Rainfall-induced landslide susceptibility assessment at the Chongren area (China) using frequency ratio,certainty factor,and index of entropy

The main objective of the study was to evaluate and compare the overall performance of three methods, frequency ratio (FR), certainty factor (CF) and index of entropy (IOE), for rainfall-induced landslide susceptibility mapping at the Chongren area (China) using geographic information system and remote sensing. First, a landslide inventory map for the study area was constructed from field surveys and interpretations of aerial photographs. Second, 15 landslide-related factors such as elevation, slope, aspect, plan curvature, profile curvature, stream power index, sediment transport index, topographic wetness index, distance to faults, distance to rivers, distance to roads, landuse, NDVI, lithology and rainfall were prepared for the landslide susceptibility modelling. Using these data, three landslide susceptibility models were constructed using FR, CF and IOE. Finally, these models were validated and compared using known landslide locations and the receiver operating characteristics curve. The result shows that all the models perform well on both the training and validation data. The area under the curve showed that the goodness-of-fit with the training data is 79.12, 80.34 and 80.42% for FR, CF and IOE whereas the prediction power is 80.14, 81.58 and 81.73%, for FR, CF and IOE, respectively. The result of this study may be useful for local government management and land use planning.     

A method for assessing generalized data accuracy with linear object resolution verification

The article is composed of two sections. In the first section, the authors describe the application of minimum line dimensions which are dependent on line shape, width and the operational scale of the map. The proposed solutions are based on the Euclidean metric space, for which the minimum dimensions of Saliszczew’s elementary triangle (Elementary triangle – is the term pertaining to model, standard triangle of least dimensions securing recognizability of a line. Its dimensions depend on scale of the map and width of the line representing it. The use of a triangle in the simplification process is as follows: triangles with sides (sections) on an arbitrary line and bases (completing the sides) are compared with lengths of the shorter side and the base of the elementary triangle.) were adapted. The second part of the article describes an application of minimum line dimensions for verifying and assessing generalized data. The authors also propose a method for determining drawing line resolution to evaluate the accuracy of algorithm simplification. Taking advantage of the proposed method, well-known simplification algorithms were compared on the basis of qualitative and quantitative evaluation. Moreover, corresponding with the methods of simplified data accuracy assessment the authors have extended these solutions with the rejected data. This procedure has allowed the identification of map areas where graphic conflicts occurred.     

基于最小距离法的面向对象遥感影像分类

主要介绍了集成基于对象的影像分析与最小距离分类方法的原理,采用中卫市World ViewⅡ影像进行土地覆盖分类研究,并将分类结果与传统的基于像元的最小距离分类结果进行对比。目视解译与定量评价均表明:基于对象方法的各项指标更优越,总体精度由0.85提高到0.87,Kappa系数由0.81提高到0.84。因此,对于高分辨率遥感影像,集成最小距离分类器,基于对象的信息提取方法要优于基于像元方法,分类结果精度更高。     

基于集合预报系统的日最高和最低气温预报

根据欧洲中心集合预报系统2 m气温预报的集合统计值,提出了BP-SM方法,针对中国512个台站2016年3月的日最高（低）气温做预报分析。将集合预报系统的模式直接输出、BP和BP-SM方法得到的日最高（低）气温进行了比较,结果表明:预报时效越长,BP-SM方法较之BP方法的预报优势也更明显;在1至5 d的预报中,BP-SM方法显著降低了预报绝对误差,误差在2℃以内的准确率大部分在60%以上,部分站点达到90%;正技巧评分均值大多高于30%,在青藏高原东部和南部地区超过了60%。预报正技巧站点次数在绝对误差≤2℃（1℃）范围内有所提高,对日最高气温预报准确率的提高略好于日最低气温;BP-SM方法有效地降低了预报系统偏差,较大预报误差出现次数显著减少。      

应用最大熵方法改进杨赤中负权系数

杨赤中插值法数学模型在解算权系数时存在负权现象,文中初步分析了负权的分布规律,增设非负约束条件,利用最大熵原理分析模型系统对空间权重系数的依赖度,研究消除格网DEM插值的负权问题。通过MATLAB编程验证算法的正确性、准确性,并与二次规划法进行比较。对比显示最大熵法解得权系数大小比例与点位关系相适应,且其估值精度优于二次规划法。     

Relativistic Information Entropy on Uncertainty Analysis

- in this paper, a new approach to relativistic information entropy is used to assess some relative uncertainties in structural reliability assessment. This approach is composed of the information theory and the relativistic theory, and can be used to measure the relativity of parameter uncertainty and system uncertainty in structural reliability theory based on the same generalized relativistic reference system. Therefore, the structural reliability assessment can be assessed reasonably by the approach.     

灰色系统灾变预报方法在风暴潮预报中的应用

本文把灰色系统灾变预报方法应用到风暴潮预报中，对逐年最大风暴潮增水资料确定一个阈值ξ，对于年最大风暴潮位资料大于阈值ξ的年份组成一个序列，用一阶线性模型GM（1，1）预报风暴潮灾的出现年份，结果表明：用GM（1，1）模型可较好地预报风暴潮灾的出现年份。     

Fine-scale vertical distribution of coastal and offshore copepods in the Golfo de Arauco, central Chile, during the upwelling season

In order to understand the mechanism by which zooplankters from different origins co-occur during the upwelling season within Golfo de Arauco, one of the most productive areas in central Chile, we assessed short term variations in the vertical distribution of the most abundant copepod species. Fine-scale, day and night vertical zooplankton sampling was done with a pump over 12 days in summer. The water column in the gulf consisted of three layers: Equatorial Subsurface Water of low dissolved oxygen content in the deeper part of the water column, strong temperature and oxygen gradients at mid-depth (15-25 m), and a layer of warmer, more oxygenated, less saline water at the surface. Copepods within the gulf originated from offshore, from the continental shelf, and from the coastal area. Most taxa showed distinctive vertical distributions. Three copepod groups were identified by their mean weighted depths of residence. One group included shallow residents found above the thermocline/oxycline (Acartia tonsa, Centropages brachiatus, Corycaeus sp., Paracalanus parvus, Oncaea sp.). A second group was comprised by species distributed at or below the thermocline/oxycline (Oithona sp., Oncaea conifera, Lucicutia sp., Metridia sp., Heterorhabdus papilliger). The third group was composed of vertical migrators that crossed the thermocline/oxycline (Calanus chilensis, Calanoides patagoniensis, Aetideus armatus, Pleuromamma piseki). In spite of their different vertical distribution ranges, the most abundant and frequent copepod species (P. parvus, C. chilensis, C. patagoniensis, C. brachiatus) share a common capacity to withstand wide ranges of oxygen concentration and temperature. This characteristic, along with the capacity to vary their life strategies under different environmental conditions, seems to facilitate the maintenance of large numbers of copepods in coastal waters along the Humboldt Current.     

超熵产生与海雾生消之初探

本文以近海面低层大气为研究对象，以质量守恒，能量守恒及区域熵的Ｇｌｂｂｓ关系为基础，在文献［１］［２］的基础上，导出了一个适于描述海雾生消过程的熵平衡方程，并通个例进行了计算分析。