歧口凹陷深层地震岩石物理特征分析及应用

为明确歧口凹陷深层的岩石物理及AVO响应特征,分析歧口地区全波测井资料,优选该区敏感岩石物理参数;根据分岩性拟合求取纵横波转换经验公式,并采用流体置换原理进行叠前地震道集正演后提取AVO属性.结果表明:泊松比、纵横波速度比为该区有利储层预测的敏感参数,含气砂岩与含水砂岩的数值范围差异明显;歧口深层AVO响应特征可划分为3类:第一类是与气层相对应的反射振幅随着偏移距的增大而负向急剧增大;第二类是与油气同层相对应的反射振幅随着偏移距的增大而负向缓慢增大;第三类是与油水层及干层相对应的反射振幅随着偏移距的增大而负向减小.该结果可为歧口凹陷深层开展流体预测可行性提供依据.     

Helmert方差分量估计在GPS/GLONASS/BDS组合定位权比确定中的应用

因GNSS系统间观测噪声、轨道精度的差异,采用经验权比进行组合定位难以得到最优结果。基于此,在GPS/GLONASS/BDS组合定位中引入Helmert方差分量估计,对GPS/GLONASS/BDS组合单点定位和基线解算中各系统观测值进行合理定权。实验表明,采用该方法确定的伪距观测值最佳权比为5∶1∶1,相位观测值最佳权比为1∶1∶1,有效提高了GPS/GLONASS/BDS组合定位的精度和可靠性。     

Surpac软件在归来庄金矿深部矿床资源量估算中的研究和应用

归来庄金矿是目前鲁西南地区唯一的大型新类型碲金型金矿床,近几年深部找矿有了进展。在充分研究归来庄金矿成矿地质特征及金矿化类型的基础上,根据归来庄金矿深部的地质勘查工程资料,以Surpac系统软件为主要工具,首次建立了归来庄深部金矿床的地质数据库, 构建了矿体的三维可视化地质模型。基于归来庄金矿深部矿体三维模型,应用距离幂次反比法对归来庄金矿深部矿体估算了资源量。将估算结果和传统地质块断法进行对比研究,结果表明用此软件进行资源量估算简便且准确,可以为矿产开发提供依据。     

Water discharge variability of Changjiang （Yangtze） and Huanghe （Yellow） Rivers and its response to climatic changes

Influences of large-scale climatic phenomena, such as the E1Nifio/La Nifia-Southem Oscillation （ENSO） and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation （PDO）, on the temporal variations of the annual water discharge at the Lijin station in the Huanghe （Yellow） River and at the Datong station in the Changjiang （Yangtze） River were examined. Using the empirical mode decomposition-maximum entropy spectral analysis （EMD- MESA） method, the 2- to 3-year, 8- to 14-year, and 23-year cyclical variations of the annual water discharge at the two stations were discovered. Based on the analysis results, the hydrological time series on the inter- annual to interdecadal scales were constructed. The results indicate that from 1950 to 2011, a significant downward trend occurred in the natural annual water discharge in Huanghe River. However, the changes in water discharge in Changjiang River basin exhibited a slightly upward trend. It indicated that the changes in the river discharge in the Huanghe basin were driven primarily by precipitation. Other factors, such as the precipitation over the Changjiang River tributaries, ice melt and evaporation contributed much more to the increase in the Changjiang River basin. Especially, the impacts of the inter-annual and inter-decadal climate oscillations such as ENSO and PDO could change the long-term patterns of precipitation over the basins of the two major rivers. Generally, low amounts of basin-wide precipitation on interannual to interdecadal scales over the two rivers corresponded to most of the warm ENSO events and the warm phases of the PDO, and vice versa. The positive phases of the PDO and ENSO could lead to reduced precipitation and consequently affect the long-term scale water discharges at the two rivers.     

