Evaluation of groundwater resource potential by using water balance model: A case of Upper Gilgel Gibe Watershed,Ethiopia

Groundwater resource potential is the nation’s primary freshwater reserve and accounts for a large portion of potential future water supply. This study focused on quantifying the groundwater resource potential of the Upper Gilgel Gibe watershed using the water balance method. This study began by defining the project area’s boundary, reviewing previous works, and collecting valuable primary and secondary data. The analysis and interpretation of data were supported by the application of different software like ArcGIS 10.4.1. Soil water characteristics of SPAW (Soil-plant-air-water) computer model, base flow index (BFI+3.0), and the water balance model. Estimation of the areal depth of precipitation and actual evapotranspiration was carried out through the use of the isohyetal method and the water balance model and found to be 1 664.5 mm/a and 911.6 mm/a, respectively. A total water volume of 875 829 800 m³/a is estimated to recharge the aquifer system. The present annual groundwater abstraction is estimated as 10 150 000 m³/a. The estimated specific yield, exploitable groundwater reserve, and safe yield of the catchment are 5.9%, 520 557 000 m³/a, and 522 768 349 m³/a respectively. The total groundwater abstraction is much less than the recharge and the safe yield of the aquifer. The results show that there is a sufficient amount of groundwater in the study area, and the groundwater resources of the area are considered underdeveloped.     

热-水-力作用下圆孔花岗岩的动态损伤特征及结构模型

基于深层地热能开采时储能区井筒围岩所处的工程环境,采用高温加热、不同温度水浸泡、加热-循环次数及径向冲击加载的方法模拟井筒围岩经历的高温、遇水、循环采热及热冲击等造成的动力扰动等物理力学条件。同时,以不同内孔直径的同心圆孔岩样模拟深层地热井,采用分离式霍普金森压杆试验系统开展热-水-力作用下圆孔花岗岩的动态力学试验,并结合VIC-3D非接触应变测量及数值模拟分析技术监测冲击过程中圆孔岩样裂隙萌发、形成的历程和表面应变演化的规律,揭示热-水-力作用下圆孔岩样的动态损伤破坏机制。研究结果表明：径向冲击荷载作用下圆孔花岗岩先后经历弹性变形、塑性变形、结构失稳破坏3个典型阶段;内孔直径、加热温度、浸水温度、加热-浸水循环次数4因素都弱化了圆孔花岗岩抗外界荷载的能力,但未改变其整体的变形演化规律;圆孔花岗岩的破坏模式是动态拉伸破坏,先沿冲击方向由内孔壁向岩样外壁,再垂直冲击方向由岩样外壁向内孔壁萌发、贯通裂纹,形成近垂直的两组破裂面。最后,基于圆孔花岗岩的损伤变形特征及历程,在一定假设基础上,建立动态损伤结构模型,推演了结构方程,并结合试验结果确定了方程参数,通过对比分析发现,理论拟合曲线与试验...     

盐穴能源储库氮气阻溶造腔气垫控制理论研究

盐穴具有良好的稳定性和密闭性,是储存天然气、石油、氢气等的理想场所。传统水溶造腔采用的油垫阻溶存在阻溶效果差、卤水油污重等问题,无法满足绿色矿山建设要求。气垫作为一种替代品备受关注,但因其起步较晚、控制难度大,加之我国复杂的盐层地质条件,阻碍着其推广应用。为此,首先分析了不同造腔阶段气垫控制特点,然后在对气-液界面处压力平衡分析的基础上提出了不同阶段气垫厚度预测及注气量计算方法,结合某井建槽期实例给出了建议气垫厚度及其波动范围,探明了气垫厚度和注气量随造腔推进的变化规律,最后探讨了气垫阻溶应用相关的关键问题。研究结果表明：建槽期及收顶期以气垫厚度控制为主,建腔期及腔体修复阶段则以气-液界面位置控制为主。建议建槽期平均气垫厚度不低于0.3 m,建槽期初期气垫厚度波动迅速,应设置较大的气垫厚度并及时补注氮气,随后气垫厚度波动趋于稳定,补气时间间隔可逐渐拉长。随造腔时间增加,单次补气量越来越大,累计补气量整体呈线性增长。造腔过程中井口气压及气-液界面处气垫压力先增加后线性减小,应实时监测井口气压变化。气垫阻溶与油垫阻溶成本相近但环境效益显著,可重复利用排出氮气及井口注气设施以节约成本。现场应...     

