基于SuperMap GIS的道路网络特征分析

道路网络特征分析是进行交通网络分析的基础,本文基于SuperMap GIS分析了道路网络特征,其中包括网络统计特征、网络中心性等网络特征,并以北京市道路网络数据为例进行了实验分析,实验结果表明SuperMapGIS是研究道路网络特征分析的重要计算平台。     

Research Note: Neighborhoods as Territorial Units: The Case of Tel Aviv-Jaffa

This paper suggests a GIS-based methodology for the investigation of the extent to which the inhabitants of a representative sample of city residents perceives itself as living in socially constituted neighborhood territories. We ask residents about the relevancy of the neighborhood as a social unit and to delineate their neighborhood boundaries. We then define these delineations as polygons in GIS, measuring the tendency of neighbors to define merging territorial bases for their neighborhoods. Three possible patterns are identified: (1) lack of perceived boundaries resulting from the irrelevancy of the neighborhood, (2) personal senses of localities that do not merge into communal territories by immediate neighbors—in this case we conclude that residents experience some sense of locality but they do not share any common sense of neighborhood—and (3) the tendency of residents' delineations to merge with those of their neighbors demonstrating, by thus, the social constitution of communal sense of neighborhood. We conclude that in most of the city the neighborhood is marginally relevant with only several areas, located in the outer ring of the city, presenting a coherent territorial sense of neighborhood.     

The Fate of Inner Suburbs: Evidence From Metropolitan Baltimore

This paper analyzes the transformation of Baltimore's inner suburbs from 1980 to 2000. After developing a geographic definition of inner suburbs, we then spatially analyze them using census place-level data. The analysis shows evidence of socioeconomic decline in Baltimore's inner suburbs, but the extent of this decline varies among these suburbs. Since 1980, many declining inner suburbs had difficulty attracting new residents, White flight was the prevailing trend, and the housing stock was outdated relative to the outer suburbs. The analysis suggests three major influences on decline among the inner suburbs of Baltimore: labor market restructuring, the nature of the local housing market, and income and racial segregation. This paper concludes with a classification of Baltimore's inner suburbs based on our understanding of the processes of suburban decline in the region.     

时空一体化框架下时空异常探测

：提出一种时空一体化的时空异常探测方法,首先基于时空统计学与聚类分析构建一体化时空邻近域。进而, 发展兼顾时空相关与异质性的时空异常度量方法。最后,采用一种3步骤的策略探测时空异常。应用本文方法探测中国 陆地区域33年(1970年—2002年)的年平均气温时空数据中的时空异常,探测结果具有较好的可靠性,反映时空数据的时 空一体化特征。同时,对时空异常的产生机理与实际意义进行分析和解释。     

多种空间检验方法在不同分辨率模式降水预报评估中的应用

利用单一的客观评估方法并不能有效揭示预报误差来源。利用逐小时5 km格点融合降水产品,本研究使用了多种客观评估方法综合评估了南京大学2016年夏季汛期试验4 km与12 km WRF模式。整体上,两种分辨率都能成功地预报主雨带,4 km WRF在午后对流及复杂地形预报上更优。比较了各类客观评估方法,邻域法显示4 km WRF预报准确性更高,但对于强降水(≥13 mm·(6 h)^-1),两种模式预报的空间误差都较大。尺度分离法显示,对于小尺度系统,4 km WRF能较好再现对流但存在较大位置误差,而12 km WRF则漏报。MODE法(Method for Object-based Diagnostic Evaluation)显示4 km WRF在对象强度预报上更接近观测,但强度和范围偏大,导致华南偏强,而范围偏小造成江淮偏弱,12 km WRF低估主要是漏报。不同评估方法能清晰展示4 km WRF和12 km WRF预报误差的差异,为后续模式改进提供了重要参考。     

基于邻域最优概率的GRAPES快速更新循环同化预报系统逐时降水订正方法

针对高分辨率数值天气预报的时空不确定性, 利用邻域最优概率方法对华南区域GRAPES快速更新循环同化预报系统的24 h预报进行逐时降水订正和检验评估。结果表明: (1)邻域法能改善模式降水预报的空间不确定性, 最优邻域半径随降水等级增加而减小, 强降水的最优邻域半径约为60 km; (2)通过引入时间滞后因子, 可进一步改善模式不同时间起报的不确定性, 结合Brier评分确定了时间滞后窗为4 h; (3)提出基于邻域最优概率阈值的降雨进行分级订正方法, 有效提升了降水客观预报能力, 晴雨预报较模式全部为正技巧, TS评分达到0.89以上, 总体提升幅度约5.3%;强降水预报同样均为正技巧, TS评分呈先降后升趋势, 在12 h时效前后预报效果最优, 进一步提升了GRAPES快速更新循环同化预报系统的业务预报水平。      

