Crustal seismic velocity in the Marche region (Central Italy): computation of a minimum 1-D model with seismic station corrections

A 1-D velocity model for the Marche region (Central Italy) was computed by inverting P- and S-wave arrival times of local earthquakes. A total of 160 seismic events with a minimum of ten observations, a travel time residual ≤0.8 s and an azimuthal gap lower than 180° have been selected. This “minimum 1-D velocity model” is complemented by station corrections, which can be used to take into account possible near-surface velocity heterogeneities beneath each station. Using this new P-wave velocity model and the program HYPOELLIPSE (Lahr 1999), the selected local events were relocated. Earthquake locations in this study are of higher quality with respect to the original ones. The obtained minimum 1-D velocity model can be used to improve the routine earthquake locations and represents a further step towards more detailed seismotectonic studies of the area.     

Quantitative assessment on the influence of heavy rainfall on the crystalline schist landslide by monitoring system -case study on Zentoku landslide, Japan

On Shikoku Island, which is one of the four main islands of Japan, a large number of large-scale crystalline schist landslides have been revealed and are being monitored by an observation system. Seasonal heavy rainfall is the most active meteorological factor that can threaten the stability of this kind of site-specific landslide. In this paper, on the basis of the study of the rainfall-related behavior of a typical crystalline schist landslide, the Zentoku landslide, by analyzing the precisely and continuously observed piezometric and movement data, a method was developed to quantitatively assess the effect of heavy rainfall on a large-scale landslide. The results indicated that heavy rainfall-induced landslide displacement shows good correlation with the variation of groundwater levels. Variations of groundwater level have been simulated with the use of a tank model. The simulation using this model permits the change in water levels for future rainfall events to be predicted. By combining the predicted results with the empirical relation between displacements and water levels, rainfall-induced landslide movement during extreme rainfall events can be estimated in advance. The effect of heavy rainfall on sliding behavior can be quantified in terms of the change in displacement. Thus warning information or advisories for the local residents can be provided.     

The Potential of Fuzzy Multi-objective Model for Rainfall Forecasting from Typhoons

This study applies the fuzzy multi-objective approach to forecast short-term (around 24 h) typhoon rainfall, which can be implemented without much background meteorological knowledge. The physical characteristics of 40 typhoons, including route, central pressure, central velocity and cyclonic radius, were used as the data set. The fuzzy multi-objective method mined information from the database to forecast both the depth and pattern of rainfall, which were then combined to estimate a cumulative rainfall curve. The results of calibration with reference to 40 historical typhoon events and the results of validation using another five typhoon events indicate that the proposed model has the potential to forecast short-term cumulative rainfall curves if more variables can be included and more historical typhoon events can be collected to enlarge the database.     

颗粒大小对颗粒材料力学行为影响初探

利用一种特殊颗粒材料-玻璃珠进行了一系列室内直剪试验,研究颗粒大小对颗粒材料力学行为的影响。试验一共考虑了3条近乎平行的级配曲线和4种颗粒摩擦情况：干燥状态、水浸润状态、水淹没状态和油浸润状态。试验结果表明,颗粒大小对颗粒材料的力学行为有显著影响,剪胀性随着粒径的增大而增强。为考虑颗粒大小对剪胀性的影响,提出了一种新的剪胀关系式。在该剪胀关系式中,剪胀系数为依赖于颗粒大小和颗粒摩擦等颗粒基本性质的变量。试验研究同时表明临界状态摩擦角随着颗粒大小的增加而增加。此外,从颗粒细观运动的角度提出了颗粒滑动的功能模型,推导出了功能方程,并以此揭示了颗粒大小对临界状态摩擦角影响的细观机制。     

西秦岭岷-礼成矿带岩浆活动与金矿成矿模式探讨

岷-礼成矿带发现较多大型金矿,同时在岩体内发现斑岩型钼矿。金矿床矿石中除有低温矿物外,还有黄铜矿、白钨矿等中-高温矿物,白钨矿在寨上金矿中是载金矿物之一;钼矿中也有黄铜矿、白钨矿矿物;金、钼、钨矿化分带有一定空间关系;金矿床地球化学、稳定同位素、放射性同位素和流体包裹体的研究表明成矿物质,成矿流体有深源特征;中川岩体群的岩石学、年代学、岩石化学、微量元素、稀土元素特征表明岩体为复式岩体,具有壳幔混源特征;据此建立成矿带内受印支-燕山期岩浆活动控制的金矿成矿模式。     

基于HMM双重模型的伽马能谱漂移模拟

结合放射性测量中的能谱统计特性及漂移特点,提出了采用hidden Markov models对能谱漂移进行模拟的双重模型方法。采用Gaussian mixture model对能谱的短时瞬态特性进行描述,转化为参数化模型;采用HMM状态转移对能谱测量中的能谱漂移条件进行模拟,实现Gaussian mixture model的参数调整。实例表明,该方法可以灵活地调整参数以满足能谱漂移模拟的多样性要求,是一种性能良好的参数化模拟方法。     

ANSYS软件中修正剑桥模型的二次开发

ANSYS软件具有很强的非线性计算功能和前、后处理能力,是目前世界上最强大的通用分析程序之一。标准ANSYS程序中包含众多的材料本构模型,但尚缺少岩土工程数值计算中常用的修正剑桥模型。为扩展ANSYS在岩土工程领域的计算能力,利用二次开发工具UPFs和数据接口将修正剑桥模型连接到标准ANSYS程序中。二次开发的核心是本构模型子程序UMAT.F的编制。子程序的编写一方面要符合修正剑桥模型的本构关系式和弹塑性有限元计算的特点;另一方面变量名和输入输出格式必须和标准ANSYS程序一致。对二次开发后的ANSYS程序进行了典型算例的验证。结果表明,在ANSYS中加入修正剑桥模型的方法是可行的,可推广到ANSYS对于其他材料本构模型的二次开发中。     

基于不规则三角形网格和有限体积法的物理性流域水文模型

传统的栅格离散方式不能很好反映流域水文过程的边界特征,且难以实现流域水文过程的多尺度模拟.采用有限体积法构建了基于不规则三角形网格的物理性水文模型,将物理性描述的偏微分方程组在控制体积内积分得到空间半离散的常微分方程组,保证数值求解中的水量平衡,并可与概念性描述部分水文过程(如截留、填洼等)的常微分方程组更好地耦合;建立了数值求解方案,采用Triangle对计算区域进行离散,并在沁河上游流域进行了验证,结果表明模型具有较高的模拟精度和良好的应用前景.     

层次分析-多级模糊评判法在贵州普晴锑(金)矿区综合信息成矿预测中的应用

因综合信息成矿预测涉及的控矿因子较多,各度量指标间具有一定的层次性,有些定性指标还具有模糊性特征,高精度和定量化一直是制约其发展的难题。为了实现对研究程度较低的新矿区的成矿预测,并解决上述难题,本文试图将专家的主观判断与精确的数学运算巧妙地融合,将复杂问题及定性指标定量化,使评价过程和评判结果更具客观性,建立一种层次分析-多级模糊评价的成矿预测模型。以贵州大厂锑(金)矿田普晴矿区为例,选取地质、化探和遥感多元致矿信息,基于GIS平台,建立了层次分析-多级模糊评判的综合信息成矿预测模型,最终圈定出锑(金)矿远景区18个,其中Ⅰ、Ⅱ和III级远景区分别有4个、5个和9个。根据勘查验证,预测结果较为客观有效。