.We found that most of polarization directions at seismic stations are consistent with the direction of the overall regional stress field,but local structures and faults may con...     

The Focal Mechanism and Characteristic of Stress Field in the Zipingpu Area before the M_S8.0 Wenchuan Earthquake

Based on seismic wave records of the Chengdu digital seismic network and Zipingpu reservoir digital seismic network from August 16,2004 to May 12,2008 when the Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake occurred,the parameters of focal mechanisms of 486 earthquakes with magnitude larger than M1.6 in the Zipingpu reservoir area were calculated using amplitude ratio method,meanwhile the temporal-spatial variation characteristics of mechanisms and stress field were analyzed based on these parameters.Results show a low ratio of thrust earthquakes and an increased number of strike-slip earthquakes in the reservoir water area in the period from 2006 to 2008.While in the areas far from the reservoir waterfront,the thrust earthquakes took up a high proportion and the strike-slip ones did not increase.The direction of mean principal compressive stress field was deflected and disturbed differently in each area before the Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake.     

三峡库首区非构造型水库地震的烈度衰减

非构造型水库地震具有震级小、震源浅、烈度高的特点,研究其烈度衰减对库区地震地质灾害的预测与防治具有重要的意义。根据三峡库首区近年地震实地科考原始烈度资料,选择椭圆衰减模型并对其进行二元回归分析,得到非构造型水库地震的烈度衰减关系。并与原有构造型水库地震烈度衰减关系进行比较。结果可供库区地震危险性分析与地震小区划使用。