全文获取类型
收费全文 | 2241篇 |
免费 | 372篇 |
国内免费 | 497篇 |
专业分类
测绘学 | 259篇 |
大气科学 | 488篇 |
地球物理 | 714篇 |
地质学 | 872篇 |
海洋学 | 389篇 |
天文学 | 27篇 |
综合类 | 148篇 |
自然地理 | 213篇 |
出版年
2024年 | 8篇 |
2023年 | 23篇 |
2022年 | 57篇 |
2021年 | 82篇 |
2020年 | 85篇 |
2019年 | 102篇 |
2018年 | 87篇 |
2017年 | 88篇 |
2016年 | 120篇 |
2015年 | 109篇 |
2014年 | 120篇 |
2013年 | 162篇 |
2012年 | 130篇 |
2011年 | 148篇 |
2010年 | 110篇 |
2009年 | 137篇 |
2008年 | 144篇 |
2007年 | 145篇 |
2006年 | 127篇 |
2005年 | 105篇 |
2004年 | 122篇 |
2003年 | 109篇 |
2002年 | 79篇 |
2001年 | 67篇 |
2000年 | 69篇 |
1999年 | 70篇 |
1998年 | 75篇 |
1997年 | 52篇 |
1996年 | 53篇 |
1995年 | 63篇 |
1994年 | 57篇 |
1993年 | 48篇 |
1992年 | 31篇 |
1991年 | 19篇 |
1990年 | 28篇 |
1989年 | 21篇 |
1988年 | 12篇 |
1987年 | 10篇 |
1986年 | 8篇 |
1984年 | 10篇 |
1983年 | 1篇 |
1982年 | 2篇 |
1981年 | 5篇 |
1980年 | 2篇 |
1979年 | 1篇 |
1977年 | 5篇 |
1976年 | 1篇 |
1972年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有3110条查询结果,搜索用时 281 毫秒
161.
N. P. Sukumaran 《Journal of Earth System Science》1994,103(4):489-497
Examined in this paper is the tentative history of the depositional flux of230Thxs (the unsupported fraction of230Th scavenged from the overlying water column), for the Late Quaternary period from a sediment core of the Central Indian Basin
(CIB). The measured depositional flux of230Thxs is found substantially higher than that of the possible theoretical flux from the overlying water column. Historical records,
reconstructed from the230Thxs chronology suggests that the depositional flux has varied considerably with time, reflecting an enhanced scavenging during
the Holocene and the preceding interglacial periods whereas, comparatively lower flux than the predicted one occurred during
the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) period. The average ratio of the measured depositional flux to that of the predicted flux from
the overlying water column, indicates that the core site acts as a sink for230Thxs and based on the existence of bottom current activity; the230Thxs could be the result of focusing of younger sediments. The depositional index (Di) has also been calculated to quantify the
extent of lateral supply throughout the core with time. The estimated (Di) suggests that bottom focusing and feeble deposition
and/or winnowing processes had occurred and that the former was most prevalent during the Holocene and the preceding interglacials,
whereas the latter was observed at the LGM period. 相似文献
162.
一次较成功的中期地震概率预测实例 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
1988年底依据地震活动性资料,运用MYCIN不精确推理方法,提出了1989年及稍长时间的中国大陆中期地震趋势预测概率图,这是一次较成功的中期地震概率预测实例。 相似文献
163.
通过对山西境内地震序列的分析计算,得出一个适合山西地区地震活动的概率模型。并以此模型对1989年前后的地震活动进行了计算,给出1989年以来山西地震频繁活动的理论依据,对今后的地震活动进行了预测。 相似文献
164.
本文叙述了地震活动的综合概率预报方法,并对宁夏及青海地区(35°00’-41°00’N,100°00’-107°40’E)1970年以来的地震活动资料进行了统计计算,对1992年-1993年该区地震活动进行了综合预报效能检验。并据此对该区1994年-1995年的地震趋势做了估计。 相似文献
165.
