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161.
Possible refugia for reefs in times of environmental stress 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
This paper investigates the refuge potential of (1) upwelling areas, (2) coral areas at medium depth, and (3) offshore bank and island reefs in a scenario of increased global warming, and thus increased sea surface temperature (SST) and increased solar UV radiation. (1) Observations on coral health and water temperature in the subtropical Atlantic (Eleuthera and Cat Island, Bahamas) and Indian Ocean (Sodwana Bay, South Africa) suggest a link between cool water delivered by upwelling and coral health. After the 1998 bleaching event, caused by strong SST anomalies, coral health and recovery from the previous year's bleaching was significantly better on the narrow southern Cat Island shelf (70% of corals healthy) where the presence of cold water was observed, which was attributed to small-scale upwelling, than on the wide northern Eleuthera shelf (44% of corals healthy), where downwelling of hot bank waters was believed to have damaged corals. In South Africa, regular, short-term upwelling events in five summers reduced SST to well below bleaching level. (2) In the northern Red Sea (Safaga Bay) and in South Africa (Sodwana Bay), wide areas with either coral frameworks or non-framework communities exist. Calculations show that if the top 10 m (20 m) of the ocean became inhospitable to corals, still 50.4% (17.5%) of the coral area would remain intact in the Red Sea and 99% (40%) in South Africa. (3) Offshore bank and island reefs investigated in the Turks, Caicos, and Mouchoir Banks and Grand and Little Cayman showed high rates of mortality and coral diseases. The most remote sites (Mouchoir Bank) were not the healthiest. Refuge areas appear to exist in (1) and (2), but in (3) only if vigorous water-circulation is encountered. 相似文献
162.
陆面过程模式的改进及其检验 总被引:11,自引:0,他引:11
文中对陆面过程模式 (BATS)进行了改进 ,改进后的模式能较好地模拟地表物理量的年、季和日变化 ,它有两方面的特点 :采用热扩散方程模拟 7层土壤温度 ,模拟的温度可与实测值进行比较 ;在BATS的地表径流方案中 ,考虑了空间不均匀性的一般地表径流 (GVIC)过程 ,研究结果表明 :⑴模式能很好地模拟各层土壤温度的年、季和日变化。冬季土壤温度下层高于上层 ,而在夏季上层高于下层 ,这种上下层温度的转换时间大约在 4和 10月份 ,这与实测土壤温度的年变化非常一致。较为准确地模拟了各层土壤温度日变化的时滞效应。⑵用南京和武汉站的资料 ,将BATS地表径流方案模拟的地表水分分量与GVIC方案进行比较 ,BATS地表径流方案模拟的地表水分分量 ,与总水量的平衡相差较大 ,而GVIC模拟的效果相对较好 ,地表总水量基本上与降水总量达到了平衡 相似文献
163.
鄂豫皖交界地区地震地质背景与中强地震复发特征的研究 总被引:1,自引:2,他引:1
鄂豫皖交界地区位于东大别山西部,历史中强地震(M≥43/4)主要发生在土地岭-落儿岭及商城-麻城断裂带上,且“互动”和“连动”的特征较为显著。根据这一特征,在研究东大别山区域地质、地壳结构、断裂活动及地震构造应力场特征的基础上,可将鄂豫皖交界地区的中强地震作为秦岭-大别山活动地块中的次级地块的整体活动来看待。该区历史地震活动整体表现为丛集特征,而主要发震断层(土地岭-落儿岭断裂)的历史地震活动则具有相对较好的准周期性。地震复发周期研究提示,该地块近期发生M≥5.0左右地震的危险性较大,而霍山-六安地区为未来发生中强地震的主要危险区。 相似文献
164.
K. Finkele J.J. Katzfey E.A. Kowalczyk J.L. McGregor L. Zhang M.R. Raupach 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2003,107(1):49-79
Two land surface schemes, SCAM and CSIRO9, were used to model the measured energy fluxes during the OASIS (Observations At Several Interacting Scales) field program. The measurements were taken at six sites along a 100 km rainfall gradient. Two types of simulations were conducted: (1) offline simulations forced with measured atmospheric input data at each of the six sites, and (2) regional simulations with the two land surface schemes coupled to the regional climate model DARLAM.The two land surface schemes employ two different canopy modelling concepts: in SCAM the vegetation is conceptually above the ground surface, while CSIRO9 employs the more commonly used `horizontally tiled' approach in which the vegetation cover is modelled by conceptually placing it beside bare ground. Both schemes utilize the same below-ground components (soil hydrological and thermal models) to reduce the comparison to canopy processes only. However, the ground heat flux, soil evaporation and evapotranspiration are parameterised by the two canopy treatments somewhat differently.Both canopy concepts reproduce the measured energy fluxes. SCAM has a slightly higher root-mean standard error in the model-measurement comparison for the ground heat flux. The mean surface radiative temperature simulated by SCAM is approximately 1K lower than in the CSIRO9 simulations. However, the soil and vegetation temperatures (which contribute to the radiative temperature) varied more in the CSIRO9 simulations. These larger variations are due to the absence of a representation of the aerodynamic interactions between vegetation and ground. 相似文献
165.
