GPS多基准站动态差分定位精度分析

根据长基线情况下机载GPS动态试验数据在多基准站差分模式下的解算分析,得出利用多基准站差分方法能够有效消减误差提高定位测量精度的结论。同时在本文数据分析的基础上,提出了下一步的研究方向。     

华南沿海明代自然灾害的时间序列分析Ⅰ:R/S分析

通过对我国明代华南沿海 2 76a间自然灾害发生次数进行的R/S分析 ,揭示出自然灾害发生次数这一时间序列具有明显的趋势性 ,表征其趋势性强度的指标赫斯特指数H =0 90 94(或 0 868,如果不考虑最后一点s=2 4 5时的情况 ) ,远远大于 0 5而接近于 1 ,说明这种趋势性具很强的持续性 (persistence)。这种持续性可能主要是由自然因素即当时的气候和构造背景决定的 ;而社会和经济因素也起一定的作用     

脉冲星时稳定度及可能应用

给出了毫秒脉冲星长期计时观测最新结果和脉冲星时与原子时频率稳定度的比较。指出脉冲星时频率稳定度的提高受到计时观测误差的限制,讨论了提高毫秒脉冲星计时观测精度的方法。随着脉冲星计时阵的实施,脉冲星时的应用已为期不远。可能的应用包括毫秒脉冲星与原子钟结合守时、建立综合脉冲星时和用脉冲星计时阵检测原子时误差等方面。     

南海热带气旋与西太平洋热带气旋成双时的复杂路径探讨

本文统计２９年（１９６０－１９８９）的历史资料，给出了南海热带气旋与西太平洋热带气旋成双的气候情况，并用天气学方法进行分类、研究、诊断给出西太平洋热带气旋对南海热带气旋移行路径影响的天气学模式及一些判据，为预报提供参考。     

Landslide hazards triggered by the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake, Sichuan, China

The 2008 Wenchuan earthquake (M _s = 8.0; epicenter located at 31.0° N, 103.4° E), with a focal depth of 19.0 km was triggered by the reactivation of the Longmenshan fault in Wenchuan County, Sichuan Province, China on 12 May 2008. This earthquake directly caused more than 15,000 geohazards in the form of landslides, rockfalls, and debris flows which resulted in about 20,000 deaths. It also caused more than 10,000 potential geohazard sites, especially for rockfalls, reflecting the susceptibility of high and steep slopes in mountainous areas affected by the earthquake. Landslide occurrence on mountain ridges and peaks indicated that seismic shaking was amplified by mountainous topography. Thirty-three of the high-risk landslide lakes with landslide dam heights greater than 10 m were classified into four levels: extremely high risk, high risk, medium risk, and low risk. The levels were created by comprehensively analyzing the capacity of landslide lakes, the height of landslide dams, and the composition and structure of materials that blocked rivers. In the epicenter area which was 300 km long and 10 km wide along the main seismic fault, there were lots of landslides triggered by the earthquake, and these landslides have a common characteristic of a discontinuous but flat sliding surface. The failure surfaces can be classified into the following three types based on their overall shape: concave, convex, and terraced. Field evidences illustrated that the vertical component of ground shaking had a significant effect on both building collapse and landslide generation. The ground motion records show that the vertical acceleration is greater than the horizontal, and the acceleration must be larger than 1.0 g in some parts along the main seismic fault. Two landslides are discussed as high speed and long runout cases. One is the Chengxi landslide in Beichuan County, and the other is the Donghekou landslide in Qingchuan County. In each case, the runout process and its impact on people and property were analyzed. The Chengxi landslide killed 1,600 people and destroyed numerous houses. The Donghekou landslide is a complex landslide–debris flow with a long runout. The debris flow scoured the bank of the Qingjiang River for a length of 2,400 m and subsequently formed a landslide dam. This landslide buried seven villages and killed more than 400 people.     

Seismic resistance capacity of beam–column connections in high‐rise buildings: E‐Defense shaking table test

A series of E‐Defense shaking table tests are conducted on a large‐scale test specimen that represents a high‐rise steel building. Two types of connections featuring the connection details commonly used in 1970s, in the early days of high‐rise construction in Japan, are adopted: the field‐welded connection consisting of welded unreinforced flanges and a bolted web type, and the shop‐welded connection in which the flanges and web are all‐welded to the column flange in the shop. To examine the seismic capacity of a total of 24 beam‐to‐column connections of the specimen, particularly when it is subjected to long‐period ground motion characterized not so much by large amplitude as by very many cycles of repeated loading, the test specimen is shaken repeatedly until the connections fractured. The test results indicate that a few of the field‐welded connections fractured from the bottom flange weld boundary in a relatively small cumulative rotation primarily due to the difficulties in ensuring the welding and inspection performance in the actual field welding. The shop‐welded connections are able to sustain many cycles of plastic rotation, with an averaged cumulative plastic rotation of 0.86 rad. Two shop‐welded connections exhibit ductile fractures but only after experiencing many cycles. The presence of RC floor slabs promotes the strain concentration at the toe of the weld access hole in the bottom flange by at least twice compared with the case without the slab, which had resulted in a decrease in the cumulative plastic rotation by about 50%. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

On the magnitude of temperature decrease in the equatorial regions during the Last Glacial Maximum

By virtue of a novel experimental method, Phillips’ blockage theory was verified, while some of the experimental phenomena could not be well explained by Phillips’ theory. Deriving from the dynamic equations, the results obtained expound the experimental phenomena satisfactorily. The relevant wnclusions have significant and great pushing effects on ocean remote sensing techniques and potential value to ocean remote sensing techniques. Project supported by the Defense Science and Technology Agency (10.6.5.5).     

钾铵基聚合物泥浆在大同煤田复杂地层钻进中的应用

煤田地质钻探中,白垩系卵石层、多层采空区及泥岩地层是一大钻进难题。一是上部长孔段砂卵层胶结松散,易垮塌;二是下部泥岩水敏性强,膨胀性大,节理裂隙发育,极易产生缩径、造浆及不同程度的渗漏;三是多层采空区的护壁问题。针对这些问题,在大同煤田复杂地层钻进中,经反复实验选用了钾铵基聚合物低固相泥浆。实践证明,采用钾铵基聚合物低固相泥浆,可有效防止孔内坍塌、掉块、缩径,预防孔内事故,提高钻进效率,降低成本,达到了正常的钻进目的。     

基于震幅叠加的微地震事件定位在地面监测中的应用

在微地震地面监测中,由于微地震信号能量微弱,因此很难对微地震事件进行精确拾取。本文提出了一种基于STA/LTA(short term averaging/long term averaging)的判别频率估计模式识别方法,可以避免由于设定阈值出现漏判小能量微地震事件的情况,并在精度上比传统的STA/LTA方法提升10%以上。采用基于震幅叠加的能量聚焦方法对微地震事件进行定位计算,同时通过对能量聚焦结果的分析,进一步剔除"假"的微地震事件,从而能够更加精确地描述地下裂缝的发育情况。最后,通过对河北北部一水平井的压裂监测对该方法进行验证,结果表明,本方法计算效率高、监测结果获得施工单位的认可,能够对下一步压裂施工方案提供理论指导。