考虑时间约束的地震救灾数学模型设计与实现

在地震救灾方面,针对信息实时更新的地震救灾数学模型,为了满足不同受灾点的物资需求,增加了出救点数量以及配送时间,以此来保证地震救援物资需求的满足度,提高了应急响应水平。结合地震救灾特点,设计了一种考虑时间约束的地震救灾数学模型。该模型在地震救灾物资需求预测部分,分析影响地震救灾物资需求量的主要因素,构建地震救灾物资需求量计算模型,对影响地震救灾物资需求量的主要因素构建隶属度函数,给出基于模糊综合评判的地震救灾物资需求分级模型。其次,考虑时间约束以及需求不确定等方面,构建考虑时间约束的地震救灾多目标优化数学模型,并给出求解模型。实验结果表明,该模型减少了救灾物资到达受灾点的延迟时间,可在满足时间约束的条件下提高物资需求满足率。     

HOLOCENE ACTIVE CHARACTERISTICS OF THE NORTHERN SEGMENT OF THE MINJIANG FAULT IN THE EASTERN MARGIN OF THE TIBETAN PLATEAU

As a part of the north-south seismic zone in China, a lot of M6.0-7.2 earthquakes have occurred in the margin faults of the Minshan block in history. This work attempted to characterize the geometry and activity of the north section of the Minjiang fault in this region based on high-resolution satellite images, geologic and geomorphic investigations, micro-geomorphic surveys, and trench excavation. The results show left-lateral-slip and Holocene activity of this structure. Along it, the offset landform has a continuous linearity on Ⅱ terraces near the Chuanpan village. The vertical height of the fault scarp measures 3.1 meters, which is almost the same as the accumulative horizontal displacement of the gully. The accumulative horizontal shortening due to faulting is 3.0 meters. Calculation using the model of displacement-dependent characteristic earthquakes shows both the vertical and horizontal co-seismic displacements and the horizontal shortening amount are about 1.0 meter. While strata dating suggests that the vertical and horizontal slip rates are all about 0.7-0.9mm/a, and the horizontal shortening rate is approximately 1.0-1.1mm/a. The excavated trench, perpendicular to the fault trace, reveals low-angle thrust dipping in 260åt 29°. From the relationship of the fault, colluvial wedge and stratigraphy ages, three palaeoseismic events are identified from youngest to oldest at 0-295a BP, 1 405-1 565a BP, and 2 750-2 875a BP, respectively, with recurrence intervals 1 110-1 565 years and elapsed time about 0-295 years。According to the relationship between magnitude and active parameters, it is considered that the northern segment of the Minjiang fault is capable of generating M7 or greater earthquakes. Now it is in the process of stress accumulation, having a certain seismic risk.     

Ⅶ度抗震设防下牧区居住建筑节能技术研究

对抗震设防下的牧区居民建筑进行节能设计,在提高能源利用率及降低能源消耗方面具有重要意义。传统的建筑节能技术主要通过降低建筑的热能消耗来提高能源利用,存在节能效果差且单一的问题。对此,在Ⅶ度抗震设防下,采用ANSYS软件,引入Block Lanczos法对牧区居住建筑结构的模态进行分析,计算出建筑地震作用,并通过分析牧区居住建筑围护结构及门窗材质来优化建筑节能技术。实验结果表明,在内蒙古牧区居住建筑采用改进提出的建筑节能技术,可有效降低能源消耗,从而能够有效利用能源,使其具有一定的优势。     

考虑不确定性的地震灾害应急救援设备并行优化设计

由于地震灾害的不确定性,使得应急救援设备运行速率及使用效率均受到影响,需要进行并行优化处理。对此,提出基于双向并行计算的地震灾害应急救援设备优化方法。以地震灾区灾情等级评估结果为基础,将地震等级及应急救援设备,设备及设备之间的关系进行标准化处理,转化为求解最优解问题;在考虑不确定性的情况下,通过通信时间与救援设备需求进行双向并行处理,优化地震灾害应急救援设备。实验结果表明,采用改进方法进行地震灾害应急救援设备并行优化,能够对地震灾害应急救援设备需求量进行准确预测,提高应急救援设备的运行速率,缩短通信时间,提高应急救援设备的使用效率,具有一定的优势。     