中国大陆原地复发强震的基本特征及其预测 总被引:7,自引:3,他引:7
在印度板块与欧亚块相碰撞形成的喜马拉雅弧板块边界力作用下,中国大陆有自己独特的现代构造运动和地震活动基本格架。格架是两组近似于对数螺线的现代构造滑移线,即最大剪切应力和剪切应变集中释放的区,带。在这种格架控制下,强震和大震在原地或基本在原地重复发生是中国大陆地震活动的重要特征。本文还提出了i-f-j复发轮回模式和估计当前轮回强震复发时间的概率分布以及计算未来强震复发概率分式。为中,长期预测原地复发 相似文献
166.
本文根据极值理论建立了烈度超越给定值Ij的平均重现期公式,根据最大熵原理建立了未来T年烈度超越给定值Ij的概率和烈度超越给定值Ij的平均重现期之间的关系式。利用1022─1993年的地震资料,计算了临汾(36.10°N,111.50°E)周围4级以上地震在临汾造成的烈度,绘制了未来100年临汾的烈度超越概率曲线(地震危险性曲线)。结果表明,计算场地烈度的极值理论方法可作为地震危险性分析的综合概率法的补充和验证。 相似文献
167.
A Preliminary Study on the Probabilistic Estimation of Deaths from Future Earthquakes in North China
During the period from 1800 to 1989,the degree of fatalities(?from earthquakes in North China(Lat.34.0°-42.0°N,Long.107.5°-125.0°E)varied exponentially with the frequency of earthquake events(N),namely:N=37.71 exp(-0.72?(E-logD,D:deaths).For the periods from 1988 to 1998 and from 1999 to 2009,the probabilities for earthquakes to cause one thousand or more deaths in North China are estimated to be 0.37 and 0.50,respectively,by using the Gumbel's extreme value theory. 相似文献
168.
Yoichiro Fujii 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1995,144(1):19-37
In order to study characteristics of horizontal crustal strains, we divide the Japanese Islands into 14 tectonic provinces
consistent with the suggestion given byMatsuda (1990). We calculate frequency distribution of strain rates using the results of the Precise Control Survey initiated by
the Geographical Survey Institute in 1973. This survey is a revision of old first- and second-order triangulation networks
by trilateration. The principal axes and principal strains inside all the geodetic triangles are deduced from the comparison
of the old triangulation and the new trilateration networks. The maximum shear strain rates are calculated by dividing the
accumulated strains with the time intervals. The frequency distribution of strain rates is counted for each tectonic province
and for the entire Japanese Islands.
It is proved that the maximum shear strain rate with highest frequency ranges from 0.10–0.15 microstrain/a for 4409 data in
the Japanese Islands. The mean value of the strain rates throughout the Japanese Islands is deduced to be 0.18 microstrain/a.
We also calculated a mean value of strain rates for each tectonic province. Comparison is made between mean geodetic strain
rates in the provinces and Quaternary strain rates estimated by geomorphic data. It is found that 0.3–0.4 microstrain/a of
the highest order strain rate is now prevailing in the Izu province, the south Fossa-Magna collision zone, and some special
provinces along the eastern part of the Japan Sea coast. 相似文献
169.
Our results illustrate the performance of at-site and regional GEV/PWM flood quantile estimators in regions with different coefficients of variation, degrees of regional heterogeneity, record lengths, and number of sites. Analytic approximations of bias and variance are employed. For realistic GEV distributions and short records, the index-flood quantile estimator performs better than a 2-parameter GEV/PWM quantile estimator with a regional shape parameter, or a 3-parameter at-site GEV/PWM quantile estimator, in both humid and especially in arid regions, as long as the degree of regional heterogeneity is moderate. As regional heterogeneity or record lengths increases, 2-parameter estimators quickly dominate. Flood frequency models that assign probabilities larger than 2% to negative flows are unrealistic; experiments employing such distributions provide questionable results. This appraisal generally demonstrates the value of regionalizing estimators of the shape of a flood distribution, and sometimes the coefficient of variation. 相似文献
170.
J. Gani P. Todorovic 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1987,1(3):209-216
A simple two-dimensional random walk model is developed for the motion of a particle in a fluid flow. Some earlier results for the persistent injection of particles into the flow are extended, and the distribution of the maximum number of particles in suspension over the period (0,t) is derived. 相似文献