气象装备信息管理系统的设计及应用

根据浙江省装备管理实际，设计完成了浙江省气象装备信息管理系统，实现了相关数据的统一和规范及信息交流、资源共享，提高了装备管理工作的科学化、自动化、规范化水平。     

超深防渗帷幕性质研究及设计优化

防渗帷幕在很多国家得到较广泛的应用 ,但深度超过 35m较少。防渗帷幕其施工目标参数控制难度大 ,而且深度增加导致难度更大。因此施工目标参数对施工影响起关键决定作用。究竟应如何确定合理的目标参数 ,即保证防渗帷幕的工程作用 ,又不会增加施工难度和工程造价 ?通过土力学基本理论分析 ,并针对各影响因素进行多工况比较计算 ,然后对比现行相关规程规范 ,提出保证降水帷幕发挥作用的施工参数     

土耳其贝帕扎里采集卤钻井三期工程井组布置的优化设计

土耳其贝帕扎里采集卤钻井三期工程的井组布置设计是在一、二期矿区内利用部分现有井场、现有采集卤管线的基础上,采用了更加优化的三井井组、五井井组、双通道平行井组及复杂井组。此设计减少了投资、缩短了基建周期、便于生产管理,使资源得到更合理的开发利用,增大了矿区现有产能,更大满足了加工厂对卤水的需要。全矿区共布置15个溶采单元,共包括25个井组采矿通道,垂直井29口,水平井23口。     

Argo floats revealing bimodality of large-scale mid-depth circulation in the North Atlantic

Analysis of Argo float trajectories at 1 000 m and temperature at 950 m in the North Atlantic between November 2003 and January 2005 demonstrates the existence of two different circulation modes with fast transition between them. Each mode has a pair of cyclonic - anticyclonic gyres. The difference is the location of the cyclonic gyre. The cyclonic gyre stretches from southeast to northwest in the first mode and from the southwest to the northeast in the second mode. The observed modes strongly affect the heat and salt transport in the North Atlantic. In particular, the second mode slows down the westward transport of the warm and saline water from the Mediterranean Sea.     

基于遗传算法的缓波型立管多目标集成优化

缓波型立管由于设计参数较多且优化目标之间相互影响,设计结果具有很大的不确定性。随着代理模型和智能优化算法的发展,针对缓波型立管的优化可以提出更好的解决方案。以提高力学性能和经济效益为优化目标,采用基于Kriging插值模型和NSGA-II算法的多目标优化策略,对考虑顶部浮体影响的深水缓波型立管进行动力响应分析,并开展线型—截面双目标优化集成设计和线型—浮筒三目标优化集成设计。将处于不同几何尺度的设计变量进行集成,旨在各目标存在相互竞争的情况下,与截面、浮筒设计形成有效互动以提高线型设计的总体性能。结果表明,Pareto最优解集可提供多个选择方案,以满足工程实际需要。将所选最优方案与初始设计进行对比,并以疲劳性能和成本估算作为优化的校核指标,取得了理想的优化效果。     

The Military Map of the United Kingdom and its Impact on Mapping in the Twentieth Century

Abstract

Considerable attention has been paid in the literature to the changing style of Ordnance Survey mapping in the twentieth century. However, little has been written about the origins of the characteristic appearance of the first multi-colour editions, other that the Ordnance Survey used a military edition that was already in production. The distinctive style grew out of the work of a committee established in 1892 by the War Office to consider future army requirements for a map of the UK. This paper explores the work of the committee and its long-term implications for the look of mapping in the twentieth century.     

河南省人工增雨飞机云微物理探测设计

人工增雨是一项研究型业务,飞机外场作业、探测是它的重点,只有根据一定目的方案设计下才能体现探测、作业资料的研究价值。根据河南省人工增雨作业、探测分析研究的需要并结合行业专项飞机探测,探讨了5种云微物理探测目的及相应飞机探测设计:1典型锋面云系垂直剖面结构探测;2降水性层状云垂直结构探测;3人工增雨催化作业效果检验飞行探测;4云中过冷水探测;5催化剂在云中的扩散及其物理响应的探测。以2013年3月25日飞机人工增雨探测为例,探讨了飞行探测人工增雨的催化作业效果检验。     

Flood frequency analysis of Turkey using L‐moments method

The index flood procedure coupled with the L‐moments method is applied to the annual flood peaks data taken at all stream‐gauging stations in Turkey having at least 15‐year‐long records. First, screening of the data is done based on the discordancy measure (D_i) in terms of the L‐moments. Homogeneity of the total geographical area of Turkey is tested using the L‐moments based heterogeneity measure, H, computed on 500 simulations generated using the four parameter Kappa distribution. The L‐moments analysis of the recorded annual flood peaks data at 543 gauged sites indicates that Turkey as a whole is hydrologically heterogeneous, and 45 of 543 gauged sites are discordant which are discarded from further analyses. The catchment areas of these 543 sites vary from 9·9 to 75121 km² and their mean annual peak floods vary from 1·72 to 3739·5 m³ s^?1. The probability distributions used in the analyses, whose parameters are computed by the L‐moments method are the general extreme values (GEV), generalized logistic (GLO), generalized normal (GNO), Pearson type III (PE3), generalized Pareto (GPA), and five‐parameter Wakeby (WAK). Based on the L‐moment ratio diagrams and the |Z_dist|‐statistic criteria, the GEV distribution is identified as the robust distribution for the study area (498 gauged sites). Hence, for estimation of flood magnitudes of various return periods in Turkey, a regional flood frequency relationship is developed using the GEV distribution. Next, the quantiles computed at all of 543 gauged sites by the GEV and the Wakeby distributions are compared with the observed values of the same probability based on two criteria, mean absolute relative error and determination coefficient. Results of these comparisons indicate that both distributions of GEV and Wakeby, whose parameters are computed by the L‐moments method, are adequate in predicting quantile estimates. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

最优子集回归方法在季节气候预测中的应用

利用DEMETER计划多个模式的模拟资料研究1959～2001年多模式集合预报的季节降水在中国区域的表现, 并结合最优子集回归(OSR)方法对中国区域的季节降水进行降尺度预报, 比较其与多模式集合预报的技巧。研究表明: 多个单模式在中国区域对季节降水的模拟性能普遍较差, 多元线性回归(MLR)集合的预报技巧不如集合平均(EM)。利用OSR方法进行降尺度预报可以极大改善中国区域季节降水的预报技巧。夏季, 降水距平相关系数(ACC)在长江以南、西藏以及内蒙古中部等地区提高很显著, ACC在中国区域的平均达到0.29, 明显高于多模式集合平均与多元线性回归集合。冬季, OSR方法可以改善多模式集合在中国北方地区较低的预报技巧。概率Brier技巧评分(BSS)也表明了OSR方法对季节降水预报的改善。需要说明的是, 虽然OSR方法在中国区域能明显提高季节降水的预报技巧, 但是其选取的预报因子与中国区域季节降水的物理机制问题仍有待于进一步的研究。     

均匀设计在紫球藻培养基优化中的应用

将均匀设计的方法应用于紫球藻 ( Porphyridium cruentum) 培养基的优化。在单因素实验的基础上,采用 U12(12 ×6) 均匀设计表对影响紫球藻生长显著的 4 种主要营养因素进行了优化,获得了以海水 3为 基 础 的 优 化 培 养 基 配 方 : NaHCO3: 2.755 g/L , NaNO3: 3.224 g/L , KH2PO : 0.035 g/L , VB12: 42.772 μg/L,VB1: 0.9 mg/L,Fe-EDTA: 0.11 mg/L,有效地提高了紫球藻的生物量产量和生长速率。