Crime in Urban Post-Disaster Environments: A Methodological Framework from New Orleans

This paper considers the interrelationship between residential occupancy status, blight, and crime. An analytical frame is provided for a fine-scale analysis that is sufficiently flexible to capture both spatial and temporal dynamism in field-collected data. Unlike other works linking crime to evidence of disorder within neighborhoods, this paper considers this relationship in terms of neighborhoods affected by an external event (natural disaster), which results in more dynamic spatial and temporal patterns as the neighborhood is in a state of flux. As a result, new means of data collection and analysis are required, as any fine-scale relationship is longitudinal as well as cross sectional. The focus here is on the interrelationship of post-disaster residential occupancy, building conditions, and crime incidence for the Holy Cross neighborhood of New Orleans as it recovers from Hurricane Katrina. Results suggest that crime is inversely related to the amount of activity on a recovering street.     

Landslide susceptibility assessment using three bivariate models considering the new topo-hydrological factor: HAND

Abstract

The main objective of this study is to assess the relative contribution of the state-of-the-art topo-hydrological factor, known as height above the nearest drainage (HAND), to landslide susceptibility modellling using three novel statistical models: weights-of-evidence (WofE), index of entropy and certainty factor. In total, 12 landslide conditioning factors that affect the landslide incidence were used as input to the models in the Ziarat Watershed, Golestan Province, Iran. Landslide inventory was randomly divided into a ratio of 70:30 for training and validating the results of the models. The optimum combination of conditioning factors was identified using the principal components analysis (PCA) method. The results demonstrated that HAND is the defining factor among hydrological and topographical factors in the study area. Additionally, the WofE model had the highest prediction capability (AUPRC = 74.31%). Therefore, HAND was found to be a promising factor for landslide susceptibility mapping.     

遇水膨胀隔离器在水文地质孔止水中应用

为克服海带、胶皮等止水膨胀材料,在下入孔内时容易被井壁磨挂、移位,致使止水效果欠佳的缺点,采用了将遇水膨胀橡胶做成隔离止水器的方法。该隔离器由套管短节、膨胀材料和防护挡圈三部分组成。套管短节为隔离器主体管,膨胀材料为遇水膨胀橡胶,用于封闭套管底部与孔壁间隙;防护挡圈是防止下管时,膨胀材料被磨损和限位。应用表明,该隔离器不仅克服了传统膨胀材料容易被磨挂的缺点,而且简化了钻孔结构,提高了钻进效率,止水效果好,为今后在条件复杂地层中施工水文地质孔的止水工作提供了借鉴。     

地磁匹配导航中几项关键技术研究

地磁匹配导航的实质是数字地图的匹配.地磁数据库的精度和地磁适配区的选择是地磁匹配导航中的2项关键技术.文中把克吕格插值算法引入到地磁图的重构中,仿真结果表明了其有效性;同时把熵选择法和统计特征法引入到地磁适配区的选择中,通过仿真结果对2种方法进行比较,结果表明,熵选择法综合效果更好,更适合于在实际中应用.     

利用目标点最小生成树的路面裂缝检测

分析路面裂缝的成像特点,提出了一种基于目标点最小生成树的路面裂缝检测方法。最小生成树具有描述空间线性聚集特征的优点,有利于实现对裂缝的全局分析和提取。实验结果表明,对不连续裂缝的处理,本文方法优于传统方法。     

Regional Temperature Forecast for the Next Day in Hong Kong

For a century or so, the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) has been providing temperature forecast for the whole of Hong Kong with the HKO Headquarters as the reference location. In recent decades, due to spreading of population from the main urban center to satellite towns, there is an increasing demand for regional temperature forecasts. To support such provision, the HKO has developed a regression model to provide objective guidance to forecasters in formulating forecasts of maximum and minimum temperatures for the next day at various locations in Hong Kong. In this paper, the regression model is presented, together with the assessment of its performance. Based on the verification of one year of forecasts, it is found that the root mean square errors (RMSEs) of maximum (minimum) temperature forecasts are from about 1.3 to 2.1 (1.1 to 1.4) degrees, respectively. The regression model is shown to have generally out-performed the operational regional spectral model then operated by HKO. Regional temperature forecast methods of other meteorological or research centers are also surveyed. Equipped with the regression model, the HKO has launched an online regional temperature forecast service for the next day in Hong Kong since March 2008.     

新疆地区地震目录最小完整性震级和台网科学布局研究

地震目录的最小完整性震级M.是地震学中最基础、最重要的研究内容之一,也是地震观测台网效能评估的关键.本文对构造活动剧烈、地震活动水平高、台站地理分布复杂的新疆地区开展M研究,试图为该地区的地震危险性评估和台站科学布局等研究提供参考资料.基于新疆地震台网发展的5个阶段划分,采用基于G-R关系的交互式分析方法,研究了M.的...     

攀西地区月降水时序非线性特性分析

在介绍相空间重构理论的基础上,以攀西地区4个站点47 a的月降水时间序列为例,研究了该地月降水时间序列的非线性特性。首先,运用定量的G-P关联维方法,探讨了非线性分析的主要定量指标,具体而言有,饱和关联维数D2和柯尔莫哥诺夫熵,计算表明攀西月降水时间序列具有一定的非线性混沌特性。其次,结合定性的功率谱分析方法,进一步验证了攀西月降水时序具有非线性特性。除此之外还应用Cao方法检验,从而排除了月降水时序为随机序列的可能性。本文为进一步研究月降水时序数据的复杂性及其演化规律奠定了基础。     

Micromine数字矿山模型在地质采矿中的应用

Micromine软件是制作矿床三维立体模型的基础,三维立体模型的建立,有利于矿山进行资源储量的动态管理,实现矿山的"数字化"。应用澳大利亚Micromine软件,结合制作矿山模型,并实施在地质采矿中的应用。     

河南省城市化水平综合评价及区域格局分析

根据城市化的内涵构建城市化水平综合评价指标体系,采用多目标决策TOPSIS法结合信息熵赋权法,对河南2001-2009年各地市的城市化水平进行综合评价分析;继而采用ESDA-GIS方法,对河南城市化综合水平的地域空间格局演化特征进行探讨。研究表明,河南各地市城市化综合水平虽然自2001年以来均获得了不同程度的提升,但地市间城市化水平的绝对差异和相对差异均呈拉大趋势;城市化热点地区在空间上表现出由集中分布向随机分布的演变态势,但整体上仍呈现出以中原城市群地区为核心的热点区和以外围地市为冷点区的核心—边缘型空间格局,由此认为着力推进边缘化传统农区的城市化进程是实现河南城市化区域协调发展的关键。