Boundary crossing and non‐linear theory in earth‐system sciences – a proof of concept based on tsunami and post‐eruption scenarios on Java Island,Indonesia

Although volcanic eruptions are well‐known to be the trigger of some weather and climatic changes, land‐cover changes by pyroclastic‐flows and lahars do not get this recognition, neither do major hazards such as tsunami. These two earth processes are even lesser considered as being able to modify other earth processes they are not directly connected to, such as landslides or river discharge in non‐connected basins more than a hundred kilometres away. In this contribution the authors argue that these ideas are mainly driven by the process of being ‘educated’ in a single academic discipline and once put to the test interactions and retroactions between earth processes and atmospheric processes are far more reaching than commonly thought. For this study, the site of Java Island (Indonesia) was chosen to conduct (1) an analysis of a major tsunami impact – in the same area as the 2006 Java tsunami and (2) an analysis of the post‐eruption impacts of Merapi Volcano after a major eruption – excluding any ejecta in the atmosphere for the sake of the demonstration. The atmospheric feedback simulations were conducted using the regional climate model (RegCM‐4) with calibration from weather stations in Java Island. As a result, both simulations have proven that large scale deposits of pyroclasts (not introducing the ejectas sent in the atmosphere) and tsunamis can have outstanding impacts on the atmospheric situation and the bio‐geomorphologic evolution of the landscape in the following weeks to months. Interestingly enough these impacts are not limited to the area impacted by the earth process and the effect are not linear in time as they work following thresholds. These rainfalls ‘tele‐impacts’ are important enough to, in turn, modify earth‐surface processes in areas remote from the original phenomenon. This system acts in the same manner as a famous butterfly in Africa that could trigger a hurricane on the other side of the Atlantic Ocean. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

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Linear monitoring for cast-in-place reinforced concrete arch bridge construction

Linear monitoring is an important link of bridge construction control,which is conducted in key processes of construction to ensure the security of bridge in construction procedure. Combining with main arch construction monitoring program of No. 2 bridge in north district of Changbai international tourism resort,main content and key technologies are recommended. Considering the various influential factors during the construction process,linear adjustment is handled to ensure that the stress and linear of main arch meet design requirements.     

Effects of sample size on the accuracy of geomorphological models

Commonly, the most costly part of geomorphological distribution modelling studies is gathering the data. Thus, guidance for researchers concerning the quantity of field data needed would be extremely practical. This paper scrutinises the relationship between the sample size (the number of observations varied from 20 to 600) and the predictive ability of the generalized linear model (GLM), generalized additive model (GAM), generalized boosting method (GBM) and artificial neural network (ANN) in two data settings, i.e., independent and split-sample approaches. The study was performed using empirical data of periglacial processes from an area of 600 km² in northernmost Finland at grid resolutions of 1 ha (100 × 100 m) and 25 ha (500 × 500 m). A rather sharp increase in the predictive ability of the models was observed when the number of observations increased from 20 to 100, and the level of robust predictions was reached with 200 observations. The result indicates that no more than a few hundred observations are needed in geomorphological distribution modelling at a medium scale resolution (ca. 0.01–1 km²).     

甘肃玛曲大水金矿成矿过程中资源量生长的数量规律

大水金矿床是著名的超大型矿床.在借鉴前人矿床地质研究成果的基础上, 通过对矿体规模数据的多重分形特征及吨-品位关系研究, 揭示了成矿过程中资源量生长的数量规律.矿体长度服从简单分形分布, 矿床资源量的吨-品位关系能用指数函数或直线方程更好地拟合, 矿床与矿体资源量双对数图、吨-品位的双对数图的多重分形特征表明: 在分形构造成矿空间中, 特定成矿阶段的矿床资源量的生长方式是自组织非线性增殖过程, 与自组织有关的随机性使吨-品位关系趋于指数关系; 在整个成矿过程中, 矿床资源量的生长方式是各阶段矿体资源量的线性叠加.进一步根据熵最大化原理及效用理论导出了与统计结果吻合的矿床吨-品位方程, 并得到柴家庄金矿矿体地质数据的验证.      