基于钻孔数据的大同场地类别与地震动参数分布研究

收集在大同市开展的117项地震安全性评价报告,重点整理报告中的319个钻孔数据,核对各场地类别。参考第五代地震动参数区划图,选取有代表性的22个工程场地,重新进行地震危险性概率分析和土层反应计算,确定各场地50年超越概率为63%、10%、2%的地震动参数,分析大同市场地类别分布特征和地震动参数分布特征。结果表明,这些项目集中分布在大同市南部,工程场地类别主要为Ⅱ类和Ⅲ类,绝大多数为Ⅱ类。50年超越概率10%的水平峰值加速度中,只有1个工程场地的结果是0.182g,位于0.15g区,其余均位于0.20g区。50年超越概率10%的特征周期在0.52~0.65s之间,平均值为0.58s。     

湖北地区地震震源参数研究

为了研究湖北地区地震震源参数特征,本文基于湖北数字地震台网记录到的S波观测振幅谱,通过遗传算法获得湖北地区的介质品质因子和台站场地响应,并在此基础上计算了湖北地区地震震源参数。结果显示,湖北地区介质品质因子Q值随频率f变化的关系式为Q(f)=501.8·f~(0.309);对于大部分台站获得了与其岩石基底相符的场地响应,没有出现明显放大效应;地震震级与地震矩对数间呈线性关系,即lg M_0=10.06+1.093M_L;震源半径与应力降间呈双对数线性关系,即lgΔσ=10.52-2.01lgr;地震矩与拐角频率间整体上呈反相关;地震矩与应力降间关系不显著。     

实景三维精细建模优化方法探索与实践

对比分析目前常用的几种实景三维建模方法及适用性,剖析倾斜摄影三维建模技术在几何结构和模型纹理等方面存在的问题,提出了实景三维精细建模的优化方法和技术路线,着重阐述了高低空航摄相结合的关键技术,明显改善了模型效果,提高了建模的质量与效率,为实景三维数字城市建设提供了技术参考.     

均匀设计在紫球藻培养基优化中的应用

将均匀设计的方法应用于紫球藻 ( Porphyridium cruentum) 培养基的优化。在单因素实验的基础上,采用 U12(12 ×6) 均匀设计表对影响紫球藻生长显著的 4 种主要营养因素进行了优化,获得了以海水 3为 基 础 的 优 化 培 养 基 配 方 : NaHCO3: 2.755 g/L , NaNO3: 3.224 g/L , KH2PO : 0.035 g/L , VB12: 42.772 μg/L,VB1: 0.9 mg/L,Fe-EDTA: 0.11 mg/L,有效地提高了紫球藻的生物量产量和生长速率。     

Performance‐based design using structural optimization

A new methodology for seismic design is proposed based on structural optimization with performance‐based constraints. Performance‐based criteria are introduced for the seismic design of new buildings. These criteria are derived from the National Guidelines for Seismic Rehabilitation of Buildings (Reference [19], Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), ‘NHERP Guidelines for seismic rehabilitation of buildings’, Report Nos 273 and 274, Washington, DC, 1997) for retrofitting existing structures. The proposed design methodology takes into account the non‐linear behaviour of the structure. The goal is to incorporate in the design the actual performance levels of the structure, i.e. how much reserve capacity the structure has in an earthquake of a given magnitude. The optimal design of the structure minimizes the structural cost subjected to performance constraints on plastic rotations of beams and columns, as well as behavioural constraints for reinforced concrete frames. Uncertainties in the structural period and in the earthquake excitation are taken into account using convex models. The optimization routine incorporates a non‐linear analysis program and the procedure is automated. The proposed methodology leads to a structural design for which the levels of reliability (performance levels) are assumed to be quantifiable. Furthermore, the entire behaviour of the structure well into the non‐linear range is investigated in the design process. Copyright © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

混沌理论在桥梁变形监测中的应用

针对桥梁的非线性下沉问题,引用了混沌理论,首先求取时间序列的两重构参数时间延迟τ和嵌入维数m进行相空间重构;随后进行混沌特性判别,确定该时间序列存在混沌迹象;最后根据所求参数建立加权零阶局域预计模型和RBF神经网络混沌预计模型对观测数据进行预计分析,并与系数为0.9的指数平滑预测模型进行比较,结果显示混沌预计模型值更接...