基于新型分层邻域阈值搜索法提高水下潜器重力匹配导航的匹配效率

本文开展了水下潜器重力匹配导航的匹配效率改善研究.第一,为克服传统TERCOM算法逐点遍历搜索效率较低的缺点,提出新型分层邻域阈值搜索法.其原理如下:首先,利用4格网间隔数进行粗搜索匹配;其次,为提高初始匹配点的选取标准设置4mGal阈值(基准图上重力值与实测重力值之差),对选取的若干粗搜索行最佳匹配点周围24邻域点进行取舍并匹配比较;最后,获得搜索范围内最佳匹配点.第二,综合考虑了重力场标准差、峰度系数、坡度标准差、粗糙度、信息熵等重力场主要特征参数,将其作为适配区优劣的分析依据.第三,在适配性良好的区域内,在保证水下导航精度的前提下,基于分层邻域阈值搜索法,以本文参数设置为例,水下潜器重力匹配导航的匹配效率提高约14.14倍.     

基于邻域约束聚类的地球化学异常提取

通过分析地球化学数据的元素值属性和空间位置,提出一种基于邻域约束聚类的方法,使用该方法对地球化学元素聚类后,能提取矩形、环状、半环状等特殊形状,进而提取地球化学异常。选取河南崤山地区2个实验区的地球化学数据进行实验,实验一的结果表明,出现矩形的位置与已知钨矿矿点位置一致;实验二的结果表明,出现环形的位置与已知铜矿矿点位置一致。实验证明了基于邻域约束聚类的方法在提取地球化学异常方面的有效性。     

韩国公寓更新中的居住形式与居民政治倾向关系研究

韩国首尔江南区是富有中产阶层主要聚集区,是政府主导、公众参与的城市空间变化的典型。在韩国,房地产政策是韩国各党派政府维护执政合法性的主要手段,城市更新与公寓重建是提高房价的重要手段,并对不同社会阶层的居住和生活产生不同影响。公寓重建是韩国阶层、党派之间尖锐政治斗争的对象。首尔江南区住民基于自身阶级身份与利益组成利益共同体,参与推动或阻碍公寓重建的活动。每四年一度的国会议员选举中,江南区呈现按住房价格而选择政党的阶级投票的规律。江南区案例表明虽然政府主导了江南区的城市更新与公寓重建,但当重建侵犯到地区住民的利益时,住民社会驱动力随时出现,并以选票形式对其进行反向干预。因此韩国社会团体与政府的互动塑造了江南区特有的阶层分化与住房分布形式。     

A hybrid ensemble method for improved prediction of slope stability

Accurate prediction of slope stability is a significant issue in geomechanics with many artificial intelligence (AI) techniques being utilised. However, the application of AI has not reached its full potential because of the lack of more robust algorithms. In this paper, we proposed a hybrid ensemble method for the improved prediction of slope stability using classifier ensembles and genetic algorithm. Gaussian process classification, quadratic discriminant analysis, support vector machine, artificial neural networks, adaptive boosted decision trees, and k‐nearest neighbours were chosen to be individual AI techniques, and the weighted majority voting was used as the combination method. Validation method was chosen to be the 10‐fold cross‐validation, and performance measures were selected to be the accuracy, the receiver operating characteristic curve, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Grid search and genetic algorithm were used for the hyperparameter tuning and weight tuning respectively. The results show that the proposed hybrid ensemble method has great potential in improving the prediction of slope stability. Compared with individual classifiers, the optimum ensemble classifier achieved the highest AUC value (0.943) and the highest accuracy (0.902) on the testing set, denoting that the predictive performance has been improved. The optimum ensemble classifier with the Youden's cut‐off was recommended for slope stability prediction with respect to the AUC value, the accuracy, the true positive rate, and the true negative rate. This research indicates that the use of the classifier ensembles, rather than the search for the ideal individual classifiers, might help for the slope stability prediction.