天津市超高层建筑暖通空调设计气象参数评估

利用255m天津气象塔数据定量评估了建筑暖通空调设计气象参数随高度的变化及其对设计负荷的影响,建立了一种气温垂直模型,明确了该模型可推算超高层建筑室外气温,基于此推算超高层建筑暖通空调室外设计气象参数。结果表明:在5—200m处,供暖设计温度、冬季空调室外设计温度和夏季空调室外设计干球温度均随高度降低,200m与5m高度处相比,分别降低2.0℃、1.4℃和2.8℃,导致供暖和冬季空调设计负荷分别增加5.78%和1.36%,而夏季空调设计负荷减少5.85%。基于气温垂直模型得到的200—500m气温数据计算气象参数,发现从200m到500m,供暖设计温度、冬季空调室外设计温度和夏季空调室外设计干球温度均随高度降低,降幅分别为0.52℃/100m、0.50℃/100m和0.66℃/100m。本研究表明,基于地面2m高观测数据计算的建筑暖通空调设计气象参数无法满足超高层建筑暖通空调设计需求,应充分考虑气象参数的垂直变化,选择合理的气象参数,为超高层建筑暖通空调设计提供基础,以保证室内热舒适环境达标,达到降低建筑能耗的目的。     

循环动荷载下下伏空洞路面塌陷的模型试验研究

在循环动荷载作用下,地下空洞会逐步发展成为路面塌陷。针对此问题,本文建立了模拟路面塌陷发生发展全过程的模型试验。试验结果表明,随着动荷载值的减小,土体所能承受的极限振动循环次数呈指数型增加。而当地下存在一定尺寸的地下空洞时,即使动荷载值较小,在足够多次数的振动循环作用后,也有可能引发路面塌陷。最大粒径较大、不均匀系数较高土体的静力稳定性较强,体现在其能承受的极限静荷载较大;但其动力稳定性较弱,体现在其能承受的极限振动循环次数较少。反之,最大粒径较小、不均匀系数较小土体的静力稳定性较弱,而动力稳定性较强。地下空洞上覆土层厚度越大,则其静力、动力稳定性均较强。同时,循环动荷载作用下地表沉降与土体裂缝的发展呈现出三阶段规律。阶段1为初始固结沉降阶段,持续时间较短,土体受到振动压密作用,地表发生整体沉降,土体裂缝未见明显发展;阶段2为等速沉降阶段,持续时间较长,中心土体受到振动剪切作用,地表中心沉降与土体裂缝随时间呈等速发展;阶段3为加速沉降阶段,持续时间最短,中心土体受到振动破坏作用,地表中心沉降与土体裂缝快速发展直至发生塌陷。     

Research and application of mud proportioning optimization of slurry balance shield in mudstone and gravel composite stratum

Slurry performance is one of the key factors to maintain the stability of excavation face when slurry balance shield is tunneling in complex strata. Based on the engineering background of slurry shield tunneling in mudstone and gravel composite stratum of Nanning Metro Line 5, the control variable method and the self-made slurry shield tunneling system are adopted to compare and select the mud admixture and to analyze the influence of the admixture amount and the formation composite ratio on the slurry relative density. Then, the mud permeability law and the dynamic and static mud film forming law under different formation composite ratios, swelling water ratios and slag dosages are analyzed comprehensively by factorial design. The results show that different admixtures have significant influence on the properties of bentonite slurry. Specifically, potassium methyl silicate and potassium chloride can effectively reduce the relative density of slurry, while sodium chloride and sodium silicate can promote the disintegration of mudstone in water. In addition, the slag admixture can effectively reduce the water filtration, improving the film quality and reducing the consumption of bentonite. When the cutter head speed is less than or equal to 2.5 r/min, the formation rate of mud film is greater than or equal to the failure rate so as to ensure the stability of driving face. The mud swelling water ratio suitable for mudstone and gravel composite stratum (composite ratio: 0?1) is 0.1?0.20, the residue content is 100?200 g/kg, and the potassium methyl silicate is 3.75%?7.50%.     

