新疆入境旅游市场竞争态分析

提出旅游业市场竞争态模型，运用此模型可以定量分析、对比旅游市场的现实竞争状态，在此基础上，进行市场研究，确定本地区在旅游高超中的地位，明确现在和未来市场竞争的优势和劣势，为地区旅游业发展规划提供参考依据。应用这一模型，分析了新疆入境旅游的客源市场竞争态及省内各地区目的地市场竞争态。     

自重固结与土层的固结状态初探

介绍了沉积厚度与时问平方根和沉积厚度与时间呈直线关系、底面不排水时沉积过程中固结的Gibson理论解答以及不考虑沉积时固结作用、底面不排水时沉积后自重固结的Terzaphi理论解答，据此分析了上述两种沉积模式不同沉积速率时目前仍处于沉积过程的土层的固结状态，求算出了停止沉积后土层固结所需的最长时问，指出业已停止沉积数百年以上的土层一般不应处于欠固结状态。     

地裂缝灾害研究现状与展望

1927年美国首先发现地裂缝以来，各国学者对地裂缝的发生、发展进行了细致的研究。美国学者首先从地震研究入手，认为地裂缝的形成受构造因素影响。后逐渐加强研究地下水超采对地裂缝的影响，形成了构造与地下水开采复合成因观点。我国学者重点对汾渭地堑地裂缝成因问题进行了较系统的研究，提出几种成因机理模型，并用GIS技术建立简单的预测预报系统。文章在详细介绍国内、外对地裂缝成因机理和水文特性的研究以及预测、预报工作的同时，对今后研究趋势进行了展望。目前，地裂缝的研究正从以往的定性静态描述转向以过程为目标的精确定量动力学研究。利用相似材料模拟地裂缝的形成与发展，以非线性理论（如分形）对地裂缝系统进行定量的数学描述，建立准确的预测、预报模型（如人工神经网络模型），并与GIS相结合，建立完善的预测、预报系统，减少地裂缝灾害对环境的影响，进而对它加以利用，是今后地裂缝研究的主要方向。     

乙醇增强—电感耦合等离子体质谱法直接测定地质样品中碲

建立了HF—HN03密封酸溶以及Na2O2熔融处理样品，乙醇增强灵敏度，电感耦合等离子体质谱直接测定地质样品中微量和超痕量碲的方法。样品溶液中加入乙醇(φ＝4％)，在0．85L/min的载气流速下，碲信号可增强2．5倍以上。碲的方法检出限(100，DF＝1000)为0．02μg/g。用土壤和水系沉积物国家一级标准物质验证了方法的准确度，标准物质的绝大多数分析结果与标准值的误差在允许范围内。分析了大洋多金属结核样品及深海沉积物样品中的微量碲，结果与其他方法相符，精密度试验RSD(n＝3)＜10％。     

A critical state interpretation for the cyclic liquefaction resistance of silty sands

Contrary to many laboratory investigations, common empirical correlations from in situ tests consider that the increase in the percentage of fines leads to an increase of the cyclic liquefaction resistance of sands. This paper draws upon the integrated Critical State Soil Mechanics framework in order to study this seemingly not univocal effect. Firstly the effect of fines on the Critical State Line (CSL) is studied through a statistical analysis of a large data set of published monotonic triaxial tests. The results show that increasing the content of non-plastic fines practically leads to a clockwise rotation of the CSL in (e–ln p) space. The implication of this effect on cyclic liquefaction resistance is subsequently evaluated with the aid of a properly calibrated critical state elasto-plastic constitutive model, as well as a large number of published experimental results and in situ empirical correlations. Both sets of data show clearly that a fines content, less than about 30% by weight, may prove beneficial at relatively small effective stresses (p₀<50–70 kPa), such as the in situ stresses prevailing in most liquefaction case studies, and detrimental at larger confining stresses, i.e. the stresses usually considered in laboratory tests. To the extent of these findings, a correction factor is proposed for the practical evaluation of liquefaction resistance in terms of the fines content and the mean effective confining stress.     

He and Ne isotopes in oceanic crust: implications for noble gas recycling in the mantle

In an attempt to determine the helium and neon isotopic composition of the lower oceanic crust, we report new noble gas measurements on 11 million year old gabbros from Ocean Drilling Program site 735B in the Indian Ocean. The nine whole rock samples analyzed came from 20 to 500 m depth below the seafloor. Helium contents vary from 3.3×10⁻¹⁰ to 2.5×10⁻⁷ ccSTP/g by crushing and from 5.4×10⁻⁸ to 2.4×10⁻⁷ ccSTP/g by melting. ³He/⁴He ratios vary between 2.2 and 8.6 Ra by crushing and between 2.9 and 8.2 by melting. The highest R/Ra ratios are similar to the mean mid-ocean ridge basalt (MORB) ratio of 8±1. The lower values are attributed to radiogenic helium from in situ α-particle production during uranium and thorium decay. Neon isotopic ratios are similar to atmospheric ratios, reflecting a significant seawater circulation in the upper 500 m of exposed crust at this site. MORB-like neon, with elevated ²⁰Ne/²²Ne and ²¹Ne/²²Ne ratios, was found in some high temperature steps of heating experiments, but with very small anomalies compared to air. These first results from the lower oceanic crust indicate that subducted lower oceanic crust has an atmospheric ²⁰Ne/²²Ne ratio. Most of this neon must be removed during the subduction process, if the ocean crust is to be recirculated in the upper mantle, otherwise this atmospheric neon will overwhelm the upper mantle neon budget. Similarly, the high (U+Th)/³He ratio of these crustal gabbros will generate very radiogenic ⁴He/³He ratios on a 100 Ma time scale, so lower oceanic crust cannot be recycled into either MORB or oceanic island basalt without some form of processing.     

动态定位自适应滤波解的性质

自适应抗差滤波具有控制观测异常及状态方程信息异常干扰的能力。着重研究自适应滤波解的性质。首先推导了动态自适应滤波与经典Kalman滤波解的解差，继而给出了状态向量估值的数学期望和均方误差，并分析了在自适应因子调控下解的偏差和均方误差的变化规律。由状态解向量的数学期望和均方误差的表达式可以看出，自适应因子能够控制状态异常对状态估值和均方误差的影响。     

多因素复杂系统最佳因素权重确定的一种新思路——以深港西部通道工程深圳湾公路大桥为例

为了客观地反映各因素对目标问题的影响程度,本文首次提出了最佳因素权重概念。定义最佳因素权重为研究区域内系统质量处于极限状态时的各因素权重之组合。结合深港西部通道工程深圳湾公路大桥桥址比选方案,详细说明了本方法的研究思路及其确定方法。通过最佳因素权重方法,能客观地、定量地确定出多因素复杂系统中的最优场址。     

重塑非饱和粘土抗剪强度参数与饱和度的关系研究

土的饱和度是基于水分状态和密度状态的一个衍生变量。存在因应水分状态变化和因应密度状态变化的两类饱和度变化过程。根据23组不同水分状态和密度状态的UU三轴压缩试验结果,讨论了重塑非饱和粘性土抗剪强度参数与饱和度的关系。数据分析表明:粘聚力与水分状态相关的饱和度的关系是强非线性的,与密度状态相关的饱和度的关系是准线性的。内摩擦角与水分状态相关的饱和度的关系是强非线性的,与密度状态相关的饱和度的关系是弱非线性的。