条形药包在隧道爆破中产生的应力场的实测分析

基于条形药包的爆破特性,针对隧道爆破的装药形式,把隧道爆破简化成几个条形药包的微差爆破,在隧道爆破区域的径向应力波为柱形,隧道掘进的轴向应力波为几个并列半圆形。应力波强度分布很不均匀,爆破区域的径向应力强度最大,向爆区端部延伸径向应力强度逐渐减小。进入爆区端部后,应力强度减小更明显。随着与爆区轴线夹角的减小,端部应力强度再次减小,爆区端部轴线方向应力强度最小。     

刚性桩复合地基地震反应机理分析

为研究刚性桩复合地基的抗震性能,用刚性桩复合地基振动台试验验证了所采用的等效线性方法及其参数取值,在此基础上针对实际问题进行了三维有限元分析,对地基分层、土体模量、桩径、桩长、垫层厚度和垫层模量等因素对复合地基地震反应的影响进行了分析讨论,对刚性桩复合地基在地震荷载作用下的工作机理进行了较详细的分析。结果表明,等效线性方法能较好地模拟结构-复合地基相互作用的特性;上部结构惯性力和自由场变形对复合地基桩身内力影响都较大;地基明显软硬分层的存在,会使桩身内力显著增大。     

粉质黏土图像的纹理特征分析

粉质黏土通常为絮状结构, 难以使用肉眼直接判别出颗粒的形状和大小。将现场拍摄得到的粉质黏土彩色图像转化为灰度图像,得到了灰度图像灰度直方图的6个纹理特征参数（均值、方差、平滑度、3阶矩、能量、熵）。在建立灰度共生矩阵的基础上,得到了像素平面分布关系的5个纹理特征参数（角2阶矩、对比度、相关度、逆差矩、熵）。对这些纹理特征参数与粉质黏土传统工程性质指标进行了多元线性回归分析,得到了相应回归方程。结果表明,粉质黏土图像的纹理特征参数与传统工程性质具有较好的对应关系,可以用于快速确定粉质黏土的工程性质指标,对软土地区岩土工程设计具有一定的参考价值。     

地表参数反演及城市热岛时空演变分析

采用TES算法实现了ASTER地表温度的反演,在对发射率估算方法改进基础上,利用单窗算法反演1989年TM地表温度。结合C地形校正,利用线性光谱模型提取植被覆盖度与城市不透水面密度,利用反射率提取NDVI。从多方面对城市热岛时空演变进行综合研究,研究表明,与等间距法相比,均值-标准差法可以较合理地刻画地表热场的分布,一定程度上可以避开不同时相的差异。最后时空对比及空间统计学分析显示,1989~2004年间福州市城市热岛面积、热岛强度都有所增加,城市热岛总体趋势为西北-东南走向,并逐渐向北-南方向偏移,而且城市热岛重心向东南方向偏移。     

近45 a六盘水大风天气气候特征分析

 利用1961—2004年六盘水市各测站逐日风的观测资料,采用统计方法,对六盘水地区大风天气的分布情况、年际变化及大风发生日数的气候变化特征等进行了分析。结果表明,近45 a大风天气西南部最多,北部次之,东部最少;六盘水市一年四季均有大风天气出现,但大风天气的出现有着明显的季节性变化,春季出现频次最高,冬季次之,秋季最小;六盘水市各地大风天气主要出现在每年的2—5月,3月最多,4月次之,9月最少;大风天气20世纪60、70年代持续偏多,进入80年代后,大风日数持续偏少,在1980年附近急剧减少,从总的气候趋势看,大风天气总日数近45 a来呈下降趋势;年总大风日数在1980年附近存在突变现象,表现为日数的急剧减少。