印度洋dipole事件的年际变化与ENSO事件的联系

通过对nino3指数和DMI序列的分析，发现两种物理现象都有4a左右的主要周期，而且印度洋偶极子事件还存在有2a左右的振荡周期，而厄尔尼诺事件在2a时间尺度上周期性不明显；对nino3指数和DMI进行年际时间尺度滤波，结果表明，在年际时间尺度上，两者的相关性比未滤波时有了一定的提高；对年际滤波之后的偶极子事件和ELNINO事件的相关分析可以发现，ELNINO对于印度洋偶极子事件的影响要大于IOD对于太平洋ENSO事件，显示了两者物理现象的影响不对称。     

基于极大似然估计采样一致性准则的遥感影像配准参数解算方法研究

本文提出运用最大似然采样一致性准则解算遥感影像配准系数的方法。该方法基于极大似然估计理论,首先对初始匹配点的坐标残差进行概率建模,计算概率模型成立时的似然函数值并选择似然函数值最大时的参数为正确结果,最终剔除错误点保留正确匹配点。该方法较之传统的最小二乘方法更为准确地计算配准系数,并可以解决随机采样一致性准则解算配准参数时,对阈值的依赖问题。试验证明,该方法可提高配准参数解算的稳健性和精度。     

水稻时域散射特征分析及其应用研究

通过对肇庆试验区1996年和1997年获取的多时相、多模式雷达卫星（RADARSAT）数据分析，从图像上直接提取地物的后向散射系数，结合实地测量水稻的生长结构参数，建立了水稻生长模型，分析了不同生长周期（从80天到120－125天）4种类型水稻的时域散射特性。利用1997年4月至7月获取的7景标准模式雷达卫星数据，对试验区内三个县和两个行政区共5000km^2面积范围内的作物进行分类和水稻产量预估算，水稻类型分类及面积量算精度达91％。结果表明：利用雷达遥感数据进行水稻种植面积量算和估产需要水稻生长期间三个时相的数据，即插秧期、抽穗期、收割前期。若能够获得多参数雷达图像，可以用插秧期和收割前期的两个时相图像来代替上述的三个时相图像同样可以达到种植面积量算和估产的效果。这一结果充分说明多时相雷达卫星数据对我国南方水稻长势监测及估产具有明显优势和潜力。     

固体矿产储量估算系统的研究与实现

通过对固体矿产储量估算过程的详细调研,对储量估算过程中的单工程圈定算法、矿体剖面连接以及传统的储量估算方法中的平行剖面法和地质块段法做了详细研究,并针对储量计算的可视化及交互技术进行了研究,实现了一种基于Windows操作系统、MapGIS地理信息系统平台的固体矿产储量估算原型系统,实现了对固体矿产勘查数据的有效存储、管理、可视化分析及评价。     

East Asian monsoon variation and climate changes in Jeju Island, Korea, during the latest Pleistocene to early Holocene

A 4.96-m-long sediment core from the Hanon paleo-maar in Jeju Island, Korea was studied to investigate the paleoclimatic change and East Asian monsoon variations during the latest Pleistocene to early Holocene (23,000-9000 cal yr BP). High-resolution TOC content, magnetic susceptibility, and major element composition data indicate that Jeju Island experienced the coldest climate around 18,000 cal yr BP, which corresponds to the last glacial maximum (LGM). Further, these multi-proxy data show an abrupt shift in climatic regime from cold and arid to warm and humid conditions at around 14,000 cal yr BP, which represents the commencement of the last major deglaciation. After the last major deglaciation, the TOC content decreased from 13,300 to 12,000 cal yr BP and from 11,500 to 9800 cal yr BP, thereby reflecting the weakening of the summer monsoon. The LGM in Jeju Island occurred later in comparison with the Chinese Loess Plateau. Such a disparity in climatic change events between central China and Jeju Island appears to be caused by the asynchrony between the coldest temperature event and the minimum precipitation event in central China and by the buffering effect of the Pacific Ocean.     

空间光滑活动模型在东部海域地震危险性评价中的应用

以中国东部近海海域(25～41°N,117～126°E)为研究区域,基于区域地震构造背景和地震活跃水平等资料划分地震构造单元,依次采用基于地震目录的圆形高斯光滑模型和断层导向性的椭圆光滑模型的地震活动参数评价方法,计算各网格点的地震发生率.并利用网格源的地震危险性概率评价方法,由不同输入地震目录得到该区域50年超越概率10％的加速度峰值区划结果.