PREVIOUS CONVECTION ANOMALY IN AUTUMN AND WINTER ASSOCIATED WITH THE GENERAL CIRCULATION OVER EAST ASIA IN WINTER AND SPRING AND APRIL PRECIPITATION IN SHANDONG

Using OLR and 850 hPa and 200 hPa wind fields data (1979 – 2006), this paper diagnoses the characteristics of convection over the tropical area in preceding autumns and winters in association with April precipitation anomalies in Shandong province. It is found that preceding convection anomalies over the Western Pacific Warm Pool in December have close relationships with the April precipitation in Shandong. Further analysis of the relationship with the general circulation over the East Asia shows that the convection anomaly over the Western Pacific Warm Pool has close relationships with the Main East Asian Trough, the Hadley cell over East Asia and the Walker cell. The characteristics of East Asian atmospheric circulation anomalies accompanied with stronger (weaker) convection are consistent with those of less (more) April precipitation anomalies in Shandong. Therefore, the convection anomaly over the tropics in December may be an important indicator for April precipitation in Shandong.     

电感耦合等离子体发射光谱法测定工业硅中微量元素

采用电感耦合等离子体发射光谱法同时测定工业硅中可能存在的铝、铁、钙、镁、钾、钠、磷、钡、铍、镉、铈、钴、铬、铜、锂、锰、钼、镍、铅、钛、钒、钨、锌、砷、锶、铼、锑、硼28个微量元素,并以差减法计算基体硅的含量,实现了对试样基体及杂质元素含量的同时测定。方法对28个微量元素的回收率为94.0%～103.4%,精密度(RSD,n=10)低于3.0%。方法经国家实物标准物质验证,测定值与标准值基本相符。     

河南光山县千鹅冲铜钼多金属矿床地质特征及成因浅析

河南光山县千鹅冲铜钼多金属矿床是新发生的一个隐伏矿床。通过对区域地质背景矿区地质特征以及矿床特征等分析与研究,认为铜钼矿床为深部隐伏岩钟斑岩体。外接触带铜钼多金属矿床。矿体主要赋存于隐伏岩体顶上带中,矿床规模与隐伏（斑）岩体或隐伏（斑）岩体上方岩钟（成矿母岩）、隐伏岩体顶上带（赋矿围岩）及区域性断裂构造等密切相关。该矿床的发现对该成矿区带找矿隐伏有现实指导意义。     

车载移动测量系统方位角对比与分析

方位计算对移动测量计算具有重要的意义,本文通过移动测量系统的实测数据,分别在静态环境与动态环境下比较车载移动测量系统的惯性测量单元（IMU）、双天线及轨迹拟合方位角。结果表明：在静态环境下,双天线方位角精度高于IMU方位角的精度;在动态环境下,IMU方位角与拟合方位角在直线段处的表现较好,而在转弯处,双天线方位角的绝对精度更高。     

Implementing statistical fitting and reliability analysis for geotechnical engineering problems in R

Reliability analysis and multivariate statistical fitting are valuable techniques that enhance the scientific basis of regulatory decisions in geotechnical problems. This study introduces the use of several R packages specifically developed to assist risk assessors in their geotechnical projects. Firstly, the fitting of parameterised models either to the distribution of observed samples or to characterise the dependence structures among variables, or both is presented. Secondly, the most popular reliability analysis methods, such as the first- and second-order reliability methods and the random sampling simulation method, are implemented in R. The efficiency of implementing these classical approximation methods is demonstrated through two example problems.     

无偏灰色模型和Origin拟合函数在变形监测预报中的对比应用

针对灰色模型的固有缺陷,通过白化方程与灰微分方程之间的参数变换实现了三类灰色模型的无偏性。通过3个实例对比分析了无偏灰色模型和Origin拟合函数在变形监测预报中的应用效果,结果表明,在“少数据建模”情况下,无偏灰色模型拟合预测精度与Origin拟合函数相当;当建模数据较多时,则不及Origin拟合函数。无偏灰色模型建模原理简单,可用于处理小样本变形监测数据。Origin拟合函数不需要考虑数据量和变形监测时间间隔,可用于处理变形监测数据。     

华北地区2009~2013年地下物质密度变化及其地壳运动含义

基于华北地区2009~2013年半年尺度重力复测资料,利用扣除半年和年周期获得的重力年变率反演计算华北地区地下物质密度变化。结果显示,华北地区总体上呈现东、西两侧的山西地区和渤海湾盆地为负变化,中间地带的华北平原表现为正变化,揭示了华北平原中下地壳因两侧膨胀和岩石圈热物质上涌而使物质处于压缩状态。     

基于改进小波神经网络的GPS高程拟合研究

针对小波神经网络存在的局限性,采用粒子群算法对小波神经网络进行优化,并在此基础上建立GPS高程异常值的拟合模型.为了避免粒子群算法陷入局部极小值和收敛速度慢等问题,采用惯性权重非线性递减和自适应学习因子相结合的策略对粒子群算法进行改进,从而提高模型的训练精度.以某矿区实测GPS数据为例,对所建模型的拟合性能进行验证.结...     

非均质边坡稳定性上限分析评价研究

边坡稳定性评价研究是土力学经典问题。为研究非均质边坡稳定性问题,以上限分析法为理论基础,建立非均质边坡分段对数螺旋线破坏机构。应用拟合多项式近似描述对数螺旋线,计算破坏机构外力功率和内能耗散率,应用设计的计算流程进行强度折减循环计算,使边坡逐步过渡至极限平衡状态,确定边坡安全系数。以某露天矿南帮边坡为工程背景,经过反复强度折减,最终确定安全系数,通过变换初值的方式验证计算流程的稳定性,应用严格Morgenstern-Price法验证计算结果的准确性。研究结果表明：该流程性能稳定,不受初始值影响。相比于严格Morgenstern-Price法,二者安全系数计算结果偏差小于5%,可充分满足工程实践要求。同时,上限分析法求得的最危险滑面满足速度分离关系,具有更强的工程参考价值。