基于滤波技术的上海日最大电力负荷气象预报模型

电力负荷与气象条件密切相关,为建立上海市日最大电力负荷的预报模型,利用2010—2013年上海市日最大电力负荷数据及同期气象资料,分析日最大电力负荷的时间变化特征及其与气象因子的相关性,并基于滤波技术将日最大电力负荷分离为时间趋势项和逐日变化项,用逐步回归方法针对冬季和夏季分别建立预测模型。结果表明：①上海日最大电力负荷的各个节假日效应存在差异,春节节假日效应持续时间最长,影响最大,国庆节假期前半段节假日效应明显大于后半段。夏季的周末效应最强。②采用逐步回归方法建立的气象预报模型效果较好,回代年和预测年的平均预测相对误差均小于5%。     

NUMERICAL EXPERIMENTS ON MULTI-LEVEL STATISTICAL ESTIMATION OF DYNAMIC BALANCE CONSTRAINTS IN GRAPES-3DVAR

This paper further explores the estimating and expressing of dynamic balance constraints using statistical methods in GRAPES-3DVAR (Version GM). Unlike the single-level scheme which only considers the coupling between mass and wind at one level, the multi-level scheme considers the coupling between their vertical profiles and calculates the balanced mass field at each layer using the rotational wind at all model levels. A reformed ridge regression method is used in the new scheme to avoid the multicollinearity problem and reduce the noises caused by unbalanced mesoscale disturbances. The results of numerical experiments show that the new scheme can get more reasonable vertical mass field, reduce the magnitude of the adjustment by the initialization, and improve the potential temperature analysis performance. Furthermore, the results of forecast verification in January (winter) and July (summer) both confirm that the new scheme can significantly improve the temperature forecast accuracy and bring slight positive effects to the pressure and wind forecast.     

浮式风机极限载荷与疲劳载荷对比分析

根据IEC61400-3设定工况,采用NREL开发的5 MW风机基础模型,应用FAST,以Aero-Hydro-Servo-Elastic耦合仿真技术对风机进行研究。对时域仿真得到的短期载荷,应用分块极大值法联合Gumbel分布外推计算风机极限载荷;以雨流计数法、线性累积损伤理论和S-N曲线为理论基础应用MLife软件,计算风机疲劳载荷。对比分析不同工况下浮式风机、近海单桩风机和陆上风机的极限载荷与疲劳载荷,进而探讨影响浮式风机动态响应的因素。结果表明,对于陆上风机和近海单桩风机,风是其主要载荷来源;而波浪是浮式风机主要载荷来源。对风机进行设计要根据特定海域统计的海洋气候条件,避免风机及其支撑结构的固有频率与波浪频率近似而产生共振;风机制造装配在一定误差范围内,质量不平衡对风机载荷几乎没有影响。     

基于并行计算的海量点云狄洛尼构网方法探讨

针对现有Delaunay三角网购网方法研究的不足,文章提出一种基于并行计算的海量点云Delaunay方法:根据Delaunay分治构网的思想,将Delaunay构网分为数据分割、构建子网和子网合并3个步骤;设计了一种自适应的四叉树结构来分割和映射数据文件,并依据OpenMP并行标准中的Fork/Join并行模式,分层执行构网运算和合并运算;最后,使用一种改进的WFM-JLP调度算法来调度构网和合并运算以取得较好的负载均衡。实验证明:该方法能较好地降低算法的运行内存,减少运算时间。