The climatic impacts of land surface change and carbon management, and the implications for climate-change mitigation policy 总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4
Strategies to mitigate anthropogenic climate change recognize that carbon sequestration in the terrestrial biosphere can reduce the build-up of carbon dioxide in the Earth’s atmosphere. However, climate mitigation policies do not generally incorporate the effects of these changes in the land surface on the surface albedo, the fluxes of sensible and latent heat to the atmosphere, and the distribution of energy within the climate system. Changes in these components of the surface energy budget can affect the local, regional, and global climate. Given the goal of mitigating climate change, it is important to consider all of the effects of changes in terrestrial vegetation and to work toward a better understanding of the full climate system. Acknowledging the importance of land surface change as a component of climate change makes it more challenging to create a system of credits and debits wherein emission or sequestration of carbon in the biosphere is equated with emission of carbon from fossil fuels. Recognition of the complexity of human-caused changes in climate does not, however, weaken the importance of actions that would seek to minimize our disturbance of the Earth’s environmental system and that would reduce societal and ecological vulnerability to environmental change and variability. 相似文献
166.
We present a numerical simulation of drag partition over rough surfaces. A computational fluid dynamics model is applied with high resolution to simulatingturbulent flows over arrays of roughness elements positioned on asmooth surface. The skin drag on the surface and the pressure drag on the roughnesselements are computed. The simulated drag partition compares well with wind-tunnelmeasurements and theoretical estimates for similar rough surfaces. This confirms that the computational approach offers an alternative to wind-tunnel and field experiments in studying drag and drag partition. The model is then applied to studying drag partition over rough surfaces with various roughness configurations. It is shown that drag partition depends not only on the magnitude of the roughness frontal area but also on the sizes and arrangement of roughness elements, because (1) the pressure drag coefficient is sensitive to roughness-element dimensions and (2) the arragement of roughness elements lead to different interferences of turbulent wakes. The impact ofthe latter factor is not insignificant. 相似文献
167.
利用卫星测高资料推求西北太平洋海域的海洋大地水准面 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
本文根据卫星测高数据和海面动力地形资料,绘制了不相上下北太平洋海域局部大地水准面的精细结构图,对解决卫星测高技术中大地水准面积和海面地形的可分性问题作了初步尝试。 相似文献
168.
R. Lehmann 《Journal of Geodesy》1997,71(9):533-540
Geodetic surface integrals play an important role in the numerical solution of geodetic boundary-value problems. In many
cases they can be evaluated using fast methods in the frequency domain (FFT). However, this is not possible in general, because
the domain of integration may be non-trivial (as is the surface of the Earth), the kernel function may not be of convolution
type, or the data distribution may be heterogeneous. Therefore, fast evaluation strategies are also required in the space
domain. They are more difficult to design because only one property is left where a more or less fast evaluation strategy
can be built upon: the potential type of the kernel function. Consequently, the idea is not to replace well-established frequency
domain techniques, but to supplement them. Our approach to this problem goes in two directions: (1) we use advanced cubature
methods where the integration nodes automatically densify in the vicinity of the evaluation points; (2) we use powerful computer
hardware, namely MIMD computers with distributed memory. This enables us to evaluate geodetic surface integrals of any practical
complexity in reasonable time and accuracy. This is shown in a numerical example.
Received: 7 May 1996 / Accepted:17 March 1997 相似文献
169.
170.
人工神经网络模型反演植被生物量参数 总被引:9,自引:0,他引:9
该文利用 1988年小麦生长期中生物量参数和微波 (10 2GHz)主被动遥感实测数据 ,作为输入输出I/O矢量对 ,训练人工神经网络为参数反演模型。然后用 1989年小麦生长期中微波主被动遥感实测数据和该神经网络模型 ,来反演其生物量参数在整个 1989年生长期中的变化。反演结果与遥感实测结果作了很好的比较 相似文献